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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"We have been at this level of R number for several months - I agree with your sentiment of trying to control the virus - but we cannot continue to trash the economy forever - the consequences would be far worse than anything the virus will do'"
No we havent.
Before restrictions were eased, the rate was 0.7 - 0.9 and it's now 0.9 - 1.1.
With a rate of 1 being the tipping point for local lockdowns, some areas are right on the cusp, including Wakefield where I live.
I sure as hell dont want any additional restrictions on movement, therefore, some caution would be wise.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"We have been at this level of R number for several months - I agree with your sentiment of trying to control the virus - but we cannot continue to trash the economy forever - the consequences would be far worse than anything the virus will do'"
Get you, with your scaredy cat project fear talk. Always with the doom and gloom.
We just need to hold our nerve and stay at home watching Netflix in our pyjamas - once the economy sees we’re not going to give in to its unreasonable demands for productivity, it’ll have back to back down. While poverty and eventual starvation will be bad for us, it’ll be just as bad for the economy.
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| Quote ="wrencat1873"No we havent.
Before restrictions were eased, the rate was 0.7 - 0.9 and it's now 0.9 - 1.1.
With a rate of 1 being the tipping point for local lockdowns, some areas are right on the cusp, including Wakefield where I live.
I sure as hell dont want any additional restrictions on movement, therefore, some caution would be wise.'"
So if you take the margin of error it could have been closer to .9 than point .7 and it still could be closer to .9 than 1.1 - it is not as if it has been down at .3, .5 - so yes it has been at similar levels for months.
Even the government accept the R is a very blunt tool and the overall number can be influence by high levels in certain areas. So because you have issues in Wakefield everyone should have increased restrictions? Perhaps a greater understanding why it is happening in Wakefield would be far more useful and a policy adapted to deal with it e.g. Glasgow than blanket impact everyone?
You are typical of what is going on in this country - running scared of something that impacts so few people - deaths are virtually nil - complete overreaction
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Get you, with your scaredy cat project fear talk. Always with the doom and gloom.
We just need to hold our nerve and stay at home watching Netflix in our pyjamas - once the economy sees we’re not going to give in to its unreasonable demands for productivity, it’ll have back to back down. While poverty and eventual starvation will be bad for us, it’ll be just as bad for the economy.'"
Grow up - please - the state of the economy impact every single person in this country - Covid has impacted a very tiny proportion of it - what would you say is the thing to be protected?
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Grow up - please - the state of the economy impact every single person in this country - Covid has impacted a very tiny proportion of it - what would you say is the thing to be protected?'"
Okay, sorry. I am just very frustrated by us having such a rubbish, clueless, feckless, infantile Prime Minister.
I think the extent of the hazard has to be considered, as well as the number at risk. While tens of thousands of deaths and some quite severe longer-term consequences for some survivors, in a country of tens of millions, would be a tiny proportion in other contexts, this is literally life and death. And to a large extent, the limits on the impact to this point are because we have chosen to take an economic hit. I also think talking about COVID in the past tense isn’t sensible at this point.
On my angry and clumsy Brexit comparison. Nobody likes COVID, whereas 48% of the electorate liked the EU enough to want to remain as part of it. And, in fairness, not that many of the 52% will have imagined we’d pursue the most economically damaging form of Brexit, in the most unprepared and incompetent of ways.
There’s no solution, only choices. I just feel somewhat appalled at hearing Boris ‘f*** business’ Johnson saying we need to get the country back to work, like he gives half a poop about anything other than his own overweening and self-defeating ambition.
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Okay, sorry. I am just very frustrated by us having such a rubbish, clueless, feckless, infantile Prime Minister.
I think the extent of the hazard has to be considered, as well as the number at risk. While tens of thousands of deaths and some quite severe longer-term consequences for some survivors, in a country of tens of millions, would be a tiny proportion in other contexts, this is literally life and death. And to a large extent, the limits on the impact to this point are because we have chosen to take an economic hit. I also think talking about COVID in the past tense isn’t sensible at this point.
On my angry and clumsy Brexit comparison. Nobody likes COVID, whereas 48% of the electorate liked the EU enough to want to remain as part of it. And, in fairness, not that many of the 52% will have imagined we’d pursue the most economically damaging form of Brexit, in the most unprepared and incompetent of ways.
There’s no solution, only choices. I just feel somewhat appalled at hearing Boris ‘f*** business’ Johnson saying we need to get the country back to work, like he gives half a poop about anything other than his own overweening and self-defeating ambition.'"
I agree with you about some of the government especially Boris - there are good ministers: Shapps, Sunek, Gibb, Gove, Lewis to name a few. The leadership is terrible.
Seasonal flu kills thousands every year - it is no surprise the excess deaths have fallen below the seasonal average which suggests many of those that have died of COVID would have died anyway just 2/3 months later. We don't close the economy down despite the impact of seasonal flu. For the vast majority people who get this virus it isn't a matter of life and death - especially amongst the young. I would agree this virus will be with us a long time - perhaps if we were more proactive in dealing with it rather than running scared we would improve our chances of returning to normality.
Brexit really upsets you - is that your lefty superior attitude and that you know best - who could any sane person vote to leave when in your mind being a big contributor with no influence e.g. cuckold is a preferable position. You can see from the negotiations what the EU want - a veto over our own laws and open season in our waters? Perhaps you need to be more objective about Brexit and why all those idiots (sic) didn't bow down to your superior knowledge and Nostradamus-like insight into the next few years?
Boris needs a return to the status quo - and quick - and he needs to start making good decisions
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| At the moment coronavirus is still baffling everyone, latest spanner in the works on today’s bbc web site by medical correspondent is the coronavirus test is testing positive for people who had the virus weeks ago and yet are fit and healthy. The majority of the medical experts can’t agree. Example, Sweden seems to have managed reasonable well without a draconian lock down. Read the other day one medical expert claiming the peak of coronavirus had passed as we went into lockdown. Personally only know of one person who has had it, pal of mine 72 years old quite fit Suffered for 5 days, then another 5 days to recover without any problems. Nobody in his family or friends who were in contact with him myself included contacted the virus.
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| Brexit is the unknown so I would tone down your positivity until the full impact is felt. I note you say Boris needs to start making good decisions, if you think he is capable of this then I must also reject your optimism that he will or has when it comes to Brexit.
We agreed a deal with the EU signed by May and passed in Parliament, it is this Boris is trying to change including doubling the fish quota limits. I sense that with Cummins doing the guiding a no deal Brexit is the preferred option. We do not have long now before we see the frictionless trade through Nth Ireland Boris promised and the smooth operations at Dover with the expert pre planning put in place by Gove.
I can see many months of chaos which they will blame on the EU let’s see who is correct and let’s see who suffers the most us or the much larger EU.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"
Brexit really upsets you - is that your lefty superior attitude and that you know best - '"
Yes, it is. I’m not proud of that... but at this point I’m not hugely embarrassed either.
I’m much more upset at Boris Johnson and Michael Gove failing to face up to the hard choices Brexit demands, than Brexit itself.
Quote ="Sal Paradise" who could any sane person vote to leave when in your mind being a big contributor with no influence e.g. cuckold is a preferable position. You can see from the negotiations what the EU want - a veto over our own laws and open season in our waters? Perhaps you need to be more objective about Brexit and why all those idiots (sic) didn't bow down to your superior knowledge and Nostradamus-like insight into the next few years?
Boris needs a return to the status quo - and quick - and he needs to start making good decisions'"
I could see from well before the negotiations what the EU wanted, they have been very open about it, and that Brexit couldn’t therefore be as advertised.
A lot of people are just tired of the current system at a number of levels. Politics has prioritised floating voters in swing seats, leaving a lot people’s views neglected. I understand and share much of the anger and frustration, their desire for change. I can understand a preference for sovereignty to reside (even) more at the national level and the impacts of immigration on the labour market, both positive and negative. Maybe this was needed as some sort of national breakdown, identity crisis, pressure valve, post-empire, post-deindustrialisation, post-financial crash and austerity slate cleaner. Fingers crossed, because there are other possibilities that scare the poop out of me.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Brexit really upsets you - is that your lefty superior attitude and that you know best - '" Membership of a free trade area with no customs is "lefty" now. The world's gone mad - or rather the Tory party has.
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| Quote ="The Ghost of '99"Membership of a free trade area with no customs is "lefty" now. The world's gone mad - or rather the Tory party has.'"
I would love to be a member of that club as that's the one we joined. However it isn't just that is it? But you know that of course
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| Quote ="The Ghost of '99"Membership of a free trade area with no customs is "lefty" now. The world's gone mad - or rather the Tory party has.'"
First country to ever request trade sanctions be applied to itself... and then keep asking for less favourable terms.
Quote ="wotsupcas"I would love to be a member of that club as that's the one we joined. However it isn't just that is it? But you know that of course'"
Would you have been happy with a future relationship in line with the withdrawal agreement negotiated by Boris Johnson, which was ready to go... and avoided the further uncertainty of Labour’s back to the drawing board approach? Or are you happier that they’ve binned that off to pursue whatever they’re doing now?
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| Quote ="wotsupcas"I would love to be a member of that club as that's the one we joined. However it isn't just that is it? But you know that of course'" There isn't a unicorn version of what you want unfortunately. To make trade barrier free and frictionless you have to concede certain aspects of "sovereignty", be it the right to impose tarriffs, the right to inspect goods without reason, the right to overtly prop up industries that are competing with companies in other countries, the right to separately negotiate external trade deals etc etc. Either we decide we want enjoy mutual prosperity with our neighbours or we don't; but the kicker of course is that we end up following so many EU rules anyway given our proximity and relative size to the EU market - except now we have no say in the framing of those rules any more, many of which had been so carefully crafted in the UK's favour over many years.
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| Quote ="The Ghost of '99"There isn't a unicorn version of what you want unfortunately. To make trade barrier free and frictionless you have to concede certain aspects of "sovereignty", be it the right to impose tarriffs, the right to inspect goods without reason, the right to overtly prop up industries that are competing with companies in other countries, the right to separately negotiate external trade deals etc etc. Either we decide we want enjoy mutual prosperity with our neighbours or we don't; but the kicker of course is that we end up following so many EU rules anyway given our proximity and relative size to the EU market - except now we have no say in the framing of those rules any more, many of which had been so carefully crafted in the UK's favour over many years.'"
When we voted to join in the 70's it was sold as a free trade agreement and that's what we signed up for. It was a blatant lie. Nobody voted for what we ended up with. If the full intent had been put before the British public before that vote we'd have never joined.
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| Quote ="wotsupcas"When we voted to join in the 70's it was sold as a free trade agreement and that's what we signed up for. It was a blatant lie. Nobody voted for what we ended up with. If the full intent had been put before the British public before that vote we'd have never joined.'" This is a bit of a trope unfortunately.
But, regardless, this "stop the world, I want to get off" worldview is thoroughly impractical. You need to deal with the world as it is, not as you'd wish it to be. And the reality is that the planet is divided into huge trading blocs - and we've just extracted ourselves from the one we were, logically, part of and are now hoping to get deals with everyone, few of which will be better - and most of which by matter of law [ican't[/i be better - than we had already under the EU.
Anyway, just you wait until you see the state of the unelected bureaucracy of the World Trade Organisation
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| Quote ="The Ghost of '99"Membership of a free trade area with no customs is "lefty" now. The world's gone mad - or rather the Tory party has.'"
Your struggle with comprehension continues - the "lefty" refers to the notion that lefties know what's best for us all and we should bow down to their superior knowledge (sic).
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Your struggle with comprehension continues - the "lefty" refers to the notion that lefties know what's best for us all and we should bow down to their superior knowledge (sic).'"
Is that unique to the left though? Doesn’t the right feel that its approach is best?
There may be a difference in tone sometimes (lecturing and sanctimonious versus angry and wanting to tear down shibboleths), but who is on which side of that changes issue by issue.
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| Quote ="wotsupcas"When we voted to join in the 70's it was sold as a free trade agreement and that's what we signed up for. It was a blatant lie. Nobody voted for what we ended up with. If the full intent had been put before the British public before that vote we'd have never joined.'"
There is a pleasing symmetry to the manner of our departure then, I suppose.
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Is that unique to the left though? Doesn’t the right feel that its approach is best?
There may be a difference in tone sometimes (lecturing and sanctimonious versus angry and wanting to tear down shibboleths), but who is on which side of that changes issue by issue.'"
Whether its Socialism, Marxism, Communism it is about central control - they know what's best and those that can play the political game do best not those who generate most - does that remind you of any organisation? Its a race to the bottom - not bring the bottom up its bring the top down - that's the essential difference between left and right - we have never found a better way of improving overall wealth than Capitalism yet the likes of you despise it yet enjoy its benefits?
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Whether its Socialism, Marxism, Communism it is about central control - they know what's best and those that can play the political game do best not those who generate most - does that remind you of any organisation? Its a race to the bottom - not bring the bottom up its bring the top down - that's the essential difference between left and right - we have never found a better way of improving overall wealth than Capitalism yet the likes of you despise it yet enjoy its benefits?'"
I think you’re describing authoritarianism, and that is not unique to the left by any means.
I don’t despise capitalism. I do lean to the left by UK standards and even in a rational capitalist system I‘d have significant concerns about the distribution of the wealth it generates, over the longer term.
My main criticism now, which seems to be shared by some capitalist theoreticians, is that our current capitalistic system is often irrational, corrupted and/or open to being gamed. That is, there’s too much incentive to play the system rather than to generate real value or, more narrowly, new wealth.
Right is used to cover a broadly capatalist-nationalist alliance. Brexit exposes tensions and contradictions within that broad position. Being a broad position, there’s no surprise it has such... complexity. There are tensions between my socialist-lite and liberal opinions on some issues, I don’t doubt. And, of course, my occasional preference for a policy from the right.
Out of interest, if the two choices available to you were being a citizen of capitalist United States of Europe or of a socialist United Kingdom, which would you prefer, hypothetically?
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Your struggle with comprehension continues - the "lefty" refers to the notion that lefties know what's best for us all and we should bow down to their superior knowledge (sic).'"
I believe in free trade; all you can come up with are vast armies of straw men about how "socialism" is actually authoritarianism and a threat to our capitalist way and life (I mean honestly, it's madness - do you really think we live in a purely capitalist country now? Are you that far out of touch with reality?) and some amazing rubbish which appears to involve anyone who knows stuff should pipe down because expertise is not a value we require any more.
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Out of interest, if the two choices available to you were being a citizen of capitalist United States of Europe or of a socialist United Kingdom, which would you prefer, hypothetically?'"
I think you've just blown his mind with those two options - he doesn't even know that the UK is already full of "socialist" programmes.
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| What you are saying is that if it was a Labour government giving itself additional powers to run people’s lives you would not accept it because the Conservatives appear to be doing exactly that. They have in the time since Johnson was elected severely limited public freedoms and also restricted debate despite the promise the parliament would regain its sovereignty. We are now closer to any totalitarian state in our history. I wonder when the pandemic is over which it will eventually be despite this government’s many failures how many of these new laws will be rescinded.
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Quote ="The Ghost of '99"I think you've just blown his mind with those two options - he doesn't even know that the UK is already full of "socialist" programmes.'"
It is a silly question in a few ways. It depends on the degree of capitalism and socialism. And obviously socialist systems can be irrational, corrupt and prone to being gamed as well. I’d take well-regulated capitalism over badly designed socialism everyday.
However it did make me think about my own order of priorities. I lean toward internationalism, especially when we face so many global challenges - but would I put that ahead of a more equitable society in the UK?
Another random thought on your point the UK socialist programmes. The right view privatisation of the rail network as sensible and desirable. Generally speaking, obviously they’re not all of one mind. But nobody ever floats privatising the whole road network. Or not that I’ve seen, at least. I Google it now. There’s the M6 toll, of course.
Edit - actually there was a little flurry of articles through 2012 and 2013, and the Cameron govt seemed to be thinking about it. One example...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17429483
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Quote ="The Ghost of '99"I think you've just blown his mind with those two options - he doesn't even know that the UK is already full of "socialist" programmes.'"
It is a silly question in a few ways. It depends on the degree of capitalism and socialism. And obviously socialist systems can be irrational, corrupt and prone to being gamed as well. I’d take well-regulated capitalism over badly designed socialism everyday.
However it did make me think about my own order of priorities. I lean toward internationalism, especially when we face so many global challenges - but would I put that ahead of a more equitable society in the UK?
Another random thought on your point the UK socialist programmes. The right view privatisation of the rail network as sensible and desirable. Generally speaking, obviously they’re not all of one mind. But nobody ever floats privatising the whole road network. Or not that I’ve seen, at least. I Google it now. There’s the M6 toll, of course.
Edit - actually there was a little flurry of articles through 2012 and 2013, and the Cameron govt seemed to be thinking about it. One example...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17429483
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| Quote ="The Ghost of '99"I believe in free trade; all you can come up with are vast armies of straw men about how "socialism" is actually authoritarianism and a threat to our capitalist way and life (I mean honestly, it's madness - do you really think we live in a purely capitalist country now? Are you that far out of touch with reality?) and some amazing rubbish which appears to involve anyone who knows stuff should pipe down because expertise is not a value we require any more.'"
Not at all - you have a valid opinion - what seems to be the case is you are suggesting that anyone who doesn't agree with your view of the world is stupid - especially if they voted to leave the EU.
We have a mixed economy but it is the capitalist businesses that drive wealth generation - surely even you can see that? The money it generates allows for taxes to be collected to provide all those touchy/feely services you so admire.
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