This is a visualisation of ideological positions from amongst different categories supporters of the two main parties. [url=http://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/british-election-study-2015-face-to-face-post-election-survey/Here's the source data[/url - it's from the 2015 post-election survey. Remember then that this is about the Ed Milliband flavour of Labour and the membership of that time. The membership has moved left since then.



To the left is, naturally, more left wing. To the right more right wing. The vertical dotted line is the mean position of all those associated with the party.

Here are the main takeaways from this plot:

1) Members are more ideologically "pure" for both parties than any other grouping

2) Members are ideologically most distant from the voters who get that party in to power, as is again true for both parties.

3) The Tory MPs are further away from their base and more aligned with their voters than Labour is.

4) Labour MPs are still ideologically closer to the people who will elect them to power than any other grouping associated with the party.

This is why I voted for Corbyn. The distance between him and a pre-disposed Labour electorate is huge. I knew this when I voted for him, and voted for him anyway [url=http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/04/what-overton-windowbecause his presence could drag those voters leftward on that plot[/url.

That time is passed. It is past passed. Get elected, effect change. That's the shape of the world now.

(If anybody knows any PolSci people btw, tell them you know someone who wants them to die. Releasing data in proprietary formats that allow Social Scientists to play at statistics? FFS. Get it in a CSV file and let people choose their own damn tools)

edit: Forgot to include the [url=https://constitution-unit.com/2016/07/05/rules-matter-why-the-current-labour-crisis-is-not-only-about-ideology/link[/url. I didn't do this plot. (But it was done in R and ggplot2, like how what proper people use, and not the nonsense PolSci people think you ought to spend money on)

My vote was up for grabs. If the PLP had put up a decent candidate who espoused anti-Thatcher views, I'd have voted for them.

Not now.

Today's appalling corruption has shocked even me, and I thought I was too cynical to be shocked. Leave aside the stupid briefings demanding Corbyn "control" random nutters in Wallasey, and the dreadful procedural attempts designed only to prevent the members from voting for the man most of them want, the final straw for me was the decision - according to Peston, taken without being tabled on the agenda, and only after several pro-Corbyn voices had left the meeting - to disenfranchise more than 100,000 members. Those are people who joined up, of their own accord, and were told when joining that they were welcome in the party and could vote in leadership elections. To then disenfranchise them retrospectively, while opening a brief window for new joiners paying a premium to vote instead, is absolute banana-republic corruption. It's the sort of thing we'd laugh at in 1970s Third World dictatorships. It's disgusting.

I voted Corbyn last year because I wanted, like you, to shift that Overton window. But also because I felt too many of the Labour professional class of MPs and staffers had lost touch with the reason why they were in Labour, rather than the Tories. What has transpired today suggests that it is worse than that. They've lost touch with decency, fairness, even any sense of what democracy actually is. And they are so self-absorbed in their little bubble that they don't seem to realise what this actually looks like outside it.

I think they're mad, undemocratic and completely immoral. I'll fight for Corbyn to win again, and then I'll fight to deselect those who don't quite of their own volition.

Yep, shoddy as hell. I can't disagree with any of that. The unity candidate I wanted does not exist, and in this atmosphere probably cannot. What little hope I have at this point is actually centred on a romp home for Corbyn. In this atmosphere after some of the events of today I can't deny that's going to play well.

Honestly though, my most firmly held belief is that they party is completely screwed right now.

I didn't vote for Corbyn and I disagree with him on several issues such as Trident, NATO and other things but I shall be voting for him now. It's been a nasty, dirty attempt at subverting the democratic will of the party. It's been 9 months and there has been virtually no support for him from the minute he was elected, for which the vast majority of the PLP should be utterly ashamed of themselves.

They created this mess and they now have the nerve to try and paint it as Corbyn's doing and have now resorted to personal attacks on Corbyn himself.

Again I find myself agreeing with Roy. There's obviously a large section of the PLP who are either closet Tories or are merely utterly self-interested.

Labour HQ has now declared all out war on Labour Party members by suspending (banning) all CLP meetings until after the Leadership election. Wouldn't want any of us debating any of the issues or holding any Labour MP's up to scrutiny by passing any CLP no confidence motions in them, now would they? They can have their confidence motions but we can't have ours.

It's also rumoured the gate has been firmly closed for anyone baulking at having to shell out £25 who may be considering joining UNITE or any other affiliated union in order to register for a vote. I wonder how many in total they'll keep off the ballot this time around?

I've not had my eligibility to vote removed (not yet anyhow) as I joined the Labour Party within an hour of Corbyn being elected leader last year.

The coup attempt ain't over yet by some distance.

Will Angela Eagle even survive the next 48 hours?

Three weeks ago I had no idea she existed. I suspect that three weeks ago many people had no idea who Jeremy Corbyn was either.

I can't see it any other way than that.

Who ?

You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy. www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader

You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy. www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader

Quote LeighGionaire="LeighGionaire"You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy. www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader'" He may as well offer free gold bars and trips to the moon. In fact he would have more chance of delivering on those promises.

Quote LeighGionaire="LeighGionaire"You really couldn't make this up. They accuse Corbyn of being out of touch with Labour's traditional working class base then come up with this bull crap as their main policy?! They must really hate democracy. www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... our-leader'" He may as well offer free gold bars and trips to the moon. In fact he would have more chance of delivering on those promises.

Is there any data people who associate themselves with a party and how they voted in the EU referendum?

Eg Those that associate with Labour: 55% leave 45% stay?

I would imagine a ukip support share would be high 90% leave.

But is there any breakdown facts?

In terms of "associate with a party" I haven't seen any data on that yet, at least not with the kind of categorisation of association used above. That will come but it's a more extensive data gathering exercise.

In terms of how people voted in last year's general it was a 63 / 37 split in favour of remain for Labour voters.

For snap immediately before and immediately after voting there's only really one readily available source and it's the disgraced (I assume) former Tory party deputy chairman, [url=http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2016/06/how-the-united-kingdom-voted-and-why/£ord Ashcroft[/url. But it's generally useful and interesting.

4% of UKIP voters opted to stay.

I'm going to say that agin.

4% of UKIP voters opted to stay.

I even typed it again, I couldn't copy and paste. I had to feel that flow through my fingers.

(PDF link at the bottom. I'll spare you all another rant on appropriate formats for raw data exchange)