FORUMS > Warrington Wolves > Today’s match v Saints. |
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| Quote: rubber duckie "In which case to say my post is untruthful, is utter bollox.
I’ll give you a piece of advice, and you’re free to do with it as you wish…
Bookies trust stats because they have too. And yes the longer the stats are, the more reliable they become.
But bookies also lose, otherwise we wouldn’t use them.
And they lose because a times the stats breakdown.
The stats now show Warrington with greater odds, but only in the last month.
Wire have gone against the stats grain and lost a couple of games in the last month, that they really ought to have won, and where heavy odds on to do so.
Those 2 games have turned the stats on its head.
Now what bookies hate, is someone having a little bit of knowledge.
There are reasons why Warrington got beaten.
Warrington playing disadvantage in numbers. Resting players, key players, Dufty, out injured, with a view to be ready soon.
In addition Wire played 2 big derby games back to back, and one with disadvantaged in numbers and won them big, but found themselves fatigued 6 days later against a fresh KR team.
These are all very sound reasons to Warrington failing v KR and in the last month.
Those circumstances twist the form guide/stats to make Wire look the lest best out of the top 3. We are not.
Those little bits of knowledge is what makes someone who isn’t close enough to the club, to only trust the stats.
It’s how gamblers at the bookies lose their money.
It’s called “paper form”…and bookies love it!!
I know that Warrington at near full strength, that don’t find themselves playing a man down, will easily beat Hull KR, and will edge Wigan.
I trust what I have seen, not what the form guide says.
I hope you will not lose too much money on Hull KR, but you will lose, and you can take that to the bank.'"
You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?
First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.
What a load of waffle
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| Quote: nathan_rugby "You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?
First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.
What a load of waffle
No you're wrong he really knows this
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| Duckie, based on your admirable confidence, how much have you staked on Wire winning the GF and at what odds?
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74166_1608576718.jpeg Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_74166.jpeg |
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| Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.
*(should read “admit to being wrong”)
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icons1949_files/3947-1360Zapper-msnicons.jpg :icons1949_files/3947-1360Zapper-msnicons.jpg |
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| Quote: Captain Hook "Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.
*(should read “admit to being wrong”)'"
Never made a bet on RL in my life, but Duckie has almost persuaded me to back us to win the Grand Final this year.
I need help!!!
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74166_1608576718.jpeg Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_74166.jpeg |
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| Quote: Boss Hog "Never made a bet on RL in my life, but Duckie has almost persuaded me to back us to win the Grand Final this year.
I need help!!!'"
was it last year we were going to win everything or the year before…or both?
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| I thought attention seeking days were long past.
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74166_1608576718.jpeg Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_74166.jpeg |
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| Quote: Fantastic Mr Catpiss "i aliken it to 'steiner math'
Oh my…I mean OH MY! Maths was never my strong point but
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| Quote: Fantastic Mr Catpiss "i aliken it to 'steiner math'
I love the fact he's really gone to town to learn all that, instead of the usual wrestler-rhetoric. He must have sat down and worked it all out on paper, like a Christopher Nolan movie plot.
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Quote: easyWire "I love the fact he's really gone to town to learn all that, instead of the usual wrestler-rhetoric. He must have sat down and worked it all out on paper, like a Christopher Nolan movie plot.'"
i have a t shirt, with this on the front, word for word.
i also have a t shirt with THIS on, word for word
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJN9mBRX3uo
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Quote: easyWire "I love the fact he's really gone to town to learn all that, instead of the usual wrestler-rhetoric. He must have sat down and worked it all out on paper, like a Christopher Nolan movie plot.'"
i have a t shirt, with this on the front, word for word.
i also have a t shirt with THIS on, word for word
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJN9mBRX3uo
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38352_1407962301.jpg Packs Win Games
Great Packs Make All Backs Look Class
#onceawirealwaysawire:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_38352.jpg |
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| Quote: nathan_rugby "You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?
First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.
What a load of waffle
No I did not say that.
I said in the first post you replied too, “none of the top 3 will never have an easier chance to win a GF’….”
I didn’t say they had exactly the same chance.
It means that I don’t believe a GF place will come outside the top 3.
You then somehow decide to quote that as i said we have a 33.3% chance of winning.
Not even remotely close to what I said.
However, I think KR only chance of a GF is getting a Wigan on an off day. But I can’t see it.
Wire vs Wigan final imo.
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74166_1608576718.jpeg Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_74166.jpeg |
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| Quote: Fantastic Mr Catpiss "i have a t shirt, with this on the front, word for word.
i also have a t shirt with THIS on, word for word
What size is the T shirt?!!!!
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| Quote: Captain Hook "What size is the T shirt?!!!!'"
extra medium
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| Quote: Fantastic Mr Catpiss "i aliken it to 'steiner math'
Perhaps it's the Rubber Duckworth Lewis Method?
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