much obliged, you could be right but if i was guessing id have said the winger was taller the full back looked about 5 9

We are 14/1 today against a Wakefield side who had lost four in a row until they played Salford and who have only won 6 times from 17.

They conceded nearly 50 v Castleford.

And they are missing their best player Paul Aiton who is an 80 minute hooker.

These remote odds have cascaded through to our perceived chances of scoring.

Dixon is 22/1 to score first, 22/1 to score last, 9/4 to score at any time, 12/1 for two or more and 100/1 for a hat trick.

Given that he has scored two hat tricks and has about 16 tries those odds look huge.

We have nearly all our backs available and I am on for first, last and the hat trick plus a London win.

Rammo

You can get help for these delusional ramblings

Betting on the Broncos - now there is an optimist. Though we could beat Salford next week, their fans are less optimistic about a win than we are!

Your 100/1 chance is looking possible.

Cheers for the heads up Mark, I'm £110 richer than I was this morning

It is all about being able to ascertain the true chance when it comes to finding value in the odds.

If you looked at the Wakefield odds, it was as if in simulation Wakefield would win the game as many as 99 times out of 100, when they are an average team who has lost to bottom three sides.

Double digits was an attractive opportunity as I would say London would win more than 10 times out of 100 should the game be played again and again.

If we would have had the strong wind with us in the first half - which was an unexpected but telling factor, I am sure we could have gone much closer.

As for Dixon, he is pretty much a try a game scorer so 9/4 was very big odds, and 12/1 also attractive, given he has scored hat tricks against better sides than Wakefield. 100/1 was great value.

I took out £1000 from £20 on Kaufusi at 50/1 to score last against Salford last season, but like many punters who play long odds, they don't work each week.

Cheers
Mark