Quote: Wanderer "Between now and the end of July, we travel to Bradford, York and Hunslet (they have something in common other than being in Yorkshire). We also entertain Oldham.
If there isn't some sort of dramatic improvement, the play offs will, by then, be a distant dream.'"
Let's try and put some more meat on the bones and see what we're probably going to have to do to make the top five.
We're exactly half way through the season. The 5th placed teams have 16 points from 13 games. The fifth placed sides have won 8 and lost 5. It's perhaps fair to say that 16 points from the next 13 games has got to be the minimum target to stay in the top five.
The Dons fixtures are as follows:
Bradford A
Hemel A
York A
W Wales H
Hunslet A
Oldham H
Coventry A
Skolars H
Whitehaven A
Newcastle H
Keighley A
N Wales A
Workington H
So, we've got to win 8 and lose no more than 5 to reach the 32 point target. Assuming we lose to Bradford and York, that would mean we could only lose on three more occasions.
Hemel, West Wales, Coventry, Skolars, and North Wales are must win games.
The key games, of which we might be able to lose three and still finish fifth, are: Hunslet (A), Oldham (H), Whitehaven (A), Newcastle (H), Keighley (A), and Workington (H).
If other results go against us (ie Bradford and York drop points to our rivals) then we might only be able to lose two of the above.
If we lose to Hunslet and Oldham, we probably then couldn't afford to lose another game.
For me, the York game is critical. Beating them seems unlikely given our present form but we must come out of it with respectability and more self-belief if we're going to get back towards our best for the challenges against Hunslet and Oldham.
We need a settled side between now and then with our best 17 in the team. If we can get back to playing like we did in the home game against Newcastle there's no reason why we can't do it. If we can't get back to those levels, we're clearly going to struggle.
We need five of the following from Hull in our squad between now and the end of the season: Miloudi, Harris, Osborne, Bienek, Jordan Lane and Jez Litten.