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Quote: trys'r'us "I have made the point on here before that one of the reasons Swain made so many tackles, both here and in the NRL, was that he was targeted due to his style of tackling. Like Houghton, he usually went low and often got caught under the carrier. He differs from Houghton in that this happened less often because of superior technique.

I did say I wasn't giving a complete picture and your point is valid. Teams will try to tire him as it's his energy and explosiveness out of dummy half that is his strength. Although you only have to look at the number of times teams scoot after Houghton has made the tackle and ended up under the ruck to know that he is targeted because of a weakness also.'"


You should go and explain all that stuff to agar

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Quote: Jake the Peg "You should go and explain all that stuff to agar'"


Last person that tried that was Jonny Sharp. icon_lol.gif

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Quote: Big Dave T "Last person that tried that was Jonny Sharp.
and he got a response!!! icon_biggrin.gif

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[quote="dave m":36nw6ut6]Briscoe couldn't get into Wigans Team because of Radlinski even though Radlinski was playing crap at the time still better than old bent nose.[/quote:36nw6ut6] [quote="redtillimdead":36nw6ut6]Oh and as for Briscoe,if he was that fab,why did Wigan see fit to let him leave?[/quote:36nw6ut6]:8903.gif



Quote: Big Dave T "My understanding of what your talking about here is methodology and how this can skew results or not. I wouldnt call this context. I'd call context the analysis/interpretation of results to understand what they mean and what they should be used for. You'd be surprised at the board meetings where i've taken statistical reports how much value and context is derived from the debate. The debate answers the 'so what' question which is what i would call the context. '"


But to understand what they mean you have to understand what they are measuring. And to understand what they are measuring you need to know how they are collected and what definitions are being worked to. I would be surprised if you'd attended board meetings at which no interest was paid to the collection of the statistics you are reporting and what it is they are measuring.

Quote: Big Dave T "I was interested in a debate about Berrigan and whether he has been value for money. From an early stage it was clear that our views were polarised and we weren't going to progress the debate. You didnt want to entertain the stats other than rubbishing them yet at the same time you wanted me to quantify my belief that Berro had been average. How?'"


By writing something along the lines of what I wrote about Houghton being targeted in defence, something that uses specific, game-related actions to show that Berrigan is weak in specific areas or not contributing all that he could. Is Berrigan being caught on the wrong side of the ruck and being scooted against? Is he missing opportunities to get out from dummy half when there are markers not set and a broken line to run against? Is he making the wrong decision when we have a line set, with good numbers and choosing to go the wrong way against the orders of his halves? Is he failing to get involved in tackles that he could get involved in to slow the play because he's struggling for fitness so choosing just to retire the 10m instead?

That sort of stuff, rather than giving me a list of numbers with which I can't do anything. And that's not because the numbers are incorrect or measuring the wrong thing. It's because we simply don't know and as such I can't debate them. I can ask questions about their validity, but there won't be any answers forthcoming because the answers aren't known.

Quote: Big Dave T "I'm not a fan of the external factors that may sound arrogant either so i'm not going to counter this point if thats ok.'"


Fine with me. I only mentioned it because you mentioned your affiliation with statistics earlier. icon_smile.gif

My interpretation (going back to the very original point) of the superleague stats was that someone is spending a lot of time to collate a lot of data and i have absolutely no evidence to disregard it or dis-trust it. Secondary data like that has to just be trusted sometimes. (which is the stance from experience that i tend to take unless the data doesnt feel like it makes sense)

Its fairly easy to spot where data is inaccurate. In masses of data like on the SL site there will be tell tales signs which immediately can make it questionnable.

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[quote="dave m":36nw6ut6]Briscoe couldn't get into Wigans Team because of Radlinski even though Radlinski was playing crap at the time still better than old bent nose.[/quote:36nw6ut6] [quote="redtillimdead":36nw6ut6]Oh and as for Briscoe,if he was that fab,why did Wigan see fit to let him leave?[/quote:36nw6ut6]:8903.gif



Quote: Big Dave T "My point probably not very well explained is that the metric itself and the methodology are defined at input stage. The interpretation of the findings from a metric perspective are at output once theyve seen what the measure is saying including commentary for context and rationale etc. You dont always know youre measuring the right thing until the output stage.

They'll know that its sales data yes, and what it sales of, both are outputs. They wont care about where it was collected and they wont care about when it was collected. It will roll up into a monthly or quarterly report that they receive from a trusted source. They aren't naive at all, they simply pay some of the most respected people in the business to take care of the input stuff for them. One of the key strengths a senior manager can have is to not need to know the detail to allow them to focus on what matters. Thats why most senior managers try to surround themselves with people that complement their weaknesses or they ensure the organisational hierarchy is designed to ensure the right quality data is created at the right time.

I guess the 2nd part of this about reliable and trustworthy is satisfied in the example above for the company i work for. The exec dont personally know the people but i guess the 6 figure salaries been paid to the people pulling the MI and reports together means they come with a certain amount of respect and credibility. icon_smile.gif

I don't distrust it based on not trusting the gatherers. I can't entirely trust it either, but I'm sure whoever is responsible is reliable at collecting what they are attempting to collect. My issue is with what they are attempting to collect, because, unlike sales data, they aren't collecting something that has an absolute, unequivocal definition. As I mentioned earlier with the Fitzgibbon/Tickle/tackling hypothetical, consistency of collation isn't always enough when there are as many variables present as there are in a game of RL. It's not that the data is inaccurate, it's that it has to inflexible to attempt to remain consistent and that just doesn't work, as far as I'm concerned, when there are so many variable, unmeasurable, inconsistent factors involved every minute.

Again, a quick example, assuming the statistics collected are entirely consistent yet remain fair to all. Say tomorrow Berrigan was attempting to scoot against a Leeds pack consisting of Leuluai, Diskin, Peacock, JJB, Ablett and Sinfield. And he's working of plays from Dowes and O'Meley. 20 minutes later, Houghton comes on and is working against a Leeds pack of Bailey, Buderus, Burgess, JJB, Lauiti'iti, Sinfield off plays from Cusack and Moa. Houghton probably gets a quick play against a poorer defence. Or maybe the starting Leeds front row was having a torrid time of it and the replacements are doing a much better job. Who knows? Those collecting the statistics certainly don't. And it's that type of factor (of which there are an innumerable amount every game) that isn't taken into account.

There are just too many uncontrollable variables that can't be factored in for me to be able to regard the statistics provided with anything more than disdain.

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Quote: trys'r'us "
Here's where there's a difference.
Fully get the level of doubt about the variables. The problem is in every single instance practically there are always going to be variables that are uncontollable and often unknown. (or overly complex to feed into any kind of statistical analysis easily)

We tend to go with working assumptions based on what we know. My working assumption about the superleague stats is that they are consistently collated for ease of use. As long as the data is collated consistently it gives a level of comparability even if the data is slightly incorrect. The debate i had on here a couple of years ago was that the figures may be 2 or 3 wrong, but as long as that variance exists in all data collated similarly then the comparability exists which is where the real value comes in this instance.

I did my Masters dissertation on the Return on Investment for a Human Resources function. Until you sit down and map out all of the possible inputs and outputs to something like you wouldnt believe the size of that kind of task. (especially with HR generally been non-statistical and often intangible)

What i needed to do to ensure that the task could actually be completed was to make some working assumptions that may mean the overall result are slightly inaccurate but as long as they have a statistical significance thats relatively high sometimes thats good enough. icon_smile.gif

(i know i said i wasnt going to mention education, it just slipped out) icon_lol.gif

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"Dream Big..Work Hard".................. Sarah Storey, Paralympic Legend.:

Moderator


I go out drinking with Big Dave T.............by choice.

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Quote: R.B.A "I go out drinking with Big Dave T.............by choice.'"


icon_lol.gif

I dont ever talk like this with you mate as i know it would go over your head. I dumb the conversation down for you. icon_wink.gif icon_lol.gif (only joking before you sulk)

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[quote="dave m":36nw6ut6]Briscoe couldn't get into Wigans Team because of Radlinski even though Radlinski was playing crap at the time still better than old bent nose.[/quote:36nw6ut6] [quote="redtillimdead":36nw6ut6]Oh and as for Briscoe,if he was that fab,why did Wigan see fit to let him leave?[/quote:36nw6ut6]:8903.gif



Quote: Big Dave T "Fully get the level of doubt about the variables. The problem is in every single instance practically there are always going to be variables that are uncontollable and often unknown. (or overly complex to feed into any kind of statistical analysis easily)

I did my Masters dissertation on the Return on Investment for a Human Resources function. Until you sit down and map out all of the possible inputs and outputs to something like you wouldnt believe the size of that kind of task. (especially with HR generally been non-statistical and often intangible)

What i needed to do to ensure that the task could actually be completed was to make some working assumptions that may mean the overall result are slightly inaccurate but as long as they have a statistical significance thats relatively high sometimes thats good enough. icon_smile.gif

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[quote="dave m":36nw6ut6]Briscoe couldn't get into Wigans Team because of Radlinski even though Radlinski was playing crap at the time still better than old bent nose.[/quote:36nw6ut6] [quote="redtillimdead":36nw6ut6]Oh and as for Briscoe,if he was that fab,why did Wigan see fit to let him leave?[/quote:36nw6ut6]:8903.gif



Quote: Big Dave T "I'd actually ask for a 2nd cut of data including the missing info and kick off that it was missing in the first place but that doesn't help my point
Which is essentially what I'm doing I guess. Although I'm probably going slightly further and saying that the missing data, whilst vital to the interpretation of the available data, isn't actually measurable itself.

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Quote: Kosh "Which is a little more reasonable. Although now you're going to have to define what you mean by average. Average compared to other members of the squad, average compared to other players in SL, or something different entirely?'"


I supposed I mean Average compared to SL players, I notice Rangi Chase has being mentioned which is a good comparison. Chase is arguably a 6, although also plays 9, his standard is higher than Berro imo because he has the ability to cover both roles and still maintain a high consistent above average performance in comparison with other SL players
I have considered the variables team, coach etc..however Agar has not affected the performances for example of Fitz, Orgre or Manu..we have a big pack with some very effective forwards so I am unable to find any excuses really as to why we have not seen the performances Berro is more than capable of.
How often has he won MOM ? for a player of his calibre it should be a fair few times but I suspect it is not. When I watched him play in the NRL he was my hero, hence the tongue in cheek user name, but I am disappointed in his performances, though I would like nothing better than him to prove me wrong for the remainder of his contract.

319 posts in 22 pages 
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