FORUMS > The Virtual Terrace > Jarryd Hayne to join the NFL |
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| Quote: The Avenger "...
What I'm contesting is the assertion that as an athlete he will somehow be inadequate, outmatched and under developed when compared with other Trial Camp hopefuls. I beleive his development to date, both Physicaly, Psychologically and emotionally will offer him an advantage in those disciplines.'"
I read with interest your detailed post and it is just a pity you didn't respond to the Op with that instead of bagging that reasoned view as "claptrap".
I think your summary though is in danger of being a straw man. I don't think anyone is calling him "inadequate"; and he IS "underdeveloped" in many major areas, the biggest by far is failing to have many long and hard years of experience of how to play American football. That is the issue. If he was bigger, stronger or faster than any other player then that would counter his total lack of experience but he isn't. Please don't think that means he's the worst, because he won't be that either. It's just that he'd need to be better than any other of the elite NFL players who have spent years working in that sport to reach that level, to displace the best of all those as a starter.
I think you massively overplay your "EQ" point. Hayne has many fine attributes that combine to make him one mean RL player and had he been raised in the USA and worked his way through college ranks he may well have developed into a fine NFL player but that's not the issue now.
Teh issue is whether he has better attributes than those competing for a starting spot. Outmatched? Well, just to illustrate he IS well outmatched by (for example) nthe 29 year old Reggie Bush, a put returner who in one comparison was timed (whilst wearing helmet and pads and changing direction) at fully rl1 METRE PER SECOND FASTER than Hayne.rl. It's just one snapshot and it doesn't make Hayne slow - far from it - but yes he is in that comparison very considerably "outmatched".
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| I think people are under-estimating Hayne's chances and similarly over-estimating the NFL.
Firstly, the specialization people speak of isnt as pronounced as the say. Cornerbacks havent been specialized as CB's since they were 5 years old. Many, if not most, of the best ones will play CB and WR and a multitude of other positions all the way up through high-school. Because they are such talented athletes, and because winning is so important americans even at schools level, they will be used in the same way our best youngsters sometimes are. Just get them involved because they are so much better than their counterparts. Ryan Tannehill played mostly WR in college but is QB for the Dolphins. Julian Edelman was a QB in college who has played defence for the Patriots, and lined up at WR last night.
Secondly, NFL teams often pick athletes and find a position for them. Lawrence Okoye was a discus thrower and is with the 49ers. Basketball players, sprinters and wrestlers have made the jump.
Thirdly, sometimes thing can be learned from other sports. Personally even as a an NFL fan, it frustrates me to watch some attempts at tackling with players far too concerned with making a hit than actually bringing a player down. You see a lot of tackles broken which looked at with league eyes we would criticise the tackler for 'going high', Perhaps Hayne would take advantage of that causing a rethink in how to actually tackle.
lastly, sometimes we see, a certain naivete can be a huge plus. Jason Robinson tore up union because he didnt play like a union player. Everything union players had spent their careers learning wasnt applicable to him. he didnt run where they expected him to go, he didnt go in to contact how they expected him to. Sports, especially like the NFL, are so structured now, and so planned out that someone seeing things entirely differently gets a huge advantage, especially an athlete like Hayne. There is a chance that after seeing a 13 man NRL defensive line rushing towards him a blocked and broken NFL special teams defence looks full of huge holes to him.
Will he make it? god knows. he probably should have done it a couple of years ago to give himself the best chance but i know he is a world class athlete by any measure, i know he is a world class broken field runner and i know he is used to carrying and contact. Good Luck to him.
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| So if Hayne could run 100 metres in 12 seconds - he is probably quicker than that - Reggie Bush must be the quicker than Usain Bolt!!
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| Quote: Ferocious Aardvark "
Teh issue is whether he has better attributes than those competing for a starting spot. Outmatched? Well, just to illustrate he IS well outmatched by (for example) nthe 29 year old Reggie Bush, a put returner who in one comparison was timed (whilst wearing helmet and pads and changing direction) at fully rl1 METRE PER SECOND FASTER than Hayne.rl. It's just one snapshot and it doesn't make Hayne slow - far from it - but yes he is in that comparison very considerably "outmatched".'"
However Reggie Bush would have nowhere near the stamina to play 80mins of RL. Hayne right now is trained for a balance of speed, strength and stamina. Reggie Bush is pretty much a sprinter with a ball. Hayne possibly wouldnt need to be as strong as he is, and he certainly wouldnt need to have the stamina he does to play in the NFL. There is no reason to assume that Hayne couldnt improve his speed and explosiveness now he has less of a focus on strength and stamina.
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| Quote: Sal Paradise "So if Hayne could run 100 metres in 12 seconds - he is probably quicker than that - Reggie Bush must be the quicker than Usain Bolt!!'"
Bush ran 10.42 in high school. I'd imagine he'll be quicker now, though obviously not as quick a Bolt.
There are NFL punt returners who have run sub 10-second 100m (Trindon Holliday and Jacoby Ford).
Hayne ran 100m in 11.20 when they had an NRLvsAFLvsRU track exhibition in Australia.
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| Needs retitiling to Jarryd Hayne lives in LA for 6 months before rejoining the NRL.
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| Bolt powers away imperiously in the last 30 metres or so to crush his rivals. But I think I'd have a sneaky bet on Reggie Bush in a 40 metre dash.
Now there's an event that somebody should organize!
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| Quote: Ferocious Aardvark "I read with interest your detailed post and it is just a pity you didn't respond to the Op with that instead of bagging that reasoned view as "claptrap".
I think your summary though is in danger of being a straw man. I don't think anyone is calling him "inadequate"; and he IS "underdeveloped" in many major areas, the biggest by far is failing to have many long and hard years of experience of how to play American football. That is the issue. If he was bigger, stronger or faster than any other player then that would counter his total lack of experience but he isn't. Please don't think that means he's the worst, because he won't be that either. It's just that he'd need to be better than any other of the elite NFL players who have spent years working in that sport to reach that level, to displace the best of all those as a starter.
I think you massively overplay your "EQ" point. Hayne has many fine attributes that combine to make him one mean RL player and had he been raised in the USA and worked his way through college ranks he may well have developed into a fine NFL player but that's not the issue now.
Teh issue is whether he has better attributes than those competing for a starting spot. Outmatched? Well, just to illustrate he IS well outmatched by (for example) nthe 29 year old Reggie Bush, a put returner who in one comparison was timed (whilst wearing helmet and pads and changing direction) at fully rl1 METRE PER SECOND FASTER than Hayne.rl. It's just one snapshot and it doesn't make Hayne slow - far from it - but yes he is in that comparison very considerably "outmatched".'"
As the article refers to, Hayne has shut his speed off and is celebrating before he reaches the in goal so the comparison in speed is flawed from the outset.
Reggie Bush is not an NFL hopefull either he's the best there is currently playing in the NFL, even way back when he wasn't just a trial camp athlete he was the no1 draft pick.
As for my original post in hindsight I went back and had another look and I agree with you so I edited it yesterday.
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| Quote: SmokeyTA "I think people are under-estimating Hayne's chances and similarly over-estimating the NFL.
Firstly, the specialization people speak of isnt as pronounced as the say. Cornerbacks havent been specialized as CB's since they were 5 years old. Many, if not most, of the best ones will play CB and WR and a multitude of other positions all the way up through high-school. Because they are such talented athletes, and because winning is so important americans even at schools level, they will be used in the same way our best youngsters sometimes are. Just get them involved because they are so much better than their counterparts. Ryan Tannehill played mostly WR in college but is QB for the Dolphins. Julian Edelman was a QB in college who has played defence for the Patriots, and lined up at WR last night.
Secondly, NFL teams often pick athletes and find a position for them. Lawrence Okoye was a discus thrower and is with the 49ers. Basketball players, sprinters and wrestlers have made the jump.
Thirdly, sometimes thing can be learned from other sports. Personally even as a an NFL fan, it frustrates me to watch some attempts at tackling with players far too concerned with making a hit than actually bringing a player down. You see a lot of tackles broken which looked at with league eyes we would criticise the tackler for 'going high', Perhaps Hayne would take advantage of that causing a rethink in how to actually tackle.
lastly, sometimes we see, a certain naivete can be a huge plus. Jason Robinson tore up union because he didnt play like a union player. Everything union players had spent their careers learning wasnt applicable to him. he didnt run where they expected him to go, he didnt go in to contact how they expected him to. Sports, especially like the NFL, are so structured now, and so planned out that someone seeing things entirely differently gets a huge advantage, especially an athlete like Hayne. There is a chance that after seeing a 13 man NRL defensive line rushing towards him a blocked and broken NFL special teams defence looks full of huge holes to him.
Will he make it? god knows. he probably should have done it a couple of years ago to give himself the best chance but i know he is a world class athlete by any measure, i know he is a world class broken field runner and i know he is used to carrying and contact. Good Luck to him.'"
Excellent post and expands on one of my original points that Haynes lack of experience as an NFL player could end up being a major positive for him.
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| Avenger, you have no idea what you are talking about. There will be sophomores who understand more about their body than Hayne ever will. From a physical point of view he won't get a look in. Some of these punt returners can do almost sub 10 second 100 m sprints with full padding. There is nothing from a physical point of view he can offer that someone in the 9th round of the draft pick can't offer who have also played the game all their life.
He will be another Dwain Chambers but good on him for at last chasing his dream
Regards
King James
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| The Avenger, I didn't get to read your intial response so no hard feelings.
I've watched Gridiron for over 30 years so I think I have a fairly good take on the sport.
There's no doubt that Hayne is a fantastic athlete, he has being honing his bodies requirements to play RL for over 10 years, a sport of bodily contact with lengthy periods of running over 2x40 minutes halves with attack and defence coming in quick succession. He is the consumate all-rounder, this is what enables RL players to play very well in various positions. He could play Loose, in the halves, on the wing, centre, second row (with a few kg added on) hooker, probably only Prop evades him but could by bulking up.
There's actually very little difference between most positions in RL, you learn to tackle and pass as a kid, the are the basic fundamentals, we all know how to kick grubbers/bombs just few do it at the top level. Most could slot over a kick from in front of the posts too (and in Paul Anderson's case from the touchline too..lol)
By comparison NFL is very specific, so much so that very very few players are able to cover other positions.
As for experience (in a pro sport environ) isn't always a guide as to how well someone will do, just look at young kids coming through in RL, no fear, wet behind the ears and play incredible rugby. Because our sport is massively less technical than NFL, put a 17/18 yr old kid into a pro NFL game and he'd be cut to shreds and taken off shortly afterwards, it just wouldn't happen anyway. The youngest ever player is 19 (funnily his surname is Okoye too) and only because he'd finished his college education having started it at 16. A rare occurance in itself.
I think the fact that Hayne is a big name in another sport is going to hinder him, fear of failure, fear of making a fool of yourself/not cutting the mustard. Human beings have similar natural reactions/fears, training ourselves to overcome these is difficult and when in stress situations they tend to come to the fore. The spotlight will be on him from certain circles and some will be happy if he fails. I'm not one of them.
That said in my considered opinion I just don't think he will make it, I don't think a team will risk putting him on the field as a punt/kick returner even if they wanted to. Realistically it is the only position he could go straight into as it's the most basic of positions (even more basic than place kickers/punters).
Let's see what happens and IF he does get a chance I'll be watching with interest
And yes, the tackling by the Safety's and some linebackers leaves a lot to be desired, they make similar mistakes to RL players, tackling bigger players up top and just get pushed off, run over or the attacker makes a whole load more yards. They could learn a lot frankly and I watch in amazement how easily some of them drop off tackles or even can't figure out where the runner is going, distinctly odd in fact some of the mindless defence that happens but some of that is pressure/speed of thought.
As for Okoye (discus), an amazing physical specimen, intelligent and motivated, unlucky to get injured and was cut by the 9'ers back in August only to come back due to injuries. He's run a 100m FASTER than Hayne @ 11.02s, his 40yd dash of 4.74 in his combine is incredible (faster than JJ WATT even!) yet he's 32kg heavier than Hayne !! It just just shows you how incredibly difficult it is to break into the sport with zero technical experience even with all the physical attributes such as that Okoye has (And you never know he might get a game this season)
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| 98.7% of college football players dont make it to the NFL. They have been playing all their lives and are the elite at that sport at that age. No player from another sport over the age of 25 has EVER made it in a non kicking position in the NFL. Good on Hayne for giving it a go but I would be totally amazed if he even gets past try out camp next year.
I am good at GT6 maybe I should ask Red Bull for a drive?
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| Quote: JB Down Under "98.7% of college football players dont make it to the NFL. They have been playing all their lives and are the elite at that sport at that age. No player from another sport over the age of 25 has EVER made it in a non kicking position in the NFL. Good on Hayne for giving it a go but I would be totally amazed if he even gets past try out camp next year.
I am good at GT6 maybe I should ask Red Bull for a drive?'"
Couldn't hurt.
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| Quote: knockersbumpMKII "The Avenger, I didn't get to read your intial response so no hard feelings.
I've watched Gridiron for over 30 years so I think I have a fairly good take on the sport.
There's no doubt that Hayne is a fantastic athlete, he has being honing his bodies requirements to play RL for over 10 years, a sport of bodily contact with lengthy periods of running over 2x40 minutes halves with attack and defence coming in quick succession. He is the consumate all-rounder, this is what enables RL players to play very well in various positions. He could play Loose, in the halves, on the wing, centre, second row (with a few kg added on) hooker, probably only Prop evades him but could by bulking up.
There's actually very little difference between most positions in RL, you learn to tackle and pass as a kid, the are the basic fundamentals, we all know how to kick grubbers/bombs just few do it at the top level. Most could slot over a kick from in front of the posts too (and in Paul Anderson's case from the touchline too..lol)
By comparison NFL is very specific, so much so that very very few players are able to cover other positions.
As for experience (in a pro sport environ) isn't always a guide as to how well someone will do, just look at young kids coming through in RL, no fear, wet behind the ears and play incredible rugby. Because our sport is massively less technical than NFL, put a 17/18 yr old kid into a pro NFL game and he'd be cut to shreds and taken off shortly afterwards, it just wouldn't happen anyway. The youngest ever player is 19 (funnily his surname is Okoye too) and only because he'd finished his college education having started it at 16. A rare occurance in itself.
I think the fact that Hayne is a big name in another sport is going to hinder him, fear of failure, fear of making a fool of yourself/not cutting the mustard. Human beings have similar natural reactions/fears, training ourselves to overcome these is difficult and when in stress situations they tend to come to the fore. The spotlight will be on him from certain circles and some will be happy if he fails. I'm not one of them.
That said in my considered opinion I just don't think he will make it, I don't think a team will risk putting him on the field as a punt/kick returner even if they wanted to. Realistically it is the only position he could go straight into as it's the most basic of positions (even more basic than place kickers/punters).
Let's see what happens and IF he does get a chance I'll be watching with interest
Good post. I bet you got into it the same time as me, in the days when it got big on Channel 4 in the mid 80's.
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