Indeed.

Which, in most circumstances, would be considered an irresponsible way in which to make government policy.

But we know a number of things that help us to make informed estimates of what will happen. Hence that piece.

Don't know why people are so concerned about life outside the EU.

The EU has just lost its second biggest net contributor, other countries will be clamouring to hold similar referendums to the one we have just had. More and more countries will leave. The whole institution will come crashing down. There will be no EU in 15 years.

Once again, it's important we don't allow groundless assertions of fantasy continue to replace what we used to know as "truth". There was enough of that in the campaign. None of what you describe will come true. It was just another UKIP delusion, knowing or otherwise.

rl]www.politico.eu/article/europeans-dig-the-eu-english-are-the-exception-brexit-euroskeptics-eurozone-european-union/
rl]

rlhttp://www.ibtimes.com/brexit-update-referendum-spurs-pro-eu-sentiment-among-member-nations-2390242rl

rlhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continentrl

The EU will be there in 15 years. There isn't another country in Europe with such a toxic press owned by right-wing millionaires which has pumped out so many lies about the EU for so long.

As we both don't appear to have time machines your claim that the EU will still be in existence in 15 years can just as easily be described as 'fantasy'.

The EU will probably on economic grounds. The 2008 crisis has shaken it badly and continues to do do. It seems to me very likely that there will another major economic shock shortly. If and when that shock occurs I doubt very much whether the EU will be able to continue in its current form with its current membership.

These "groundless assertions of fantasy" you refer to are presumably those remainiacs responsible for Project Fear
who the new PM has rightly banished to the back benches. The next target should be to sack that over political Governor of the Bank of England who continues to talk down our economy and prospects. This is the man that predicted before the vote rises in interest rates and mortgages and after the Brexit vote now talks of a drop in interest rates. He has a long record of misleading the markets with his wrong predictions on interest rates. Time to go.

It is most unlikley that the EU in its preent form will remain for long. With a steady decline in it's trade as the rest of the world has been expanding highlights how uncompetitive it has become, it faces further crisises with the single currency, it's almost bankrupt banks, it's naive immigration policy, it's corruption, it's undemocratic and over bureaucratic base of power and it's remoteness from the wishes of it's people. It is difficult to say which is worst the EU or the Eurovision Song Contest. We are best out of both!

I bet he's right and you're wrong. Now go and excite yourself - take that any way you want, with Uncle Rupert's latest proxy announcements.

I find changing the 'o' to an 'a' helps.

Enter Boris in the latter! We may win.

No, mate. We're out.

How much do you want to bet?

We can now spend the next few years blaming all our woes on Brexit after spending 40 years blaming the EU. It's never our fault.

Betting is foreign to me.