Not just surprising...It's amazing as you did not include the fixtures for the penultimate round.
You will see that by summing your total points per club = 364 when in fact it should be 378.
27 rounds of 7 games * 2 points available.

Thanks for the tip on Google Docs I will try this.

I reckon that the top 6 is pretty much a done deal on current form.

However think its then 2 from 4 for the remaining places (Bulls, Saints, Hull KR and Wakey). Given current form and my own opinion, this is what I feel will happen...

Current week
7.HKR - 18pts
8.STH - 17pts
.......................
9.BRA - 16pts
10.WTW - 13pts

Round 19
STH Win vs Salford
HKR Loss vs Cats
BRA Win vs Widnes
WTW Win vs London

7.STH - 19pts
8Round 20
STH Win vs HKR
BRA Loss vs Wire
WTW Loss vs Hull FC

7.STH - 21pts
8Round 21
BRA Loss vs Wigan
HKR Win vs Salford
STH Win vs Cas
WTW Win vs Widnes

7.STH - 23pts
8.HKR - 20pts
....................
9.BRA - 18pts
10.WTW - 17pts

Round 22
WTW Loss vs Leeds
BRA Loss vs Hull FC
HKR Loss vs Wire
STH Loss vs Wigan

7.STH - 23pts
8.HKR - 20pts
....................
9.BRA - 18pts
10.WTW - 17pts

Round 23
WTW Loss vs Leeds
HKR Loss vs Wigan
STH Loss vs Cats
WTW Loss vs BRA

7.STH - 23pts
8Round 24
STH Win vs London
BRA Loss vs Cats
HKR Loss vs Hull FC
WTW Loss vs Wire

7.STH - 25pts
8Round 25
HKR Loss vs Leeds
BRA Win vs Cas
STH Win vs WTW

7.STH - 27pts
8.BRA - 22pts
...................
9.HKR - 20pts
10.WTW - 17pts

Round 26
STH Loss vs Wire
BRA Win vs London
WTW Loss vs Hudds
HKR Win vs Widnes

7.STH - 27pts
8.BRA - 24pts
...................
9.HKR - 22pts
10.WTW - 17pts

Round 27
STH Loss vs Hull FC
BRA Loss vs Hudds
HKR Win vs London
WTW Win vs Cas

7.STH - 27pts
8=BRA - 24pts
8=HKR - 24pts
........................
10.WTW - 19pts

I reckon its all down to points difference and with games against Wigan, Wire and Hull FC to come it could be very tight for us!!!

Think we will finish above KR by 1 pt, if Brown keeps tinkering at saints the arent a given for the 8 yet, but i fear it will come down to us and KR

rlhttps://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-league/22858719rl Brett Kearney; 5 more wins needed.


BUT HE DIDN'T PUT IT ON THE BLOODY SPREADSHEET!

I'd have to agree with Brett Kearney, we need 5 wins. We should beat Widnes, Wakefield, Castleford and London. But where will the other win come from?

What you seem to have done is made the assumption that it is not possible for us ever to win against anyone but the cellar dwellers. Well, if you were right, then we would still finish either 8th, or 9th, depending on points difference! So even then we might only be out of a place on the narrowest arithmetic, and even even then, just one unexpected result from now to end of season involving our main competitors could still easily see us in the 8.

Personally though I find the perpetual doom and gloom assumptions to be as defeatist as they are inexplicable. Sure we are not in form, though we are seriously weakened, but we can also play well, already have 7 wins, have good players who will soon be back, and are not likely to remain in our slough of form and results permanently.

It's not that long ago since we drew with Leeds and thumped Huddersfield, so unless you are such a confirmed pessimist that you convince yourself that never can we ever, even possibly, get a result against any of the top-10 again, you must admit we have an extremely strong claim. My spreadsheet is designed to help such uber-pessimist depressives convince themselves.

If we continue playing the way we are, we will not beat any of the teams above us, as we are simply not playing well enough. We didn't come close to Wigan, Warrington, or Huddersfield last time out, and were beaten by a Saints team on bad form too.

However, I remember a match in 2011. We were playing very poor rugby at the time and our season was going nowhere, until we trashed Huddersfield 36-0 at Odsal. No-one saw the result coming. Similarly, last season we went to Wigan and beat them, and this season we beat Huddersfield to end their unbeaten start to the season. I am not expecting anything like that to happen in these last few rounds, but if it does, and we pull of a shock result, then we should make the 8, assuming we beat the teams we should beat.

There are a number of teams around us, and I suspect some of those aren't going to win every game they think they are going to win either. Lots of water to pass under lots of bridges and plenty of games before the end of the season.

Our next 3 games are Widnes, Wire, Wigan all the W's think should win at least one of those, any guesses to which i think, Leeds also may do us a massive favor by playing Widnes on monday, just wonder how much that draw could hurt us.

Its our remaining games after that Hull at home, wakey away, catalan at home, cas away, london at home and the giants at home.

At the least 3 of those are winnable, but we should be able to at least beat two from hull, catalan and hudds with them at being at home, but we do play Hull the week after they got to france and we have had a week off.

COYB!!! So at least 5 wins, 10pts going to be tough.

The odd surprise never goes a miss.

The key is that we take the points from the 4 games everyone seems to think are bankers - Widnes, Wakey, London and Cas. That wont guarantee a top 8, but it will maintain the pressure on the other contenders. However at risk of being labelled one of FA's uber-pessimists (or realists as they are more commonly known) the main risk to our playoffs chances is that KR seem to be in good form, and after being robbed at the Magic Weekend they will certainly going for FC when they next meet - so I have KR on 26 points

Making a sensible argument about one of our top-8 rivals is hardly being an uber-pessimist. The uber pessimists are those who, because we have had a bad run, decide we are irredeemably crap, and are unlikely to ever win again, except against irrelevant tailenders.

Trying to argue that we WILL not make the playoffs due to future "good form" by KR is not being a "realist" at all, it is pure speculation. I don't especially see KR having a fantastic run to the playoffs- do you really? Whether yes or no, the concept of "realism" has nowt to do with it. It only would, if we all agreed that barring very unlikely contingencies, KR are as good as in the playoffs. Why do they seem so crash hot to you? Last time I looked at the table, they haven't been.

That said, I need to labour the point, again, that this thread IS NOT ABOUT whether you, or I, "think" we will make the playoffs. I'd just like you to honestly feed all your predictions into the spreadsheet, and then tell us what that produces!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Our best hope is that KR are over come as they play catalan, saint, wigan ,wire and leeds all away, that leaves them with then 4 home wins.

I have done a spreadsheet with what i think and we will either scrape it by 1-2 pts or if we carry on screwing ourselves over we will miss out by 4 pts.