FORUMS > The Virtual Terrace > Crusaders Crowd |
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| Quote: SmokeyTA "It is ridiculous to pretend the difference between 1500 and 3k is the same as the difference between 7.5k and 15k. It is much easier to tell the difference between 7.5k and 15k than it is 1.5k and 3k because the numbers are bigger. Similarly it is easier to tell the difference between 1m and 2m than it is the difference between 1000 and 2000.
What is ridiculous here is that your guess itself has a margin of error of 1k, pretty much the difference between 2 and 3k. You admit you cannot in an attendance of 7k be confident in a guess to a margin of error of 1k, but are confident in stating that despite seeing nothing but a camera angle, that an attendance of 3k is wrong because it is 1k away from what you think.
It looked like nothing. If anyone from watching the game on tv could ever have made any kind of accurate guess then they do have a gift. The camera never showed enough information. People are guessing, they are guessing in a way which fits their bias and goes against the actual evidence we have. For that, they are idiots.'"
Even for you this is hypocritical.
First of all you make out that it is easier to tell the difference between bigger number than smaller numbers (debatable anyway) and then you try to make out like my margin of error which was in your words 1000 out in a crowd of 8500 (actually only 500 from my top estimate anyway) is the same as being 1000 out in a crowd of 3000. In reality being 1000 out in a crowd of 8500 is a 12% error when 1000 out in a crowd of 3000 is a 33% error.
The camera showed every single angle at different times. I actually presumed that the popular side was below the camera but then the camera showed what was on the other side. You would usually argue black was white but are you really suggesting that Sky don't show the whole crowd at different times?
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| Quote: Maximus Decimus "Do they not do this in Australia as well? After all there is definite proof that the Melbourne Storm used to fudge the figures.'"
True, but I have no idea what Australia's tax laws are but even if they're the same as here then Melbourne, with their rich owners, were either prepared to pay the extra tax or take the risk of it not being spotted.
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6679_1399761959.png [quote="dally messenger":1gysl9ow]was watching an nfl doco. on one of their teams and they used the term bomb to describe those long high passes from quaterback to running back and i think gibson took that idea, realized you cant throw the ball forward in RL and adapted it to a "bomb" kick we have[/quote:1gysl9ow]
[quote="eels fan":1gysl9ow]You poor poor obsessed fat ex vichyballin potato thieving stoaway.[/quote:1gysl9ow]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6679.png |
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| Quote: Jim Bergerac "If I'm wrong, then apologies.'"
accepted.
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[size=100:xt1xzi0r][b:xt1xzi0r][url=http://"http://maxdecimus13.blogspot.com/":xt1xzi0r]A Widnesian in Ireland blog[/url:xt1xzi0r][/size:xt1xzi0r][/b:xt1xzi0r]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6396.jpg |
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| Quote: headhunter "Because I watched both games, and the ground was substantially more full for the game with the attendance of 3,000 than it was for the one with the attendance of 1,500.'"
How do you not see the contradiction in this comment? I've seen hundreds of RL games and noted the size of the crowd in most of them, including Crusaders games. For all but 4 years since 1995, Widnes have played in front of crowds at home that were give or take 3,000 most of the time in a stadium of about 12,000. The difference between Saturday and those games is marked.
Quote: headhunter "Apart from the stand underneath the cameras, which is where the vast majority of home supporters sit. The fact that you are trying to use Wrexham FC fans to back you up pretty much nullifies your argument. Obviously it is possible to estimate a crowd from TV images. However, to then continue to assert that the announced crowd is wrong with no basis other than that estimate is just stupidity.'"
Like I said to SmokeyTA, it showed that side. Also, 90% of Crusaders fans currently are probably Wrexham FC fans and their most popular board is on a Wrexham FC board.
Salford are not particularly a popular club that post small crowds however I can't think of a single example where somebody has questioned their crowd figures no matter how small they have been announced. I would even suggest that people rarely question the crowd figures given of Harlequins. I made an estimate based on prior knowledge and so it happens many others made a very similar estimate on twitter and from numerous different sources to. You can convince yourself it's some anti-Crusaders conspiracy but in reality people don't question crowds nearly as often as you think they do.
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Quote: Him "True, but I have no idea what Australia's tax laws are but even if they're the same as here then Melbourne, with their rich owners, were either prepared to pay the extra tax or take the risk of it not being spotted.'"
The Melbourne CEO not only accepted that crowd figures were inflated but suggested that many other clubs do the same. This was his quote, 'It was brought to my attention that most sporting clubs do that in terms of adjusting their numbers'
Read more: www.theage.com.au/rugby-league/l ... zz1SV20o83
I can't see that their tax laws would be that much laxer than ours.
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Quote: Him "True, but I have no idea what Australia's tax laws are but even if they're the same as here then Melbourne, with their rich owners, were either prepared to pay the extra tax or take the risk of it not being spotted.'"
The Melbourne CEO not only accepted that crowd figures were inflated but suggested that many other clubs do the same. This was his quote, 'It was brought to my attention that most sporting clubs do that in terms of adjusting their numbers'
Read more: www.theage.com.au/rugby-league/l ... zz1SV20o83
I can't see that their tax laws would be that much laxer than ours.
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| Quote: Maximus Decimus "The Melbourne CEO not only accepted that crowd figures were inflated but suggested that many other clubs do the same. This was his quote, 'It was brought to my attention that most sporting clubs do that in terms of adjusting their numbers'
Read more:
Well he could be correct, or he could be trying to make their recent attendances look better and trying to suggest everyone does it to make himself look better. He offers no evidence for his assertion and the NRL obviously don't agree with him.
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[size=100:xt1xzi0r][b:xt1xzi0r][url=http://"http://maxdecimus13.blogspot.com/":xt1xzi0r]A Widnesian in Ireland blog[/url:xt1xzi0r][/size:xt1xzi0r][/b:xt1xzi0r]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6396.jpg |
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| Quote: Him "Well he could be correct, or he could be trying to make their recent attendances look better and trying to suggest everyone does it to make himself look better. He offers no evidence for his assertion and the NRL obviously don't agree with him.'"
But it does add weight to the prospect that teams inflate crowd figures. We also know that some teams have in the past included season tickets whether they turned up or not. Then you have examples such as the Halifax crowd against Batley when they were able to include free tickets given out in their final figure despite almost all fans accepting that the crowd figure was nowhere near that.
Just because a figure is announced doesn't mean that that is how many are actually at the game watching it.
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6731_1299024498.jpg [quote="King Street Cat":1wa9s43t]Some might look at this as being harsh but I think it's fair. When are the Rugby League going to stop persisting with this fantasy expansion. If it hasn't worked by now, it never will! I'm all for reaching out to a wider audience with our game but not at the expense of historical clubs in the homelands.[/quote:1wa9s43t]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6731.jpg |
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| Quote: Maximus Decimus "How do you not see the contradiction in this comment? I've seen hundreds of RL games and noted the size of the crowd in most of them, including Crusaders games. For all but 4 years since 1995, Widnes have played in front of crowds at home that were give or take 3,000 most of the time in a stadium of about 12,000. The difference between Saturday and those games is marked. '" I understand that. But this doesn't mean you have some sort of divine ability to determine the attendance at any event simply from looking at a TV pitcture. Like I said, the Cup game that had an attendance of 1,500 looked a significantly lower crowd on TV than yesterday's game. There's no contradiction in that, because it's not based on me attempting to estimate attendances and then passing them off as fact. There's absolutely no reason to suspect that they are lying about either figure.
Quote: Maximus Decimus "Like I said to SmokeyTA, it showed that side. Also, 90% of Crusaders fans currently are probably Wrexham FC fans and their most popular board is on a Wrexham FC board. '" No they aren't, and no it's not. Do some research.
Quote: Maximus Decimus "Salford are not particularly a popular club that post small crowds however I can't think of a single example where somebody has questioned their crowd figures no matter how small they have been announced. I would even suggest that people rarely question the crowd figures given of Harlequins. I made an estimate based on prior knowledge and so it happens many others made a very similar estimate on twitter and from numerous different sources to. You can convince yourself it's some anti-Crusaders conspiracy but in reality people don't question crowds nearly as often as you think they do.'" I've already stated that no other clubs have their crowds scrutinised in the way Crusaders do. If anything, what you have just said backs up my previous posts entirely.
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| Quote: Maximus Decimus "But it does add weight to the prospect that teams inflate crowd figures. We also know that some teams have in the past included season tickets whether they turned up or not. Then you have examples such as the Halifax crowd against Batley when they were able to include free tickets given out in their final figure despite almost all fans accepting that the crowd figure was nowhere near that.
Just because a figure is announced doesn't mean that that is how many are actually at the game watching it.'"
The crowd at Odslum was given at just over 14,000 but i would show my in Woolies window if they were more than 8,000 there
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//www.pngnrlbid.com
[quote="bUsTiNyAbALLs":9q9d2t35]Do not converse with me you filthy minded deviant.[/quote:9q9d2t35]
[quote="vastman":9q9d2t35]My rage isn't impotent luv, I'm frothing at the mouth actually.[/quote:9q9d2t35]: |
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| Quote: Maximus Decimus "Even for you this is hypocritical.
First of all you make out that it is easier to tell the difference between bigger number than smaller numbers (debatable anyway) and then you try to make out like my margin of error which was in your words 1000 out in a crowd of 8500 (actually only 500 from my top estimate anyway) is the same as being 1000 out in a crowd of 3000. In reality being 1000 out in a crowd of 8500 is a 12% error when 1000 out in a crowd of 3000 is a 33% error. '" Your margin of error was 1000. You estimated between 7 and 8k. It was wrong even giving yourself that margin of error. Whilst you were only 500 away from your top estimate you were 1500 from your lower estimate. Now you seem to be accepting that 500 was an acceptable margin from your estimate of between 7 and 8k which means that your lower estimate wasnt 7k but 6.5k and you in fact needed a margin of error of 2k, or as would be easier and simply to explain, you guessed at the attendance, gave a fairly wide range and still got it wrong because you dont really know and cant really estimate that well the attendance from tv pictures.
Quote: Maximus Decimus "The camera showed every single angle at different times. I actually presumed that the popular side was below the camera but then the camera showed what was on the other side. You would usually argue black was white but are you really suggesting that Sky don't show the whole crowd at different times?'" No, im arguing its a pretty special gift for you to see the differing angles, remember them, and put them together and come up with a good estimate on an attendance, a gift you have proved today you dont have.
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50156_1266757028.jpg [b:6jl68bf5][quote="Damo-Leeds":6jl68bf5]Please tell me what a coach’s job is.[/quote:6jl68bf5]
[/b:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Matt89":6jl68bf5]phipps knows best (everything about rugby league) so don't disagree!!!![/quote:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Huddersfield1895 AKA dally messenger":6jl68bf5]
Having read the article several times I'm still confused[/quote:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Damo-Leeds":6jl68bf5]I shall keep posting on this thread and derail it as much as I want to.[/quote:6jl68bf5]
[b:6jl68bf5][quote="PHIPPS":6jl68bf5]Sadly for Wigan as soon as Maguire gets an offer from an NRL club he will be on the plane home before you can say 'meat and potato pie'[/quote:6jl68bf5]
[/b:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Conorgiantsfan":6jl68bf5]I like you Phipps. I like your style.[/quote:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Chorlton RL":6jl68bf5]As far as gauging the potential in the South West, I'd have thought the rumoured Wembley international double-header at the end of the season would be good way to do this. [/quote:6jl68bf5]
[quote="Conorgiantsfan":6jl68bf5]You really annoy me. Like genital warts, but worse.[/quote:6jl68bf5]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_50156.jpg |
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| Quote: Big Graeme "Bigger gobes than you have failed to come up with proof so I'm not surprised.
Unless you have that proof then jog on.'"
Don't you worry Graham. I know what you mean. No one saw or heard anything. It never happened ok?
'" ]
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| Quote: PHIPPS "You have never visited the Stoop have you'"
and neither have you!
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| Quote: headhunter "I understand that. But this doesn't mean you have some sort of divine ability to determine the attendance at any event simply from looking at a TV pitcture. Like I said, the Cup game that had an attendance of 1,500 looked a significantly lower crowd on TV than yesterday's game. There's no contradiction in that, because it's not based on me attempting to estimate attendances and then passing them off as fact. There's absolutely no reason to suspect that they are lying about either figure.
No they aren't, and no it's not. Do some research.
I've already stated that no other clubs have their crowds scrutinised in the way Crusaders do. If anything, what you have just said backs up my previous posts entirely.'"
You are making judgements on your own bias, there are contradictions in you claiming that you can tell one crowd had a difference but somebody claiming that it didn't look like 3,055 is ludicrous. I've pointed out examples of clubs that admit falsifying figures and then given examples of how it can happen (Halifax's last game of the season in 2010). It's not lying so much as including people that didn't attend.
There are two Crusaders boards, I'd say the one on the Wrexham forum is the busier. If I want to know anything about them I'm more likely to go there than the proboards site. Inevitably they won't have taken many fans from the south and the majority of paying attendees will also be Wrexham fans.
Salford are not well liked at all and if people suspected they were over-egging their crowds people would be on it like a shop. I didn't say that I know for 100% it was wrong but it certainly didn't look like 3,000. As ever though anybody who suggests it must have an agenda.
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[size=100:xt1xzi0r][b:xt1xzi0r][url=http://"http://maxdecimus13.blogspot.com/":xt1xzi0r]A Widnesian in Ireland blog[/url:xt1xzi0r][/size:xt1xzi0r][/b:xt1xzi0r]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_6396.jpg |
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| Quote: SmokeyTA "Your margin of error was 1000. You estimated between 7 and 8k. It was wrong even giving yourself that margin of error. Whilst you were only 500 away from your top estimate you were 1500 from your lower estimate. Now you seem to be accepting that 500 was an acceptable margin from your estimate of between 7 and 8k which means that your lower estimate wasnt 7k but 6.5k and you in fact needed a margin of error of 2k, or as would be easier and simply to explain, you guessed at the attendance, gave a fairly wide range and still got it wrong because you dont really know and cant really estimate that well the attendance from tv pictures.
No, im arguing its a pretty special gift for you to see the differing angles, remember them, and put them together and come up with a good estimate on an attendance, a gift you have proved today you dont have.'"
You're pathetic. There is a world of difference between an estimate 1000 out in a game that had 8500 there and being 1500 out of a game that had 3000 there. I'll show you where an informed estimate comes from in my next post. What you don't realise is that 1000 out is a pretty good effort, I could have said 100, I could have said 60,000 but based on prior knowledge I got within a few per cent of the real figure.
I was watching the game and was shocked by how few were on the camera side. I therefore presumed that they were on the other side, which a subsequent angle proved that they clearly weren't. I then tweeted about it, which a few others also did. It's hardly a gift for remembering different angles. The TV shows 3 sides pretty often in a match.
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| OK here goes, a little justification for all those being ridiculed by the usual apologists. You made me do it!
Basically the capacity of the 3 sides of Wrexham's stadium is 10,500ish. This means that on average the 3 stands at the Cru game would need to be roughly just under a third full. Let's look at the travelling support based on the Super League show cameras,
It would be very generous to see this as nearly a third.
This was the TV side. This is nowhere near a third full.
If the popular side was off the camera then it could make up for it. It was pretty hard to get a picture of this side from the BBC but I clipped 2 that show the reality of it.
Once again, not even close to a third full in my opinion.
I've no doubt that you'll still argue until you're blue in the face that these do constitute a third of the seats in each of the stand but you're being dishonest if you do.
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