If you toss a coin 10 times and get tails 9 times, what are the odds of getting tails on the last toss?

Evens

Exactly. All previous results are meanigless and only the next one matters in isolation. Different squads, different weather, different ref, previous results have no bearing whatsoever on this one although they make for nice little fun facts for the stattos.

Because obviously there is no mental aspect to the game...

That's another spanner in the works - a 20-20 draw!! Now points difference only applies to Fev.

Assuming we can get to 32 points. To get into the top four we need to get past two of the teams above us.

To get above them we need:

a) London to lose 1 of their last 3

b) Halifax to lose 2 of their last 4

c) Featherstone to lose 2 of their last 4 and us to claw back a points difference of 100.

d) Toulouse to lose 2 of their last 3 games (VERY UNLIKELY).

With Halifax v Featherstone today
- assuming there is a winner then we need the losing team to lose one more game from their last 3 to give us a chance.
- a draw doesn't help Fax because one more loss from their last 3 and we would be ahead on points difference.

We don’t need all of those, which is impossible anyway, we just need some of them.

Reffy - yes we just need to get ahead of two of these sides to make the to 4. Therefore we need to win all 3 remaining games and two of the teams below need to do the following:

a) London to lose 1 of their last 3

b) Halifax to lose 2 (or lose 1 and draw 1) of their last 3

c) Featherstone to lose 1 of their last 3 and us to claw back a points difference of 63.

d) Toulouse to lose 2 of their last 3 games (VERY UNLIKELY).

Still sixth!

The losses to Toronto look likely to prove costly, such a huge pity we didnt have a fully fit team to send to Toronto last week.

Must admit if it comes down to it I can see Toronto losing to Fev as they will likely rest a few ready for the 8's.

That said still an outside chance so hopefully 3 wins and see how it pans out.
Been the best championship season for years if not ever.

Fev have London at home Fax have them away. All very exciting finish to the regular season coming up.

This looks like it will be an accurate prediction

Very good, now you can t0$$ yourself off silly tonight.