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Quote: GT "Are you sure the club don't pay you to try and put a super-positive spin on absolutely everything?!'"

Unsettling, isn't it?

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Quote: Fungus The Muffin Man "Bobby even I understand that it's not as simple as that!

An over inflated last gate, Some away teams bringing bigger numbers due to their elevated position in the league standings.

I stand to be corrected, but I'd put my house on the avg gate for last year being less than usual had it not been for the last game.'"


So is this turning into a game of what may have happened rather than what did?

Our average crowd is up on the year before FACT after a truly horrible season were we lost 3 coaches and very little promotion

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Quote: EX.SALF.UNI "Unsettling, isn't it?'"


Yes. Or it was a tounge-in-cheek comment to a mate, take your pick.

Quote: EX.SALF.UNI "So is this turning into a game of what may have happened rather than what did?

Our average crowd is up on the year before FACT after a truly horrible season were we lost 3 coaches and very little promotion'"


2010 average hasn't been mentioned yet, has it? We've gone from 2009 to 2011 from what I can see.

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Quote: GT "Yes. Or it was a tounge-in-cheek comment to a mate, take your pick.

2010 average hasn't been mentioned yet, has it? We've gone from 2009 to 2011 from what I can see.'"


2010 wasn't on when i checked.

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Quote: The optimist "So is this turning into a game of what may have happened rather than what did?

Our average crowd is up on the year before FACT after a truly horrible season were we lost 3 coaches and very little promotion'"


On the flip side we achieved out highest league position since 2006 yet did not significantly improve attendances (if in FACT we did improve attendances at all).

Statistical analysis should always take into account factors the effect the data. These are known as extraneous or confounding variables; FACT. There were factors that contributed to an inflated mean average attendance last season, FACT!

Be careful not to confuse positivity with ignorance and pretence Bobby mate. The club still has huge potential, but they have not achieved their aim of significantly improving attendances. I'm not getting into WHY this is the case as such a debate is likely to end in ill-informed, ill-considered, pseudo-knowledge driven drivel; just merely pointing out the FACTS.

Back on topic. Fridays or Sundays? sleepy.gif

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Lets go back to Championship style Thursdays icon_biggrin.gif


Oh hang on then we'll clash with Channel 5 icon_lol.gif

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Quote: EX.SALF.UNI "Unsettling, isn't it?'"


You've met Bobby then?????

GT
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Quote: The Original Red Devils "2010 wasn't on when i checked.'"


I've found this for 2010:

www.slstats.org/t13/Salford+City ... mmary.html

So by my reckoning SL average attendance for 2010 was 4,166. So we've gone:

2005 - 4,093
2006 - 4,820
2007 - 5,185
2009 - 4,467
2010 - 4,166
2011 - 4,754
2011 minus last game - 4,305

So in reality we've gained, on average, 139 new people on a season where we'd lost 301 on the previous year.
Quote: The Original Red Devils "2010 wasn't on when i checked.'"


I've found this for 2010:

www.slstats.org/t13/Salford+City ... mmary.html

So by my reckoning SL average attendance for 2010 was 4,166. So we've gone:

2005 - 4,093
2006 - 4,820
2007 - 5,185
2009 - 4,467
2010 - 4,166
2011 - 4,754
2011 minus last game - 4,305

So in reality we've gained, on average, 139 new people on a season where we'd lost 301 on the previous year.


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What your stats show, GT is that we managed to gain a decent (For us) average increase the season after we reached the play-offs. So, with the best will in the world, attendances are going to be tied to on-field success more than any other factor.

I reckon we will post an increase on that for the coming season. Mainly due to the novelty factor of the new stadium. If the Club doesn't improve next season on the pitch I can see the novelty wearing-off fast.

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Quote: TheButcher "What your stats show, GT is that we managed to gain a decent (For us) average increase the season after we reached the play-offs. So, with the best will in the world, attendances are going to be tied to on-field success more than any other factor.'"


I ain't disputing that by any stretch of the imagination. But the bulk of the conversation I was getting involved with surrounded last year's average and how the last game at the Willows affected it. That was the basis for my post.

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Quote: Red Preacher "On the flip side we achieved out highest league position since 2006 yet did not significantly improve attendances (if in FACT we did improve attendances at all).

Statistical analysis should always take into account factors the effect the data. These are known as extraneous or confounding variables; FACT. There were factors that contributed to an inflated mean average attendance last season, FACT!
'"



But surely you can't just pick and choose which factors you include? There are also factors that may have reduced the figures - the fact we were getting spanked most weeks, the rise in unemployment, inflation, pay freezes and reduced hours, more important than usual football derby games and probably more.

If you're analysing stats you also need to compare to wider trends where you can - do we know what happened to average attendances across SL? If, for example, there was a 10% drop across SL and we only dropped 5% that could be argued as a success of sorts (I know they aren't the figures just using them for illustrative purposes)

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Quote: GT "I ain't disputing that by any stretch of the imagination. But the bulk of the conversation I was getting involved with surrounded last year's average and how the last game at the Willows affected it. That was the basis for my post.'"

I was just making an observation based on your post. I agree with you about the last game.

This is the trouble with reading too much, or little, into stats in general.

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Quote: TheButcher "I was just making an observation based on your post. I agree with you about the last game.

This is the trouble with reading too much, or little, into stats in general.'"


Fair does. Agree completely on that last sentence - I did statistics in college, it's amazing how different methods can be used to give the same set of figures many different meanings.

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Quote: RedUnderTheBed "But surely you can't just pick and choose which factors you include? There are also factors that may have reduced the figures - the fact we were getting spanked most weeks, the rise in unemployment, inflation, pay freezes and reduced hours, more important than usual football derby games and probably more.

If you're analysing stats you also need to compare to wider trends where you can - do we know what happened to average attendances across SL? If, for example, there was a 10% drop across SL and we only dropped 5% that could be argued as a success of sorts (I know they aren't the figures just using them for illustrative purposes)'"


I see your points and was merely pointing out that there were weaknesses in the suggestion that we'd increased our attendances.

However, I would tentatively argue that getting spanked most weeks is not a factor to consider as this, correct me if I'm wrong, occurred less this season than in any other season, besides 1997 and 2006, in Super league.
Nevertheless, [ithe rise in unemployment, inflation, pay freezes and reduced hours[/i are arguably factors I overlooked.

The point regarding a potential drop in sales across the board is an interesting one. Whilst it is possible that there was a drop, I suspect we might be surprised to see no change on the previous year. Best wait and see I guess.

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86% of all statistics are made up and the other 17% are just plain outright lies a014.gif

76 posts in 6 pages 
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