Bradford?

Quote: gutterfax "For the benefit of Smokey, Bullmania and Ferocious A.....I will list the known income of Bradford in regards to 2013. I appreciate that the income figures will not be complete, but I will return to this little detail later**.
SKY TV cash £600,000
Initial Investment from OK £840,000
Council loan £200,000
1 Years sponsorship from Provident £300,000
6,500 ST (20% kids/10% concessions 50/50 terrace/provident) £1,088,100.
2,297 walk up fans per game x 10 (20% kids/10% concessions 50/50 terrace/provident) £459,955
Second investment from Mr Khan £900,000
Running total to date £3,488,055.

Now, the stuff we don't know for sure.......but using the split in fans I have above, then the average cost for a walk up fan is £20.02 a pop.

I have no idea how much a program, pie, coffee, pint, tea etc costs at the club but I would say it's safe to say that £5 a visit isn't too much to expect....so there's another £439,870 in income there.

The club shop.......again, an exact figure is tough to come by, but let's say that 10% of ST holders purchase £120 worth of gear, 30% £60 of gear and 20% spend £40. Of the walk ups, let's say 10% spend £20....£300,000 or there abouts.

Remember, that's 30% of ST holders not spending a penny in the shop and 80% of casuals/away supporters......but I am being generous here.

Running total, £4,230,000 rounded up.

3 home games to go....I'll be generous and say all ST holders and another 6,891 walk ups, to keep the seasons average attendance....this adds £138,000 in ticket revenue, £132,000 in pie, ale and programme revenue and £94,000 in the shop...although the shop revenue would normally be stacked to the start of the season.

Now, if we take the other unknowns such as venue hire, minor sponsors, corporate revenue et al and call them figure "x" then the approximate turn over of the Bradford bulls in 2013 is £4,600,000 and figure "X"** Combined!

Known and projected income for 2014 is as follows.
SKY TV cash £600,000
ST target 10,000 (same splits as above) £1,674,000
Provident Sponsorship £300,000
Walk up ticket revenue (based on 2,300) £598,598.
Shop Spend (as above)£440,000
Pie and ale spend £799,500
Figure "X"**

Total projected revenue figure for 2014 £4,412,098 and "X"**........

Now, I have allowed for 2,300 walk up fans, as well as a 35% increase in ST sales at this years prices but used the same figures for both years.....

No club has ever increased their average attendances by more than 15% in a year unless they offered heavily discounted tickets....Bradford need to increase theirs by over 35% at full price to generate the same revenue in 2014 as 2013.

As I said earlier, I don't expect Bradford to "not be there" or to fold, but the maths as they stand do not make pretty reading.'"

That’s lovely, Still wrong and still missing plenty, and still speculating, and still utterly useless but lovely all the same. Ill point out the most obvious flaw in your workings. Its one I have pointed out to you before. The £900k investment from Omar Kahn covers this year and next. Not this year. It isn’t a difference in investment between this year and next, it is an investment which covers BOTH this year and next.

Quote: gutterfax "
If my figures are out 20% for 2013 then they are also out for 2014...the resultant shortfall is still the same.

Good luck to Bradford and their fans for 2014....'"

That’s just incorrect. There is nothing to say that your predictions are out by the same amount, income amounts can be different between the two years so your guesses can be out by differing amounts. They may even be out in different ways. You may be 50% under for 2013 and 50% over for 2014.