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Quote: phillgee "how does your spreadsheet look regarding points difference? The bulls are looking at -100 with wakey, wire and quins at under -10.'"


Fortunately, does not matter provided no more matches are drawn. We are on an odd number of points and the rest are on evens, so we would end up either ahead or behind each of those, never on the same points.

I did say at the outset that my model did not allow for draws. Obviously if draws happen then if necessary I'd have to build in something for points difference. Except I won't cos I can't be d. This was a quick exercise mainly for my own interest to determine what realistically were our chances.

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Quote: Adeybull "Happy to send you my spreadsheet so you can try it for yourself!'"


i'll have a copy if thats alright adey...cieranblonde@hotmail.com is your best bet for an emai
Quote: Adeybull "Happy to send you my spreadsheet so you can try it for yourself!'"


i'll have a copy if thats alright adey...cieranblonde@hotmail.com is your best bet for an emai


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We'll probably go the same again next week then. For once i'm not raving that I want Deacon dropped because he's starting to show improvement. As long as Burgess and Halley are ok to play then I think we'll see the same 17. If they aren't then I'd put Platt at FB, Kopzcak on bench in place of Burgess and then maybe Cook (?) or someone else at centre. Based on the last few games I don't think Sykes should be moved back to centre and as good as Jeffries has been I don't think we should move Sykes to accomodate him when we know which one will be here next season.

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Quote: Ewwenorfolk "If they aren't then I'd put Platt at FB, Kopzcak on bench in place of Burgess and then maybe Cook (?) or someone else at centre. Based on the last few games I don't think Sykes should be moved back to centre and as good as Jeffries has been I don't think we should move Sykes to accomodate him when we know which one will be here next season.'"


Might the perfect opportunity to give Hyde a go?

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Quote: paulwalker71 "Might the perfect opportunity to give Hyde a go?'"


At FB you mean presumably?


I wouldn't mind seeing that, but tbh I can't see Macca doing that and I do hope Halley is fit anyway.

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Quote: Adeybull "Fortunately, does not matter provided no more matches are drawn. We are on an odd number of points and the rest are on evens, so we would end up either ahead or behind each of those, never on the same points.

I did say at the outset that my model did not allow for draws. Obviously if draws happen then if necessary I'd have to build in something for points difference. Except I won't cos I can't be d. This was a quick exercise mainly for my own interest to determine what realistically were our chances.'"


Back in 2002 I prepared a similar spreadsheet at about this time of the year. At the end of the regular season I found that I had correctly predicted the entire top 6 or 7. That was no mean feat considering that there were considerable changes in position during that period. However when I looked at the individual matches I discovered that the accuracy of my predictions was less than 60%!

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Quote: cieranblonde "i'll have a copy if thats alright
Sent.
Quote: cieranblonde "i'll have a copy if thats alright
Sent.


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Quote: cieranblonde "i'll have a copy if thats alright
icon_twisted.gif Now then, which dodgy websites can I sign up to with that email address.
Quote: cieranblonde "i'll have a copy if thats alright
icon_twisted.gif Now then, which dodgy websites can I sign up to with that email address.


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Quote: Paul124897 "

Don't worry I've signed him up to the North American Man/Boy love association!

Google to find out more information (FWIW this is a legitimate organisation - they published an interesting book on 'Greek Love' I have been reading. pics all from ancient vases no smut).

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Quote: Adeybull "Certainly if/when 8 teams get to 28 its all over regardless - and reduce that by 2 for any games we lose from here on in. But that might only come last week of the season. But its a bit more complex, because you have to look at who plays whom and which results can influence our final placing - hence my little forecast matrix. We'd almost certainly know before that point, by looking at the remaining fixtures.

For instance (and I stress, its based on my guesses of who wins each match) if Wire were to lose at home to Wakey (had them down for winning all their home games and losing their away ones, but it would not help us one bit if they won any or all of the latter) then we (on my guesses otherwise) could conceivably pip THEM for 8th. But if they lost instead to Quins at home then we'd still be 9th.

I stress though, this is likely an academic exercise only UNLESS the most incredible conjugation of circumstances arises. The odds on that must be very very long.'"


Resurrected this thread to find out who I need to cheer for tonight.

Am I correct in assuming we need Huddersfield to beat Hull and Salford to beat Wakefield? Or does it not matter?

Saints - Wigan? Who cares? icon_wink.gif

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Salford winning would be a bonus and I'd cheer for Saints tonight I think.

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From memory...Hudds Salford Stains

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I think Wigan are pretty well guaranteed Top 8 and Hull are going to be really struggling.

The key match is Wakefield - currently on 22 points. If they win they move to 24 (yes...really icon_razz.gif ) taking them nine points clear of us

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Quote: paulwalker71 "I think Wigan are pretty well guaranteed Top 8 and Hull are going to be really struggling.

The key match is Wakefield - currently on 22 points. If they win they move to 24 (yes...really
So a win for Wakey, but loss for Wire today. Thats got to be good news for us I guess?

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Quote: debaser "So a win for Wakey, but loss for Wire today. Thats got to be good news for us I guess?'"


Win for Wakey was expected but shîte for us.

Loss for Wire (for the first time in history, thank God for Scott bloody Donald and yet another last-minute steal) is again as expected (but only just!!) and in our favour.

In my calculator, we still have to win every game AND other results go in our favour to have any chance. And in other news, airborne porkers have been seen circling over Bradford today...

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