FORUMS > The Sin Bin > coronavirus and sport ? |
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 18060 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Durham Giant "And for those who think this is just a political debate.
It is not this is about people dying.
Today the sun and the times hopefully they are right wing enough for some of our posters to accept report that there have been 7500 deaths in care homes. Add that to the announced figures from the government in hospitals and it means we are a about 200 behind italy on total deaths.
With the announced death rates following similar trajectory’s As yesterday that means Britain may overtake Italy today in number of deaths.
That makes Britain the worst in Europe and second only to the USA.
Weren't the rest of Europe only reporting hospital deaths?
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Moderator | 12488 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
May 2007 | 18 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Oct 2023 | Mar 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
Moderator
|
| Quote: Sal Paradise "Weren't the rest of Europe only reporting hospital deaths?'"
No as I understand it it was all deaths from C19.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Moderator | 12488 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
May 2007 | 18 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Oct 2023 | Mar 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
Moderator
|
| Quote: Sal Paradise "Nobody thinks employees are stupid you wouldn't employ them - if you did your firm would be worse for it - unlike the public sector the only way you can keep these people in jobs is to ensure your revenues exceed your costs i.e. profits - sadly a misunderstood concept from you public sector administrators - that is what its like at the sharp end.'"
Really. Barbour making ppe is surely more about the government buying that stuff and then paying for it through taxes. Is that not how the nhs is funded.
This is not about making something and selling it on the open market it is about National need.
It keeps nhs staff alive, it keeps Carers alive, it keeps old people alive, it keeps patients alive.
That is a financial responsibility the tax payer should burden.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Star | 17982 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Apr 2011 | 14 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Sal Paradise "Nobody thinks employees are stupid you wouldn't employ them - if you did your firm would be worse for it - unlike the public sector the only way you can keep these people in jobs is to ensure your revenues exceed your costs i.e. profits - sadly a misunderstood concept from you public sector administrators - that is what its like at the sharp end.'"
Are you condoning, inadequate provision of ESSENTIAL clothing (PPE) to SAVE MONEY - I think that you have lost the plot AGAIN
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Player Coach | 4648 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Mar 2010 | 15 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Nov 2024 | Oct 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: wrencat1873 "Are you condoning, inadequate provision of ESSENTIAL clothing (PPE) to SAVE MONEY - I think that you have lost the plot AGAIN
It's all about the money, money, money with Sal, you should know by now. He's become a regularly poster of deaths versus spend trade-offs. It wasn't long ago he was justifying violence and deaths in Northern Ireland as a trade-off for there being no Irish border after Brexit.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 7022 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Durham Giant "No as I understand it it was all deaths from C19.'"
Surely we aren’t measuring differently to other countries
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Star | 17982 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Apr 2011 | 14 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: King Street Cat "It's all about the money, money, money with Sal, you should know by now. He's become a regularly poster of deaths versus spend trade-offs. It wasn't long ago he was justifying violence and deaths in Northern Ireland as a trade-off for there being no Irish border after Brexit.'"
I know.
With him it's the cost of everything and the value of nothing. People are just a commodity, of little value. Mind you, he's a good fit with the ruling party, despite their current thirst for spending.
You just know that when we start to poke our noses through the other side of the current pandemic, the work, dedication and risk that some have taken will be quickly forgotten and we'll all be back "in this together", wages frozen or possibly cut to bring down the eye watering deficit.
A re-release of "Ghost Town" by the Specials will be in order.
Going off on a slight tangent, it would be a very good time to impose long term restrictions on flights, to reduce carbon emissions etc.
I know that there wont be anything like the numbers of people moving between countries initially and it would be an ideal chance to set some limits on flying.
As we are now, one or two overseas trips would be an absolute luxury anyway.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Moderator | 12488 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
May 2007 | 18 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Oct 2023 | Mar 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
Moderator
|
| Quote: ColD "Surely we aren’t measuring differently to other countries
As far as I know we are .
When I checked the italian figures with a friend in Italy he says that he thinks they are all counted as they get the deaths from care homes counted.
Not only that there is pressure put on certain agencies in the UK to record deaths other than from corona virus.
Hence some deaths in the community are recorded as heart attack or COPD. Now those people would probably have died anyway but their life expectancy was shortened by c19. But they are no being counted. As they are not being tested for C19 n one knows .
This however is anecdotal and I cannot prove but the 7500 in care homes plus the 14,576 takes us to 22.076
Italy’s is 22,745 but there curve is definitely falling ie daily death rate ours has not plateaued yet.
Let’s look at how British politicians look at at Italy as the sick man of Europe
Will this make the UK the sickest man of Europe ?
|
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Coach | 7152 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2005 | 20 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2020 | Jun 2020 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: ColD "Surely we aren’t measuring differently to other countries
Countries around the world are measuring differently. There are differences in methodology and standards across medical response, testing, reporting and diagnoses. There are also enormous question marks over the cause of death, i.e. dying of CV19 or dying with CV19, which may never be answered.
Someone in a care home has serious heart disease. They've suffered a couple of heart attacks and a stroke in the past. They contract CV19, show symptoms and pass away from a fatal cardiac arrest. Is CV19 the direct or underlying cause of death? Or simply present? The doctor may put CV19 on the death certificate but it may not actually be the cause of death.
CV19 "can be given as cause of death even where a CV19 test result has not been received", and CV19 "is not a reason on its own to refer a death to a coroner". So it goes on the death certificate even if the doctor cannot be 100% sure the patient had it or to what degree it contributed to the death.
Furthermore in these emergency circumstances "any medical practitioner with GMC registration can sign the MCCD, even if they did not attend the deceased during their last illness" as long as they meet certain criteria. This is understandable given the demand on doctors and the fact many might be isolating or poorly themselves.
Then you have political motivations. Countries such as China, Russia, Iran and Brazil are vastly under reporting their numbers, whereas others (I suspect including the UK based on death certificate advice) are erring on the side of over reporting, i.e. if CV19 is even suspected to be present, it's included on the death certificate as outlined above.
That's why the global numbers are little more than a very. very rough guideline. We'll probably never know the true picture.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 18060 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: wrencat1873 "Are you condoning, inadequate provision of ESSENTIAL clothing (PPE) to SAVE MONEY - I think that you have lost the plot AGAIN
Not for one minute - all I am saying is, it is sat behind you keyboard to criticise and hindsight is a wonderful thing - I also said in another post that there is no doubt the government is throwing what ever monies are needed for the NHS to get through this.
Do you think are not working hard enough? If not what more do you want them to do - have they made errors it would be impossible to get it all right given the circumstances.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Coach | 7152 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2005 | 20 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2020 | Jun 2020 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Sal Paradise "Not for one minute - all I am saying is, it is sat behind you keyboard to criticise and hindsight is a wonderful thing - I also said in another post that there is no doubt the government is throwing what ever monies are needed for the NHS to get through this.
Do you think are not working hard enough? If not what more do you want them to do - have they made errors it would be impossible to get it all right given the circumstances.'"
All this lot can do is criticise and complain with the benefit of hindsight. I picture see them sat behind their keyboards with smug grins and folded arms.
They ignore the facts, they ignore that this is a novel virus and everything that entails, they ignore that we're in a massive global emergency. They expect everything and they expect it now, and if it doesn't all run to their lofty expectations it's all down to 'Boris' and the government.
If only Boris had seen Durham Giant's post a few weeks ago.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 18060 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: wrencat1873 "I know.
With him it's the cost of everything and the value of nothing. People are just a commodity, of little value. Mind you, he's a good fit with the ruling party, despite their current thirst for spending.
You just know that when we start to poke our noses through the other side of the current pandemic, the work, dedication and risk that some have taken will be quickly forgotten and we'll all be back "in this together", wages frozen or possibly cut to bring down the eye watering deficit.
A re-release of "Ghost Town" by the Specials will be in order.
Going off on a slight tangent, it would be a very good time to impose long term restrictions on flights, to reduce carbon emissions etc.
I know that there wont be anything like the numbers of people moving between countries initially and it would be an ideal chance to set some limits on flying.
As we are now, one or two overseas trips would be an absolute luxury anyway.
Spoken by a true lefty - we are so much more sensitive and human than those on the right - its pathetic. so what is the better scenario - we lose some people now the majority of which are elderly and have an underlying condition - many of which would have died anyway or later down the line significantly more people die through mental issues, domestic violence etc when the trashing of the economy starts to kick in. People who have worked very hard to build businesses and employ people will have lost everything through no fault of their own - this is the true human cost of this strategy. I appreciate for all you public servants this impact is completely lost as its big bad capitalism - many of these people will also lose the roof over their head - something you public servants who have never had to put your neck on the line.
So not only are people lockdown when its over you want to restrict where and when they can travel - big brother - are you for real. I would have more respect if you actually called out the real carbon polluters.
All that is going to happen here is we will all pay more taxes - simply as. It might actually force a coming together across the world on taxes paid by corporations - I would consider that a much better use of everyone's time than banning flights - the politics of envy!!
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Coach | 16271 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Oct 2004 | 20 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Cronus "
That's why the global numbers are little more than a very. very rough guideline. We'll probably never know the true picture.'"
This is one of my bugbears doing any international comparison work in economics. You are often not comparing like with like.
For me the best way to measure the impact of covid-19 will be to look at the total weekly deaths registered (all causes) that the ONS produces, in a few years time. Take say the 5 year average before 2020 of the deaths per week in each week of the year as your baseline (this will take in to account higher totals in winter when there is flu circulating). Then compare this to the deaths by week in 2020, 2021 and 2022. Assume that in the absence of covid-19, you would have been on the baseline of the previous 5-year average, and measure the 'excess'. If you look over a long period like 3 years, you will be able to see the effect of deaths that would have otherwise happened anyway over that time, being hastened by covid. You may see that amongst the older age groups, when the pandemic is over, a lower weekly death rate than average for a while, because a lot of those who would have died in 2021/22 have already died in 2020. If the weekly death rates returned in line with their previous average by say 2023, then you would measure the excess deaths in 2020-22 as likely to have been caused by covid, including all the spillover deaths from things like patients who didn't catch the virus but died due to the NHS having fewer resources available to treat them for something else.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
International Chairman | 18060 | No Team Selected |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Feb 2002 | 23 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: Cronus "All this lot can do is criticise and complain with the benefit of hindsight. I picture see them sat behind their keyboards with smug grins and folded arms.
They ignore the facts, they ignore that this is a novel virus and everything that entails, they ignore that we're in a massive global emergency. They expect everything and they expect it now, and if it doesn't all run to their lofty expectations it's all down to 'Boris' and the government.
If only Boris had seen Durham Giant's post a few weeks ago.
It so tough debating with intellectual colossuses as Wrencat, Bren 2K, Wizeb (sic) They are always right - they are always more sensitive, always more in tune, all remainers too, us on the right are cold heartless and only interested in making money. I make no apology for that - the 300 people that work for me are depending on me making money for employment.
Presently revenues are down 50% and its tough - first thing to go my salary, next three month deferral on HP payments, next directors deferral of salaries, etc. its tough. I wonder how many of the lefties on here are making a similar sacrifice with their pay - a silence because non of them will be - they care so much for everyone else but only once their alright jack!! hypocrites the lot of them.
|
|
|
Rank | Posts | Team |
Club Coach | 7152 | |
Joined | Service | Reputation |
Jan 2005 | 20 years | |
Online | Last Post | Last Page |
Dec 2020 | Jun 2020 | LINK |
Milestone Posts |
|
Milestone Years |
|
Location |
|
Signature |
TO BE FIXED |
|
| Quote: sally cinnamon "This is one of my bugbears doing any international comparison work in economics. You are often not comparing like with like.
For me the best way to measure the impact of covid-19 will be to look at the total weekly deaths registered (all causes) that the ONS produces, in a few years time. Take say the 5 year average before 2020 of the deaths per week in each week of the year as your baseline (this will take in to account higher totals in winter when there is flu circulating). Then compare this to the deaths by week in 2020, 2021 and 2022. Assume that in the absence of covid-19, you would have been on the baseline of the previous 5-year average, and measure the 'excess'. If you look over a long period like 3 years, you will be able to see the effect of deaths that would have otherwise happened anyway over that time, being hastened by covid. You may see that amongst the older age groups, when the pandemic is over, a lower weekly death rate than average for a while, because a lot of those who would have died in 2021/22 have already died in 2020. If the weekly death rates returned in line with their previous average by say 2023, then you would measure the excess deaths in 2020-22 as likely to have been caused by covid, including all the spillover deaths from things like patients who didn't catch the virus but died due to the NHS having fewer resources available to treat them for something else.'"
We're not seeing emergency NHS treatment impacted yet by all accounts, and there is significant spare critical care capacity at present (2,600 beds as of yesterday), although there will almost certainly be deaths caused by people not seeking medical attention due to a perceived risk of attending hospital, and other lockdown/isolation-related deaths, including those linked to mental health.
My 75 year old mother attended North Manchester General last week for heart issues (turned out to be angina, nothing serious thankfully). The paramedics and her GP insisted she went as the CV19 and non-CV19 areas are completely separate. Another member of my family took their 6 year old to a different hospital yesterday (fell off his bed and split his head open) - same story. No wait for treatment at either.
Yes, the numbers won't become clear for a few years, and we still rely on accurate and honest reporting from some quarters. The US could yet see some massive numbers. Brazil and Russia are about to implode although I suspect the numbers will never be truly disclosed. Japan struggling. Africa - who knows.
|
|
|
|
|
|