FORUMS > Hull FC > 2016 Predictions |
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| Quote: Chester Wednesday "I'm big enough to admit when I'm wrong.
I misread one of the posts .
It's 6 of the first 10 , not 7 of 10.
My bad.
Still a majority, mind.'"
Is it? You said a majority of posters have us nailed on for Top 4 minimum.
Top 4: 4 (Airliebirdrunninglate, Tinkerman23, knockersbumpmkII, paperboy)
4th-6th: 3 (Graham Richards, Doom and Gloom Merchant, hull2524)
6th or lower: 3 (Jake the Peg, number6, Wilde3)
Doesn't this mean that 60% of your cherry-picked sample don't have us as Top 4 minimum, and this increases to 75% if you simply go beyond page 2 of a 17 page thread. Actually 76% if you include Marcus's Bicycle.
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| Quote: Mrs Barista "Could be wrong but feel free to correct.
4th or better - 5 out of 20 (25%)
Tinkerman23 3rd
KnockersbumpmkII 4th
Airluebirdrunninglate 3rd
Paperboy 4th
Downtheante 4th
4th-6th 5 out of 20 (25%)
Graham Richards 4th or 5th
Hull2524 4th-6th
Rodney_trotter 4th-5th
Fcbaldy 4th-6th
WIZEB 5th
6th or below 10 out of 20 (50%)
Jake the Peg 7th-8th
Sauasagefingers 7th
Bombed out 6th-7th
Number6 6th
Mrs Barista 6th
Wilde3 6th
Blackandwhiteforever 6th
Doom and Gloom Merchant 5th/6th
Weaver93 6th (at best)
Pmarrow 6th'"
So half are predicting a possible 4th place finish...you can dress it how you want but that looks like 50% give or take 1.
Did you sell mortgages for RBS Mrs B?
You all either believe in father Christmas or have a grumbling psychotic illness if you think you'll finish fourth. 4-6 is pushing it.
The ONLY chance of above 6th is if sneyd and Houghton play all year....at their very best.
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32641_1503834456.jpg The poor man's bonaire:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_32641.jpg |
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| Over the season, we won't be better than:
leeds
wigan
saints
hudds
Unlikely we'll be better than:
wire
catalans
cas
Leaves us scrapping for 7th at best IMO. We have average halfs, an average attacking hooker with no back up and only 1 decent proven quality outside back. No way on earth will we be top 4 and highly unlikely top 6.
Our failings last season were mainly around turning possession and field position into scores. We haven't signed anyone who is likely to have a major impact on that aspect of our play. radford won't have had a major shift in ability and tactics so we'll pretty much get the same as we had with maybe big frank scoring a few and setting up a few more but that will be it. We will still be dull to watch, have a poor kicking game and poor basic skill set across the whole team. Distribution out of acting half will continue to be slow and inaccurate and we'll fade badly late in the season when some of our older players are either injured or knackered.
Groundhog season
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| Quote: Hessle Roader "I rather suspect that Burton got a new spade for Christmas and is continuing to dig a very deep hole, which as we all know will collapse around him. Maybe time for him to retreat and consider his position. It seems that very few of his compatriots are rallying round to support him.'"
Damn your right........I'm stuck in a fourth placed size hole, deluded staring at another false dawn.....o'meley and Fitzgibbon have us nailed on for top 4......oh wait.......Pearson will make us unstoppable with his huge injection of cash......oh wait.......we're a massive massive club.....oh there go Cas, Huddersfield and a late starter Catalan whooshing past us....again and oh s#it our lower league neighbours finish above us regularly too.
If I'm in a hole what continental sized fault line is your club stuck in?
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| Quote: Burtons Forearm "So half are predicting a possible 4th place finish...you can dress it how you want but that looks like 50% give or take 1.
Did you sell mortgages for RBS Mrs B?
You all either believe in father Christmas or have a grumbling psychotic illness if you think you'll finish fourth. 4-6 is pushing it.
The ONLY chance of above 6th is if sneyd and Houghton play all year....at their very best.'"
So we can only possible move up one place, let's hope it's the same for Rovers then and once again you will be back were you belong playing the likes of Sheffield and Leigh.
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| I used the first 10 as a sample because they're the honest predictions.
Once you get past 10 the usual schlurpers come aboard smacking down anyone with a different opinion to theirs.
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| Quote: Burtons Forearm "So half are predicting a possible 4th place finish...you can dress it how you want but that looks like 50% give or take 1.
Did you sell mortgages for RBS Mrs B?
You all either believe in father Christmas or have a grumbling psychotic illness if you think you'll finish fourth. 4-6 is pushing it.
The ONLY chance of above 6th is if sneyd and Houghton play all year....at their very best.'"
Your friend said the majority were predicting we're nailed on top 4 minimum. In fact it's 24%. 76% are therefore not predicting Top 4 minimum. "Dress it how you want" but on average the prediction's, what, 5th? We finished 7th before the split in 2015. Your indignation seems a tad intense in this context.
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| 60% of the first 10 predicted top 4.
First 10
As I've stated 4 times now
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| Quote: Chester Wednesday "I used the first 10 as a sample because they're the honest predictions.
Once you get past 10 the usual schlurpers come aboard smacking down anyone with a different opinion to theirs.'"
But even your analysis on that was wrong. "The majority of posters have you nailed on for fourth minimum". Pretty definitive statement and, sadly for you, insupportable. "Smacking down"? Wow.
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| Quote: Chester Wednesday "60% of the first 10 predicted top 4.
First 10
As I've stated 4 times now'"
"The majority of posters have you nailed on for fourth minimum". Using the first 10, only 4 predicted top 4 minimum. As I've stated several times now. Based on the actual thread, and not your weak attempt at post-justification through limited sample size, it's 24%. Oh dear.
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| No.
6 of the first 10 predictors have hull in 4 th place
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| Quote: Chester Wednesday "No.
6 of the first 10 predictors have hull in 4 th place'"
No they don't. Unless you're saying 4th-6th is a definitive prediction of 4th. Which is clearly incorrect. Your initial segmentation of predictions was as followsWell over half are predicting top 4.
Plenty morespeculating 4th 5th or 6th."
Even applying this to your contrived subset, it's 40% top 4, 30% 4th-6th, 30% 6th or below. Whichever way you cut it, you're wrong.
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| It's terrible that the club and fans have some optimism and ambition, maybe it would be better to only try and aim for 8th like some other clubs.
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| Or compete for honours
Like Rovers did last season
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| Quote: Dave K. "It's terrible that the club and fans have some optimism and ambition, maybe it would be better to only try and aim for 8th like some other clubs.'"
It's OK, they've got a 5 year plan, Jamie Peacock's on it. Jam tomorrow and all that.
What's your prediction Dave, if you have one?
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