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| The only thing I have left is watching Mark Blyth videos on Youtube and wishing he was my dad.
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| Quote ="vbfg"Eagle sure as hell isn't getting my vote. Neither is Corbyn.
I'm not going to help fund its slow death and accelerating irrelevance either.
That tweet is the future and I'm done.'"
That sort of sums up where I am.
Like Roy Haggerty I don't mind a lot of the Corbyn-ist policies. I'm not sure what if anything the PLP have against those (except maybe the Trident replacement but that's going to a free vote anyway so no issues there).
My issue is that Labour need a leader that can unite members and the PLP who has broader appeal outside meetings of Labour members. Otherwise you can forget about ever enacting any of those policies and get ready for perpetual Tory government.
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| Quote ="Bullseye"That sort of sums up where I am.
Like Roy Haggerty I don't mind a lot of the Corbyn-ist policies. I'm not sure what if anything the PLP have against those (except maybe the Trident replacement but that's going to a free vote anyway so no issues there).
My issue is that Labour need a leader that can unite members and the PLP who has broader appeal outside meetings of Labour members. Otherwise you can forget about ever enacting any of those policies and get ready for perpetual Tory government.'"
Get ready?
We've had perpetual Tory government since 1979 at the very least.
Where have you been? 
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| Apropos of nothing, the words and phrases currently heading my "if they use these I can ignore them" list.
Corbynista
Blairite
SJW
Zionist
"virtue signalling"
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| Quote ="vbfg"Apropos of nothing, the words and phrases currently heading my "if they use these I can ignore them" list.
Corbynista
Blairite
SJW
Zionist
"virtue signalling"'"
SJW??
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| Social Justice Warrior. Basically, if you speak up against rape threats in a more public part of a place like Reddit someone at some point will call you that. There was a brief period where you would be a 'cuck', i.e a cuckold, but more recently that has become more a bit of "virtue signalling" by supporters of The Donald.
And now I have to kill myself.
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| This is a visualisation of ideological positions from amongst different categories supporters of the two main parties. [url=http://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/british-election-study-2015-face-to-face-post-election-survey/Here's the source data[/url - it's from the 2015 post-election survey. Remember then that this is about the Ed Milliband flavour of Labour and the membership of that time. The membership has moved left since then.
To the left is, naturally, more left wing. To the right more right wing. The vertical dotted line is the mean position of all those associated with the party.
Here are the main takeaways from this plot:
1) Members are more ideologically "pure" for both parties than any other grouping
2) Members are ideologically most distant from the voters who get that party in to power, as is again true for both parties.
3) The Tory MPs are further away from their base and more aligned with their voters than Labour is.
4) Labour MPs are still ideologically closer to the people who will elect them to power than any other grouping associated with the party.
This is why I voted for Corbyn. The distance between him and a pre-disposed Labour electorate is huge. I knew this when I voted for him, and voted for him anyway [url=http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/04/what-overton-windowbecause his presence could drag those voters leftward on that plot[/url.
That time is passed. It is past passed. Get elected, effect change. That's the shape of the world now.
(If anybody knows any PolSci people btw, tell them you know someone who wants them to die. Releasing data in proprietary formats that allow Social Scientists to play at statistics? FFS. Get it in a CSV file and let people choose their own damn tools)
edit: Forgot to include the [url=https://constitution-unit.com/2016/07/05/rules-matter-why-the-current-labour-crisis-is-not-only-about-ideology/link[/url. I didn't do this plot. (But it was done in R and ggplot2, like how what proper people use, and not the nonsense PolSci people think you ought to spend money on)
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| My vote was up for grabs. If the PLP had put up a decent candidate who espoused anti-Thatcher views, I'd have voted for them.
Not now.
Today's appalling corruption has shocked even me, and I thought I was too cynical to be shocked. Leave aside the stupid briefings demanding Corbyn "control" random nutters in Wallasey, and the dreadful procedural attempts designed only to prevent the members from voting for the man most of them want, the final straw for me was the decision - according to Peston, taken without being tabled on the agenda, and only after several pro-Corbyn voices had left the meeting - to disenfranchise more than 100,000 members. Those are people who joined up, of their own accord, and were told when joining that they were welcome in the party and could vote in leadership elections. To then disenfranchise them retrospectively, while opening a brief window for new joiners paying a premium to vote instead, is absolute banana-republic corruption. It's the sort of thing we'd laugh at in 1970s Third World dictatorships. It's disgusting.
I voted Corbyn last year because I wanted, like you, to shift that Overton window. But also because I felt too many of the Labour professional class of MPs and staffers had lost touch with the reason why they were in Labour, rather than the Tories. What has transpired today suggests that it is worse than that. They've lost touch with decency, fairness, even any sense of what democracy actually is. And they are so self-absorbed in their little bubble that they don't seem to realise what this actually looks like outside it.
I think they're mad, undemocratic and completely immoral. I'll fight for Corbyn to win again, and then I'll fight to deselect those who don't quite of their own volition.
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| Yep, shoddy as hell. I can't disagree with any of that. The unity candidate I wanted does not exist, and in this atmosphere probably cannot. What little hope I have at this point is actually centred on a romp home for Corbyn. In this atmosphere after some of the events of today I can't deny that's going to play well.
Honestly though, my most firmly held belief is that they party is completely screwed right now.
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| I didn't vote for Corbyn and I disagree with him on several issues such as Trident, NATO and other things but I shall be voting for him now. It's been a nasty, dirty attempt at subverting the democratic will of the party. It's been 9 months and there has been virtually no support for him from the minute he was elected, for which the vast majority of the PLP should be utterly ashamed of themselves.
They created this mess and they now have the nerve to try and paint it as Corbyn's doing and have now resorted to personal attacks on Corbyn himself.
Again I find myself agreeing with Roy. There's obviously a large section of the PLP who are either closet Tories or are merely utterly self-interested.
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| Labour HQ has now declared all out war on Labour Party members by suspending (banning) all CLP meetings until after the Leadership election. Wouldn't want any of us debating any of the issues or holding any Labour MP's up to scrutiny by passing any CLP no confidence motions in them, now would they? They can have their confidence motions but we can't have ours.
It's also rumoured the gate has been firmly closed for anyone baulking at having to shell out £25 who may be considering joining UNITE or any other affiliated union in order to register for a vote. I wonder how many in total they'll keep off the ballot this time around?
I've not had my eligibility to vote removed (not yet anyhow) as I joined the Labour Party within an hour of Corbyn being elected leader last year.
The coup attempt ain't over yet by some distance.
Will Angela Eagle even survive the next 48 hours?
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| Quote ="William Eve"
Will Angela Eagle even survive the next 48 hours?'"
Three weeks ago I had no idea she existed. I suspect that three weeks ago many people had no idea who Jeremy Corbyn was either.
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| Quote ="vbfg"
Honestly though, my most firmly held belief is that they party is completely screwed right now.'"
I can't see it any other way than that.
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| Quote ="DHM"Three weeks ago I had no idea she existed. I suspect that three weeks ago many people had no idea who Jeremy Corbyn was either.'"
Who ?
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You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy.
www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader
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You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy.
www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader
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Quote ="LeighGionaire"You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy.
www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader'"
He may as well offer free gold bars and trips to the moon. In fact he would have more chance of delivering on those promises.
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Quote ="LeighGionaire"You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy.
www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader'"
He may as well offer free gold bars and trips to the moon. In fact he would have more chance of delivering on those promises.
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| Quote ="vbfg" snip .'"
Is there any data people who associate themselves with a party and how they voted in the EU referendum?
Eg Those that associate with Labour: 55% leave 45% stay?
I would imagine a ukip support share would be high 90% leave.
But is there any breakdown facts?
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| In terms of "associate with a party" I haven't seen any data on that yet, at least not with the kind of categorisation of association used above. That will come but it's a more extensive data gathering exercise.
In terms of how people voted in last year's general it was a 63 / 37 split in favour of remain for Labour voters.
For snap immediately before and immediately after voting there's only really one readily available source and it's the disgraced (I assume) former Tory party deputy chairman, [url=http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2016/06/how-the-united-kingdom-voted-and-why/£ord Ashcroft[/url. But it's generally useful and interesting.
4% of UKIP voters opted to stay.
I'm going to say that agin.
4% of UKIP voters opted to stay.
I even typed it again, I couldn't copy and paste. I had to feel that flow through my fingers.
(PDF link at the bottom. I'll spare you all another rant on appropriate formats for raw data exchange)
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Read that in the pub before the derby match on Thursday. It's a brilliant - and brilliantly funny - article.
Here's another from the Independent. Will come as no surprise, but still staggering to see the extent of the bias in black and white.
www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po ... 40681.html
The research director at the London School of Economics who led the project suggests this undermines democracy in the UK. It's hard to disagree. The extent of the misrepresentation really raises the suggestion that Corbyn is in actual fact perceived to be a real threat.
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Read that in the pub before the derby match on Thursday. It's a brilliant - and brilliantly funny - article.
Here's another from the Independent. Will come as no surprise, but still staggering to see the extent of the bias in black and white.
www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po ... 40681.html
The research director at the London School of Economics who led the project suggests this undermines democracy in the UK. It's hard to disagree. The extent of the misrepresentation really raises the suggestion that Corbyn is in actual fact perceived to be a real threat.
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| This support of Corbyn does show though that there is a real cry from the people for a left wing alternative.
You have all the daft parties of the far right, then UKIP a little further in, followed by the Tories and then marginally to the right New Labour.
The Lib Dems consigned themselves to the dustbin aligning themselves with the Tories so what choices do the people have? They can vote Green, knowing full well that a high percentage of a mainly right wing country (England) see them as a fruitcakes (i vote for them, says everything) or they can try to force one of the establishment parties over to the left, which is what they are trying to do with a Corbyn lead Labour. I feel for them i really do.
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| Quote ="Wire Yed"This support of Corbyn does show though that there is a real cry from the people for a left wing alternative.
You have all the daft parties of the far right, then UKIP a little further in, followed by the Tories and then marginally to the right New Labour.
The Lib Dems consigned themselves to the dustbin aligning themselves with the Tories so what choices do the people have? They can vote Green, knowing full well that a high percentage of a mainly right wing country (England) see them as a fruitcakes (i vote for them, says everything) or they can try to force one of the establishment parties over to the left, which is what they are trying to do with a Corbyn lead Labour. I feel for them i really do.'"
Which is why we need Proportional Representation. It would ensure everyone's vote counted and the left could vote for the Greens (or whoever) and the right could vote for UKIP without feeling like its a wasted vote. I'm certain a PR system would see a much higher vote for the non-mainstream parties. Which would give a more accurate account of people's views across the country.
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| It would also give a platform for the far right as it does in France. Are you happy for that to happen? I'm not sure I am.
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| Quote ="Bullseye"It would also give a platform for the far right as it does in France. Are you happy for that to happen? I'm not sure I am.'"
I find France very strange in that regard. I know several educated French people and am surprised at their almost open disgust towards those of arab or African origin in their country. It seems very targeted at those in France rather than the stereotyped dislike of non-whites everywhere.
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