FORUMS > The Virtual Terrace > Phil Clarkes Margin Meter |
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60495_1398780661.jpg :d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_60495.jpg |
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| the only reason its pointless is because a rugby game never stays the same its allways changing so if salford kept playing the same way in the 2nd half i would expect it to be 20 points. they should look at factors leading in to the game and then try to perdict the score like they do in the stats before games. i think eddie hemmings has put this tool across wrong it shouldn't be perdiction tool it should be a way of showing how the game is falling.
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64823_1319661026.jpg Believe:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_64823.jpg |
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| The only thing now interesting me is just how far out this contrivance can be. Tonight's halftime to fulltime swing is a new record...44 points. Could take some beating.
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2760_1608132744.jpg [quote="king warrior":2yifc012]Dave do us a favour and gtfo you wopper[/quote:2yifc012]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_2760.jpg |
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| Quote: Ferocious Aardvark "Algorithms? I thought bookies used highly paid odds compilers, to make a book, on the fly?
What's this Sky Predictor? If somebody invented a system that could go through a 12 race card at a greyhound meet, I'd be pretty sure it'd be owned by a guy in a gold plated yacht moored off Barbados.'"
Depends on the sport. Horses, yes, big influence from odds compilers but still a huge reliance on data or else Timeform wouldn't be in business. Sports are largely algorithms, no matter what people on this thread say (I deemed your response the most intelligent and reasonable to respond to). The people who implement them are highly paid too. Look around for a job as an Odds Compiler and you will struggle. You'll see plenty of jobs as a trader, which is competely different.
My example regarding the Predictor was obviously a one off and the predictor is largely for novelty purposes but it shows how a feature can actually be interesting and respected.
Bookies were 24 points or so on the handicap and had it spot on near enough. And this was nothing to do with this evenings "odds compilers" opinion on tonights match.
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2760_1608132744.jpg [quote="king warrior":2yifc012]Dave do us a favour and gtfo you wopper[/quote:2yifc012]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_2760.jpg |
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| Quote: binks "Sorry but a Bookie is far from accurate enough to really call it a scientific algorithm, at best a very educated guess otherwise no one would ever win??'"
Well you've just nailed it. Nobody ever wins. They have the advantage all the time because they employ some extremely clever people who use data to their advantage.
And this is coming from someone who loves a punt. But I'm not naive.
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6278_1381491357.jpg [b:3ekusm3q][color=#FF0000:3ekusm3q]WIGAN RLFC[/color:3ekusm3q][/b:3ekusm3q]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6278.jpg |
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| Quote: Mr. Zucchini Head "I think an interesting use for it would be to say at the end of the game, we have inputted the stats from the game (not including tries and goals etc) and the margin metre reckons that based on this the score should be... Then see how that compares to the actual score. This would give us an idea of just how important things like possession and completion actually are.'"
I'd also do a prediction at the start as well like Bilko does on the Wigan match previews.
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| Is it broken?
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2358_1651040874.jpg Wakefield TRINITY:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_2358.jpg |
Moderator
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| No its not broken.
I borrowed it from Clarkey last night.
Before the game it said Manly by 60. However by halftime it said Leeds by 104.
Good isn't it?
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64823_1319661026.jpg Believe:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_64823.jpg |
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| Quote: Mark_W "Is it broken?
Irreparably I hope.
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3604.gif ALL GAVE SOME.. SOME GAVE ALL...
Blue noses are born, Not manufactured. We do not choose, We are the chosen. Those who don't understand, Don't matter. Those who understand, Need no explanation ..
W.A T.P
RANGERS will rise again
winner of the Wakefield Trinity challenge cup tipping comp 2012....YNBTG:3604.gif |
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| what is it exactly?
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28995_1336988015.jpg Christianity: because you're so awful you made God kill himself.:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_28995.jpg |
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| Quote: adelaide-giant.no9 "what is it exactly?'"
Phil Clarke's latest useless invention. It's on a par with the try tracker.
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| Oh no it's back. I'm sure i didn't see it first half!
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64823_1319661026.jpg Believe:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_64823.jpg |
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| Oh cr*p
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3604.gif ALL GAVE SOME.. SOME GAVE ALL...
Blue noses are born, Not manufactured. We do not choose, We are the chosen. Those who don't understand, Don't matter. Those who understand, Need no explanation ..
W.A T.P
RANGERS will rise again
winner of the Wakefield Trinity challenge cup tipping comp 2012....YNBTG:3604.gif |
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| Quote: Chief Stinkwort "Oh cr*p
please make your comments clearer for the benefit of those without pictures
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| Some statistician puts a number of match facts and stats into account to predict the final outcome of the match
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Rank | Posts | Team |
International Board Member | 13571 | No Team Selected |
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Jan 2003 | 22 years | |
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3604.gif ALL GAVE SOME.. SOME GAVE ALL...
Blue noses are born, Not manufactured. We do not choose, We are the chosen. Those who don't understand, Don't matter. Those who understand, Need no explanation ..
W.A T.P
RANGERS will rise again
winner of the Wakefield Trinity challenge cup tipping comp 2012....YNBTG:3604.gif |
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| Quote: Mark_W "Some statistician puts a number of match facts and stats into account to predict the final outcome of the match'"
and i presume this is updated regularly during the game?.. thank god i left all that crap behind 5 years ago
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