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FORUMS > Leigh Leopards > I think we'll just scrape the top 4
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Just done a bot of analysis and I have it that Leigh, Toulouse and Toronto will win all 4 of their remaining games, Fev 2, Fax 2 and London 2.

Based on this, the points difference for Fev, Fax and London stay pretty stagnant with Fev being wiped out at Toronto with a 30 point loss.

I'd rather Leigh finish 4th, but i feel it will be 3rd for us.

1 - Toronto 43 points +588 PD
2 - Toulouse 36 points + 457 PD
3 - Leigh 32 points + 407 PD
4 - Fev 32 points + 336 PD
5 - Fax 31 points + 232 PD
6 - London 30 points + 419 PD

It will be interesting to see how this pans out. Failure to get 4 comfortable wins means 4th place but i have us down to win the next 4 games by +24 +40 +50 +50, and that is pretty conservative to be honest.

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You are predicting some very big wins for Leigh. How many games have you won by a 50+ margin?

The scenario you have described, with Toronto and Toulouse winning all their remaining games is the only way you will make the top 4.

How ironic that some have been desperate for those two sides to lose all year, and are now desperate for them to win all 8 of their remaining fixtures. The three most important games of Leigh’s season are.
Toulouse v London
Halifax v Toulouse
Toronto v Featherstone

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I hope leigh get Top 4 but it will be the great escape if we do

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Quote: HXSparky "Hey, we need to win two of those games and we're in the top 4. Win all our remaining games and we're 2nd. Tough games, but this is what it's all about. Our biggest mistake was not taking at least a point from you at the LSV. Some great games to come in the next few weeks!'"

This run in will upset at least 2 Clubs fans,and tears are deffo on the Menu,I'm not bothered where Leigh finish as long as it's in the top 4.I don't think we will lose another game, but also don't think we will run cricket scores up against Rochdale, Swinton, and Sheff,a narrow win at Batley will do me as well, when did we win at Batley with ease ?I can't remember.

As for the remaining fixtures, ours seem to be the best for points.

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Agreed Charlie, you should win all your remaining games And it will be interesting to see how all the others go, we’ve got tough games coming up and I only hope we can win 3 of them, that will do us. It’s a tough ask but the lads have been playing well for large chunks of games, need to Mke these last 4 into 80minute performances.

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Quote: Norman Bates "Agreed Charlie, you should win all your remaining games And it will be interesting to see how all the others go, we’ve got tough games coming up and I only hope we can win 3 of them, that will do us. It’s a tough ask but the lads have been playing well for large chunks of games, need to Mke these last 4 into 80minute performances.'"

Agree with you there Norman, spoken with words from the head, not from the heart,I would love Leigh , Fev , and Fax to be in the top 4 ,but it doesn't always work out that way .
I really think your game tomorrow at the Shay should be a corker,I'd be there, but I'm at Batley.Have a good day. icon_thumb.gif

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If Leigh don't get +100 difference on Sheffield and Rochdale, then they don't deserve top 4!

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Anyone work a draw into the equations
20-20 in Toulouse, final score

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Doesn’t help, we needed Toulouse to win them all. London have gained a point that we didn’t want.

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Quote: reffy "Doesn’t help, we needed Toulouse to win them all. London have gained a point that we didn’t want.'"

That for sure mate. All we can do now is win all our games with max points difference in all AND hope

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Max they can get now is 33

But they have Fax and Fev yet

Max we can get is 32

So the draw today has not helped us

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Quote: reffy "Doesn’t help, we needed Toulouse to win them all. London have gained a point that we didn’t want.'"

That for sure mate. All we can do now is win all our games with max points difference in all AND hope

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Bad result today, London getting a point, will we regret not getting shut of Jukesy, sooner than we did?

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Quote: charlie caroli "Bad result today, London getting a point, will we regret not getting shut of Jukesy, sooner than we did?'"


A bit early for that!

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All based on the assumption we can will all our 4 games

I don't think this result is as bad as you think - in fact it has some positive aspects. Before today we needed London to lose two games because we were very unlikely to catch them on points difference. Their PD is 158 better than ours - so even if we win all 4 games we have to do so with a 40+ point difference in each game - which is a massive ask.
So in reality we needed them to lose two games and finish on 30 points. We are still in exactly the same situation - if they lose one more game the max they can achieved is 31 points - job done!

The added benefit of the draw is that it puts added pressure onto Toulouse - so hopefully they may still have something to play for when they meet Halifax and it is not a dead rubber.

Just need to beat Batley tomorrow and starting building the pressure on the others.

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Subscribe | Moderators: Admin, Dick Jones , jonny the leyther , mish
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Subscribe | Moderators: Admin, Dick Jones , jonny the leyther , mish



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