My Tips For Thursday ...

2Big Buck's

2Walkon

3Denman

3Take The Stand

4Pasco

4Planet Of Sound

5Sunnyhill Boy

Today at Aintree ...

2.00 Big Bucks
2.35 Starluck
3.10 Star de Mohaison (e/w)
3.45 Sonevafushi (e/w)
4.20 Tramantano (e/w)
4.55 Chapoturgeon
5.30 Font (e/w)

There are more arbs on horse racing than any other sport. The price to lay on Betfair was 1.83 and it's 5/6 or 1.85 with the bookmakers, you could back him with Paddy Power and lay him on Betfair for guaranteed profit.

In this intance he'd be backing Big Bucks to win and Big Bucks to lose with no risk at all to himself.

Betfair is the best guide for horse prices - some firms will lay arbs, Paddy Power often take a view on a race and will stand it for X amount.

As long as the price is under to lay on Betfair then the arb players will come and back it with X firm and lay it with Betfair. As one odds compiler put it "I couldn't think of anything more tedious than arbing" - most arbers will do it in £5 to £40 stakes so you need a heck of a lot of arbs to make it pay.

Big Buck's is 4/5 at the moment and Denman 10/11, both at Ladbrokes.

2.00 Mighty Man
2.35 Hebridean
3.10 Albertas Run
3.45 Take The Stand
4.20 Moon Over Miami
4.55 Tartak
5.30 French Opera

which horse won the 1990 GRAND NATIONAL?

my bets today 2 lucky 15s

all 5 of rubys rides

ouzbeck in 4.55

le duc in 3.45

takaatuf in 3.55 leicester

Mr Frisk was the winner, it holds the record for the fastest time.

Just looking at the first race today i would expect Big Bucks to run away with it but @ 4/5 there isn't much value, Fair Along is getting 4lb from the fav and back on a flat track should go close, Mighty Man again getting 8lb from the fav wasn't disgraced at Cheltenham coming back form an injury and he also has E/W claims, you throw in Hills of Aran, Lough Derg and Duc Regineri who have all finished in the top 3 in the last races and you have a very competitive race for 2nd and 3rd.

2.00 Fair Along e/w
2.35 Hebridean win
3.10 Madison Du Berlais e/w
3.45 McEvoy/Theatre Night e/w
4.20 Valain/Vinmix De Bessy e/w
4.55 Tartak e/w
5.30 not sure yet..

For ref Bet365 seem to be doing enhanced odds on all races paying a 1/4 odds and going 4places in foxhunters..

Agus A Vic in the Foxhunters for the win and Theatre Knight each way in that.

Starluck had major breathing problems at Cheltenham LTO coming over the last and hopefully will bounce back on a more suitable track.

No great thoughts on the other races at the moment, Denman's very weak - people wanting to back Exotic Dancer against him.

Ive had a good word for Trust Fund in the Foxhunters mate and although Starluck should go close, Nicholls loves Herbidian, the horse used to belong to Aiden O'Brian and is known to have good speed, i think the speed over the flat track could help it into first.

Thanks - Trust Fund is an interesting one, Barber is one of the Nicholls satellite yards ie. TF will probably end up at Ditcheat next year.

E/W Lucky 15.

14:00 Big Bucks.
14:35 Hebridian.
15:10 Denman.
15:45 Trust Fund.

£100 on Walsh to be top jockey.

Will also have a flutter on a few more combo's which ill post a bit later.