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Quote: JoshyyCas "I work for william hill, yes they make us outsiders..from the fact that you have far more experience in big matches like this in the past. They obviously don't think we 'don't have a chanve in hell' or we would be 100/1 would we not? I really hope your boys go into the game with the same attitude as you because if they do you may have a shock coming..'"


They make you outsiders not because they don't think you have a chance, but because none of their punters think you have a chance. That's how bookmaking works isn't it? Balancing odds depending on what direction the money's going?

FWIW I think 16-1 is far too long for just winning two games, particularly given you'll be able to hedge and lay at probably 4-1 for the final if you beat Leeds (which I don't think you will, but in betting terms it's good value).

/betting advice.

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[quote:18jc6kzm]I wish everyone would read bramleyrhino's post two or three times just to get it through some thick skulls[/quote:18jc6kzm] [quote:18jc6kzm]Mr bramleyrhino speaks a lot of sense.[/quote:18jc6kzm] [quote="Jamie Jones-Buchanan":18jc6kzm]"I'd never forgive myself if a child of mine was born in Lancashire.[/quote:18jc6kzm]:1506.jpg



Quote: A-Fire-Inside "I wouldn't write Saints off so easily!
Stevo?

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Like when salford went to Warrington and won? Give it a rest..

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Quote: Keith Swiftcorn "My @rse has a lot in common with the Oracle at Delphi.

A sizeable group of Hull FC whipping boy supporters were eagerly awaiting the opportunity to make me eat my words after the Quarter Final CC Draw. They are unsurprisingly conspicuous by their absence today.

I don't expect to see you here in 2 weeks time either.'"



lets get onething straight we dont fear you infact we relish the fact we can bet you,you are clear favourites but we fancy this and wont die wondering in what is our biggest game for years, RIGHT US OFF AT YOUR PERRIL we want this more than any game we have ever played.where coming for you and never forget that. icon_wink.gif

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Hull and Castleford have a lot in common socially, economically, intellectually and demographically.

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Quote: Keith Swiftcorn "Hull and Castleford have a lot in common socially, economically, intellectually and demographically.'"



is that the best come back you can come up with,im telling you we dont fear you we will be up for this WE HAVE NOTHING TO LOSE unlike yourselves who have averything to lose.

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I wasn't aware there was a competition going on for the best come back. Not interested anyhow. I just deal with reality.

Leeds are an ordinary team this year. Fortunately for them, Castleford are whipping boy rabble (just like Hull FC). That's why Leeds are off to Wembley again and Castleford are just making up the Semi Final numbers.

You may have noticed the celebratory Leeds dressing room immediately after they were aware of who they'd drawn in the Semi Final? I certainly did. Their collective expressions had 'Wembley' written all over them.

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Quote: braytontiger "lets get onething straight we dont fear you infact we relish the fact we can bet you,you are clear favourites but we fancy this and wont die wondering in what is our biggest game for years, RIGHT US OFF AT YOUR PERRIL we want this more than any game we have ever played.where coming for you and never forget that. icon_rolleyes.gif ....oh what's the use.

Ironic that one of the worst performing Leeds teams for years will win this year's CC.
I believe the team will raise their game for the semi (just a little) and do it again (a lot) for the final. Too many of the current squad still have this one piece of silverware missing to let it slip again. Sinfield, Senior (yep he'll be back for this one) and Buderus etc will get their winning medals. McDermott will get the unjustified praise.
There won't be enough however for anything else other than an early play off exit. Warrington will win the GF.

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[img:32iwt8q2]http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v623/fullyitfc/cas-4-1.jpg[/img:32iwt8q2]:d7dc4b20b2c2dd7b76ac6eac29d5604e_12205.png



Quote: Keith Swiftcorn "Current CC Odds

Well done. You've posted odds on who is going to win the CC to try and twist it to suit your argument.

The odds are reflected as such because it is very unlikely that Cas will beat Leeds and then the victors of Wigan v Saints.

Never mind, at least some of your fans have shown themselves to be fairly balanced, reasonable and appreciative of the fact that Cas will be up for it.

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Quote: Fully "Well done. You've posted odds on who is going to win the CC to try and twist it to suit your argument.

The odds are reflected as such because it is very unlikely that Cas will beat Leeds and then the victors of Wigan v Saints.'"


I agree, so why are you arguing?

Quote: Fully "Never mind, at least some of your fans have shown themselves to be fairly balanced, reasonable and appreciative of the fact that Cas will be up for it.'"


Where have I said that Castleford won't be up for it? Of course they'll be up for it but it's highly unlikely that'll be enough to secure them a trip to Wembley.

I deal with reality and the reality is that Castleford are just making up the Semi Final numbers. When was the last time Castleford won a CC Semi Final during the SL era?

Exactly.

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Just think, by the 7th August, Cas could be out of the Cup and out of Super League ....

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Quote: Keith Swiftcorn "I agree, so why are you arguing?

Where have I said that Castleford won't be up for it? Of course they'll be up for it but it's highly unlikely that'll be enough to secure them a trip to Wembley.

I deal with reality and the reality is that Castleford are just making up the Semi Final numbers. When was the last time Castleford won a CC Semi Final during the SL era?

Exactly.'"


Good to see selective quoting.

Never mind. I can't be d arguing with someone who talks nonsense.

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Quote: Fully "Good to see selective quoting.'"


What selective quoting? I quoted your earlier response in full.

Quote: Fully "Never mind. I can't be d arguing with someone who talks nonsense.'"


Feel free to return when...

1. You're able to refrain from ascribing the [i'nonsense'[/i you happen to be spouting on to others.

2. You're able to construct a valid argument for Castleford as a genuine contender to win the CC Semi Final by citing some evidence of previous Castleford CC Semi Final wins during the SL era.

3. If you can't manage (2) above, I'll have to assume you're in agreement with me that Castleford are just making up the Semi Final numbers based on past SL evidence, and that they are indeed just whipping boys in waiting.

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You will feel an absolute **** if Leeds lose.

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Quote: craigizzard "They make you outsiders not because they don't think you have a chance, but because none of their punters think you have a chance. That's how bookmaking works isn't it? Balancing odds depending on what direction the money's going?

'"


Precisely.

Betting odds never represent the actual likelyhood of any event happening, they merely represent a commercial decision by the profitable enterprise of the bookmaker to pitch a sale at a level that will attract the most fools eager to part with their money for no tangible benefit.

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