FORUMS > Leeds Rhinos > Ian Kirke watch |
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41106.jpg You come at the king - You better not miss.
It ain't what you takin', it's who you takin' from, ya feel me? How you expect to run with the wolves come night when you spend all day sparring with the puppies?:41106.jpg |
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| Quote: nantwichexile "Why the insistence in defending his inclusion ? What you say is true but Kirke is not just a fringe player...somehow he makes the 17 every damn week. Ali, despite his relative decline, would be the better bench choice. Pitts too.
No doubt he will also frustratingly make the 17 next season regardless of any new signing (s) and the return of the better Ambler plus Amor.'"
Do you know what he earns? That's what matters in terms of managing the cap - I'd guess he's one of our cheapest 1st teamers.
As for the original question - I'm defending Kirke as he's a permanent scapegoat on here even on occasions where far more experienced and better played members of our squad under perform
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982.jpg [quote:1pqtnbtj]Every player in our squad could probably earn more money with another club. But they prefer to sacrifice a few extra quid in their back pocket to share special memories. And playing at a place like Old Trafford on a night like this makes it all worthwhile.[/quote:1pqtnbtj]
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| Quote: Omar Little "Do you know what he earns? '"
No, but then again you don't either.
Quote: Omar Little "I'd guess he's one of our cheapest 1st teamers.'"
Don't berate nantwitch for not knowing what kirke earns then take a quantum leap into guessing he's our cheapest player.
FWIW, I'll take a guess. He's been a 1st team regular, not a squad player, a member of the 1st 17 when fit for 6 seasons now. he's not a kid, not an up and coming player. I'll guess he's on more than Ambler, Amor, Singleton, Pitts and any other kid capable of 5 hit ups a game in the Academy. I'll guess he was on more than Burgess, a far better player.
But you know what, his wage is a red herring. Yes, in a salary cap era you do not players to make up your squad who are not big earners. Players desperate to make the 1st team. Those players do not, however, earn a pass when it comes to taking the ball in just because they're on a cheap wage. If Kirke is on less than, Say Peacock, and wants to earn more then frikkin well stop playing like a scardy cat.
Quote: Omar Little "As for the original question - I'm defending Kirke as he's a permanent scapegoat on here even on occasions where far more experienced and better played members of our squad under perform'" Those occasions are few and far between. I'm his biggest critic, I think all would agree. I have praised his better displays on here when they have, rarely happened. Like Sunday for example. But when 4 carries is the magic number more than any other then perhaps, just perhaps, he's gets so much stick because he deserves it on such a regular basis?
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4615.jpg :4615.jpg |
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| Kallum Watkins' two penalty concessions in the opening 7 minutes, Ryan Hall's two knock ons (one unfortunate but the other self-inflicted leading to red zone pressure just before half-time) Ablett's knock on, needless penalty for lifting a leg and not knowing where his left foot was for a potential score, Webb's NFL pass to Delaney are all incidents we could look at and comment on but appear not to while we agonise over Kirke's continued selection even after one of his relatively good days.
(Obviously I started the thread so include myself in any implied criticism but it was an attempt to praise his improved performance.)
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982.jpg [quote:1pqtnbtj]Every player in our squad could probably earn more money with another club. But they prefer to sacrifice a few extra quid in their back pocket to share special memories. And playing at a place like Old Trafford on a night like this makes it all worthwhile.[/quote:1pqtnbtj]
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| Quote: tvoc "Kallum Watkins' two penalty concessions in the opening 7 minutes, Ryan Hall's two knock ons (one unfortunate but the other self-inflicted leading to red zone pressure just before half-time) Ablett's knock on, needless penalty for lifting a leg and not knowing where his left foot was for a potential score, Webb's NFL pass to Delaney are all incidents we could look at and comment on but appear not to while we agonise over Kirke's continued selection even after one of his relatively good days.
(Obviously I started the thread so include myself in any implied criticism but it was an attempt to praise his improved performance.)'"
Is that because the other players earn some grace for the consistency of their displays in games past whereas Kirke earns some scorn because of the consistency of his displays in games past?
When hall strings three or four games together akin to Sunday, it'll be the norm and not an aberration, likewise Ablett etc.
When kirke's 4 drive games become an aberration and not the norm, perhaps the heat will simmer a little?
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| Quote: G1 "When kirke's 4 drive games become an aberration and not the norm, perhaps the heat will simmer a little?'"
Will it though?
I tried to establish with you the other week by which arithmetical measure Kirke's average contribution would be judged and bar a promise of a reply cooked up by your accountant I don't recall us establishing the required parameters.
Here is a case in point where with eight drives in a 30 minute performance (+ 18 tackles with no misses) it's for some still a case of 'is that all.'
Clearly the bloke can't win if we fail to identify a standard with which to judge him by and still attempt to undermine even his better days?
Quote: G1 "I said elsewhere that Kirke upped his work rate and the quality of his work. However, lets temper this praise shall we. 8 drives people. 8 drives. I know that is a good "effort" from the cowardly lion but it's stuill only 8 drives.'"
Ablett played the full 80 minutes(?) and carried the ball fewer times than Kirke did in 30 minutes and he made around half the number of carries and tackles as his fellow centre Watkins.
I often get to here what an 'unsung hero' he is and somewhat ironically usually it's from posters singing his praises.
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25511_1478008518.jpg "Well, I think in Rugby League if you head butt someone there's normally some repercusions":d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_25511.jpg |
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| Quote: Keith Swiftcorn "I asked the same question on another thread because I can't think of any occasion where Leeds have beaten Wigan in a Final.
The only Finals I can remember are...
1982/83 - John Player Special Trophy Final at Elland Rd - Wigan 15 Leeds 4
1993/94 - Challenge Cup Final at Wembley - Wigan 26 Leeds 16
1994/95 - Challenge Cup Final at Wembley - Wigan 30 Leeds 10
1994/95 - Premiership Trophy Final at Old Trafford - Wigan 69 Leeds 12
1998 - Super League Grand Final at Old Trafford - Wigan 10 Leeds 4
We can also exclude Championship Finals and Floodlit Trophy as well.'"
I was at all those games. My non participation in big games for Leeds has produced startling results. As I won't be there for this final it raises Leeds chances considerably. 50-50.
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982.jpg [quote:1pqtnbtj]Every player in our squad could probably earn more money with another club. But they prefer to sacrifice a few extra quid in their back pocket to share special memories. And playing at a place like Old Trafford on a night like this makes it all worthwhile.[/quote:1pqtnbtj]
Kevin Sinfield:982.jpg |
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| Quote: tvoc "Will it though?
I tried to establish with you the other week by which arithmetical measure Kirke's average contribution would be judged and bar a promise of a reply cooked up by your accountant I don't recall us establishing the required parameters.
'"
For me, and I can only speak for me, there should be no more 4 carry games all year barring an injury. He's used his quota of such laziness up by some distance.
I'd have thought the minimum we should expect, absolute minimum, is 6 carries from a prop who doesn't leave the field injured. That shouldn't be cause for rejoice, just a minimum expected work rate.
Quote: tvoc "Here is a case in point where with eight drives in a 30 minute performance (+ 18 tackles with no misses) it's for some still a case of 'is that all.''" His display drew praise from me.
Quote: tvoc "Clearly the bloke can't win if we fail to identify a standard with which to judge him by and still attempt to undermine even his better days?'" I repeat, he drew praise from me.
Quote: tvoc "Ablett played the full 80 minutes(?) '" He didn't.
Quote: tvoc "and carried the ball fewer times than Kirke did in 30 minutes and he made around half the number of carries and tackles as his fellow centre Watkins.'"
I haven't seen the stats but your comparison is flawed on a number of levels. He didn't play 80 mins. He was playing centre not prop. He was playing with half of his face hanging off. Was Sunday an aberration for Ablett (in terms of hit ups or below his usual work rate (maybe due to the facial injury?).
Quote: tvoc "I often get to here what an 'unsung hero' he is and somewhat ironically usually it's from posters singing his praises.'" He is. Do you think Kirke is a better player than Carl Ablett? Is that seriously what you're saying?
I repeat, I praised Kirke's display. You're the guy who started a thread thinking 8 carries (or is it 7) from a prop is a big deal. It's better than what he usually does (and I commented elsewhere that the quality of his carries) but would it have been thread worthy in itself had his past work rate been so appallingly lacking?
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| Quote: G1 "I'd have thought the minimum we should expect, absolute minimum, is 6 carries from a prop who doesn't leave the field injured. That shouldn't be cause for rejoice, just a minimum expected work rate.'"
OK then, thank you for that reply.
On Sunday he exceeded that minimum standard by 33%
Quote: G1 "8 drives people. 8 drives. I know that is a good "effort" from the cowardly lion but it's stuill only 8 drives.'"
Quote: G1 "His display drew praise from me. I repeat, he drew praise from me.
'"
While tempering the praise with more of the above which tends to imply the praise is a little disingenuous despite the number of carries being comfortably in excess of the minimum standard you have finally set out above.
Quote: G1 "I haven't seen the stats but your comparison is flawed on a number of levels. He didn't play 80 mins. He was playing centre not prop. He was playing with half of his face hanging off. Was Sunday an aberration for Ablett (in terms of hit ups or below his usual work rate (maybe due to the facial injury?).
He is. Do you think Kirke is a better player than Carl Ablett? Is that seriously what you're saying?'"
I specifically used the example of Ablett from Sunday as your views on the two players are well known to forum regulars. The comparison (as Ablett is a centre these days) was more with Watkins but I agree it was flawed as it was based on a false assumption that he had played the full eighty. Outside backs at Leeds generally do and as he had clearly stayed on after the 21st minute clash of heads and started the 2nd half with the missed opportunity to score I'd missed him leaving the field on 52 minutes to be replaced by Delaney.
Quote: G1 "I repeat, I praised Kirke's display. You're the guy who started a thread thinking 8 carries (or is it 7) from a prop is a big deal. It's better than what he usually does (and I commented elsewhere that the quality of his carries) but would it have been thread worthy in itself had his past work rate been so appallingly lacking?'"
I didn't think it was a big deal as such but I did think it was a good effort for the time he was out on the pitch and in the absence of the weekly Opta thread felt some others might still like to comment.
Are 8 carries better than what he usually does? When I calculated the average number of carries he has made per SL Regular Round game this season the arithmetic mean and median figure was (IIRC) 7, so yes 8 is better but I'd suggest only a marginal improvement over his average.
Having detailed to the minute and second (should anyone still having access to the recording wish to confirm for themselves) using the on screen BBC timings - each of Kirke's carries I stand by my assessment of eight carries rather than accepting Opta's reported figure at face value. Given that in 2009 Kirke was (and still is) credited with a 40/20 which actually came off the boot of Rob Burrow I'm still inclined to believe what I see rather than what I'm told to believe by people who on occasions have been known to mix up one of the tallest players in SL with the smallest.
The only question now is which player received the credit for Kirke's 22 meter drop-out return in the 35th minute?
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982.jpg [quote:1pqtnbtj]Every player in our squad could probably earn more money with another club. But they prefer to sacrifice a few extra quid in their back pocket to share special memories. And playing at a place like Old Trafford on a night like this makes it all worthwhile.[/quote:1pqtnbtj]
Kevin Sinfield:982.jpg |
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| Quote: tvoc "I'd missed him leaving the field on 52 minutes to be replaced by Delaney.
'"
It would seem so.
Quote: tvoc "Are 8 carries better than what he usually does?'" Yes. Quote: tvoc "When I calculated the average number of carries he has made per SL Regular Round game this season the arithmetic mean and median figure was (IIRC) 7'" Quite, so 8 is more than he usually does, if you accept that the median figure of 7 is what he "usually" does. It could be argued 4 is what he usually does as you produced figures that show he makes 4 carries in a game much more than he makes any other number of carries. As we're talking about an actual player making actual drives that might be a better indicator rather than a median. It's rugby not maths I'll remind you. Quote: tvoc "so yes 8 is better but I'd suggest only a marginal improvement over his average'" It's nearly 15%. Sounds a lot more when you use percentages doesn't it, especially when the figures are in single figures? Of Course, if 4 is what he "usually" does it's 100% better.
Quote: tvoc "Having detailed to the minute and second (should anyone still having access to the recording wish to confirm for themselves) using the on screen BBC timings - each of Kirke's carries I stand by my assessment of eight carries rather than accepting Opta's reported figure at face value.'" As I have no intention to check I'll take you on face value, as I do with Opta. But people make mistakes don't they, even statisticians,
Quote: tvoc "Given that in 2009 Kirke was (and still is) credited with a 40/20 which actually came off the boot of Rob Burrow I'm still inclined to believe what I see '" Given you didn't see Delaney replace Ablett I am impressed with your self belief.
Quote: tvoc "The only question now is which player received the credit for Kirke's 22 meter drop-out return in the 35th minute?'" I can't wait to find out.
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| Quote: G1 "It would seem so.'"
Yes it certainly would.
Quote: G1 "Yes. Quite, so 8 is more than he usually does, if you accept that the median figure of 7 is what he "usually" does. It could be argued 4 is what he usually does as you produced figures that show he makes 4 carries in a game much more than he makes any other number of carries. As we're talking about an actual player making actual drives that might be a better indicator rather than a median. It's rugby not maths I'll remind you. It's nearly 15%. Sounds a lot more when you use percentages doesn't it, especially when the figures are in single figures? Of Course, if 4 is what he "usually" does it's 100% better.'"
You had your chance previously to state which arithmetic method you would be using. Perhaps you should have said then it would be the mode? As the mean and median produce a higher (consistent) figure it's arguable they give a fairer reflection but thems the breaks.
Personally I'm inclined to use the 'mean' especially at this point in the season where highs and lows, variable game minutes, in game injuries etc can be smoothed out over the course of 21 appearances.
Quote: G1 "As I have no intention to check I'll take you on face value, as I do with Opta. But people make mistakes don't they, even statisticians,
Given you didn't see Delaney replace Ablett I am impressed with your self belief.
'"
Given this week's example with Kirke you perhaps have to question whether those '4' counts are 100% accurate also.
The timings are there to the second, they were all Ian Kirke drives and there were eight of them in total (excluding a ninth drive that ended with the knock on.) Such an individual service is not offered by Opta unfortunately but whether people accept those precise proveable examples or go with the 'Kirke kicked a 40/20 in 2009' brigade is entirely up to them in this and any other instance.
I like my statistics to be accurate (pretty pointless if they're not) but no human can ever guarantee absolute accuracy and it's possible I make the odd mistake as well. Kirke did make eight drives though on Sunday.
I wasn't particularly watching for or attempting to record the substitutions on Sunday. I like to watch the game for it's own sake and for my own records it only matters whether the substitutes get on to the field at some point of the match. The four subs did - Ablett started and as he was replaced at some point by Delaney (who also started) I must have missed it but there again I wasn't looking out for it so I'll forgive myself .... just this once.
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982.jpg [quote:1pqtnbtj]Every player in our squad could probably earn more money with another club. But they prefer to sacrifice a few extra quid in their back pocket to share special memories. And playing at a place like Old Trafford on a night like this makes it all worthwhile.[/quote:1pqtnbtj]
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| Quote: tvoc " I'll forgive myself .... just this once.'" That's the problem with this country. Too many liberal do-gooders.
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| How very dare you!
I've been called some things in my time but there's a limit.
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fonds noir/Buzz Lightyear.gif :fonds noir/Buzz Lightyear.gif |
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| If you like seeing statistical errors, the Rhinos' website is right up there with the best. Some of it looks like it was put together as a school project.
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| a prop should make at least 15 carries when starting the game and 10 when they are not. 5 and 6 carries is'nt a fantastic work rate for someone who gets at least 30 minutes of game time in fact its poor kirke should be looking to take at least 2 a set i can't recall him ever doing this. for a giant of a man he runs the ball in like someone half his size.
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45465_1384791340.jpg And last but not least, to all those people who wrote this team off.
To all those people who critisized this team...tonight's for you.
K. Sinfield, GF 2011:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_45465.jpg |
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| Quote: thebloodbath "I thought his effort with ball in hand was improved against Cas. More drives and most of them were actually drives.
Gentle Giant though. That aggression you just can't teach. You've got it or you ain't.'"
Agree 100%. I've waited a few years now for him to develop into a natural replacement for JP. But sadly their respective application on the field is at opposite ends of the scale. If you could only "bottle" JP's attitude (that almost single-handedly won the Bulls the 2005 GF) and got Kirkey to drink some...
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