FORUMS > Bradford Bulls > Safety first - are we safe? |
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Star | 167 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2011 | 14 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
55103_1395287909.jpg :d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_55103.jpg |
|
| We all know that usually the team that comes up from a lower league is odds on to go back down. Yes we are doing well and mid to top table looks achievable. Honestly though I'd be happy with some stability and looking at promotion in the next year or two.
So we have 16 points, how safe are we? I think just the bottom team relagated this season, which is currently Rochdale with 2 points. Anyone know the figures if we are secure. Seems silly to ask but you never know in this game.
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Star | 3213 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Sep 2012 | 12 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Oct 2023 | Aug 2021 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
68505_1605979550.jpg :d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_68505.jpg |
|
| Unless we either undergo a full on financial meltdown again or we endure a massive injury crisis, I don't see us having to worry about relegation.
In reality, if we could get back some of our injured players back in the side along with a couple of extra players we should be easily able to push for a top 5 finish
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Player Coach | 4558 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Dec 2005 | 19 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
19767.jpg :19767.jpg |
|
| Number of points by the team in the last relegation place
2018 = 8
2017 = 11
2016 = 11
2015 = 10
So, to answer the question, yeah... we are safe from relegation
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Star | 3546 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2013 | 12 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
May 2019 | May 2019 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
69500_1482141774.jpg :d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_69500.jpg |
|
| Probably safe in theory barring a full on meltdown, but mathematically, far from it. In fact not even Toronto are mathematically safe because nobody has played half their games yet.
Another 17 points gained on Swinton and 16 on Barrow for that. Which means another 8 wins and a draw from 14 remaining games. Of course every time those teams lose one each, that's one less Bradford need to win too.
I've compared to Swinton & Barrow purely because despite Rochdale being bottom, they have 2 games in hand. Which means they could gain more points (mathematically) than Swinton & Barrow. Although whether that happens or not will become evident in the next 3 or 4 months.
|
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Moderator | 8103 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
869_1597404840.jpg //www.twitter.com/pumpetypump:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_869.jpg |
Moderator
|
| Yes we are safe and we will finish 8th. The lottery numbers for Saturday is 6,7,19,31,33 and 39.
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Coach | 9154 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Mar 2005 | 20 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
13462.gif :13462.gif |
|
| We should be... well barring any points deductions..
|
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Player Coach | 13012 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jun 2005 | 19 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Jan 2021 | Apr 2020 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
15768_1384187582.jpg :d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_15768.jpg |
|
| For me yes Bradford are safe , the bottom 3 this season will be Barrow, Swinton, the Rochdale , who are the weakest team in the Championship.
I think the race for the top 5 this season will be very close after Toronto and Toulouse, could even go on points difference, my top 5 are .
Toronto,
Toulouse.
Bradford.
Leigh.
Fev. In this order.
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 28357 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
May 2024 | Oct 2019 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
973_1515165968.gif Last edited by Ferocious Aardvark on stardate Jun 26, 3013 11:27 am, edited 48,562,867,458,300,023 times in total:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_973.gif |
|
| I calculated the results of all remaining fixtures of all clubs, making the assumption that we never win another game, every result in every game went against us, that wherever possible no team above us beats a team below us.
There would be other possible permutations because as the season goes on the definition of one team being "below" or "above" another changes, but overall, the worst case scenario final league table would look something like this:
Fev 36
Halifax 36
Dewsbury 29
Batley 28
Toronto 26
Leigh 26
Toulouse 24
York 24
Widnes 24
Swinton 24
Rochdale 24
Sheffield 22
Barrow 21
Bradford 16
So I think we need 3 more wins to be mathematically safe. But the combination of results that would be needed for us to need 3 more wins is so bizarre, I think a Brexit by noon tomorrow is more likely. So not mathematically, but for all practical purposes, we are I conclude safe.
|
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Captain | 1004 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jun 2015 | 9 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Feb 2023 | Jan 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
74018_1452891676.jpg [i:2zdvjjq6]"If you don't believe you can do something, you have no chance at all" - Arsene Wenger[/i:2zdvjjq6]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_74018.jpg |
|
| Quote: Ferocious Aardvark "I calculated the results of all remaining fixtures of all clubs, making the assumption that we never win another game, every result in every game went against us, that wherever possible no team above us beats a team below us.
There would be other possible permutations because as the season goes on the definition of one team being "below" or "above" another changes, but overall, the worst case scenario final league table would look something like this
You haven't accounted for an unlikely administration scenario!
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 28357 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
May 2024 | Oct 2019 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
973_1515165968.gif Last edited by Ferocious Aardvark on stardate Jun 26, 3013 11:27 am, edited 48,562,867,458,300,023 times in total:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_973.gif |
|
| Quote: DrFeelgood "You haven't accounted for an unlikely administration scenario!'"
|
|
|
|
|
|