Quote: Sal Paradise "Redwood and Gove were correct it could have been had it not been for the remain side putting up every barrier to stop it. Nobody actually knows how things will pan out if/when we leave with no deal - its never been done before and we all know how accurate economic forecasting is!! The referendum was lost on two areas Well, we’ll see now, I guess. For all the farting about, the divorce deal and the UK’s position now is exactly where it was always going to be once the the redlines were, pretty resoundingly, endorsed by the electorate a week and a bit ago. The difficult Irish border decision having been made. The Leave side now has every opportunity to play those cards. This is where it gets complicated, and trade-offs have to be made. Those are our Government’s decisions to make, which I know is a big win in itself for Brexiteers. But, inevitably some of those choices will be painful and disappoint some people, and those with highest hopes are likely to be the most disappointed. Quote: Sal Paradise "I don't think there is anyone out there expecting a boost from leaving - what people are expecting is a country that can control its laws and its borders - simple as.'" Don’t forget that most people aren’t that engaged with it, and have better things to do with their time than to discuss it as much as we do. Illegally hunting foxes, watching Mrs Brown’s Boys and other Guardianista bete noires, probably. Some people do see Brexit as an economic panacea that has been denied that them by a cruel and out of touch liberal elite. While both measures had dropped from 57% of Leave voters in 2017, in March of this year 42% and 48% of Leave voters believed Brexit will be good for UK jobs, and the UK economy, respectively. While only 11% of Leave voters thought Brexit will be bad for the UK economy, 67% of them thought it’ll be bad for the EU economy. Assuming that isn’t double-think or ignorance about the relative size of the UK and EU27 markets, I can only imagine that is based on no longer making a net contribution to the EU outweighing the impact on trade. The jobs thing could be around greater demand for labour (small l) with reduced EU immigration, a major Remain blindspot, imo. https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/ar ... ons-brexit And, anecdotally, looking out from my liberal bubble, via Channel 4 News going to meet real people in Keighley, I was struck by a comment from a woman who bemoaned the state of the High Street and expressed hope that Brexit would deliver the investment required to improve it. A community that has been taken for granted and ignored by Labour and abandoned by Conservative governments, and it is a bit sad to see people so desperate for change that they’ll pin their hopes on this. To be fair, nobody is offering them anything else very compelling, and the alternative is that they give up hope.

Quote: Sal Paradise "Redwood and Gove were correct it could have been had it not been for the remain side putting up every barrier to stop it. Nobody actually knows how things will pan out if/when we leave with no deal - its never been done before and we all know how accurate economic forecasting is!! The referendum was lost on two areas Well, we’ll see now, I guess. For all the farting about, the divorce deal and the UK’s position now is exactly where it was always going to be once the the redlines were, pretty resoundingly, endorsed by the electorate a week and a bit ago. The difficult Irish border decision having been made. The Leave side now has every opportunity to play those cards. This is where it gets complicated, and trade-offs have to be made. Those are our Government’s decisions to make, which I know is a big win in itself for Brexiteers. But, inevitably some of those choices will be painful and disappoint some people, and those with highest hopes are likely to be the most disappointed. Quote: Sal Paradise "I don't think there is anyone out there expecting a boost from leaving - what people are expecting is a country that can control its laws and its borders - simple as.'" Don’t forget that most people aren’t that engaged with it, and have better things to do with their time than to discuss it as much as we do. Illegally hunting foxes, watching Mrs Brown’s Boys and other Guardianista bete noires, probably. Some people do see Brexit as an economic panacea that has been denied that them by a cruel and out of touch liberal elite. While both measures had dropped from 57% of Leave voters in 2017, in March of this year 42% and 48% of Leave voters believed Brexit will be good for UK jobs, and the UK economy, respectively. While only 11% of Leave voters thought Brexit will be bad for the UK economy, 67% of them thought it’ll be bad for the EU economy. Assuming that isn’t double-think or ignorance about the relative size of the UK and EU27 markets, I can only imagine that is based on no longer making a net contribution to the EU outweighing the impact on trade. The jobs thing could be around greater demand for labour (small l) with reduced EU immigration, a major Remain blindspot, imo. https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/ar ... ons-brexit And, anecdotally, looking out from my liberal bubble, via Channel 4 News going to meet real people in Keighley, I was struck by a comment from a woman who bemoaned the state of the High Street and expressed hope that Brexit would deliver the investment required to improve it. A community that has been taken for granted and ignored by Labour and abandoned by Conservative governments, and it is a bit sad to see people so desperate for change that they’ll pin their hopes on this. To be fair, nobody is offering them anything else very compelling, and the alternative is that they give up hope.

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did anyone point out that the traditional High Street is gone, more down to online shopping than any lack of investment. Tesco have invested millions, but are still closing branches, Mothercare, Toys r Us, Maplins, Woolworths, Dixons, Comet, Austin Reed, C&A, Thomas Cook, Pound World, JJB sports...all gone to the wall in recent years.

Actually, having said that, if we make the big leap about it being purely a Brexit election, and acknowledging that first past the post is what matters and that was a triumph for Johnson...

Conservative plus Brexit party was 45.6%

Labour, Lib Dem, SNP, and Green (covering a variety of less Brexity options) combined was 50.3%

Nobody else managed 1% of the National vote.

No, and I agree that is very pertinent.

I just think that Brexit has come to represent something much bigger than it really is to some people, and managing expectations and disappointment with it will be a major challenge for the Johnson Government as they try to achieve a second full term.

The electoral map has been redrawn, and that is no bad thing imo. These people could be the new Mondeo Man and Worcester Woman - they probably deserve a turn as a key demographic, tbf.

Mr Johnson has indeed promised a Brexit Dividend on multiple occasions, no mention from his of any "economic hit"
Is he once again being economical with the truth or does he really expect an improvement in our prosperity ?

agree with all of that.

I know that. I was just pointing out that 'our Jake' was saying the peasants can enjoy cheaper crap, while he and his ilk will still enjoy the good stuff, no matter what happens.

I must have missed something, who is 'our Jake', do you mean Jacob Rees Mogg?

So how would the government justify signing up to a trade deal with the US that would place locks on a future UK government from bringing in new environmental, food safety or product standards, and forces us to get rid of the existing NICE system for recommending and purchasing drugs, so that we paid higher prices for US-produced medicines.

Similarly, in a trade deal with India where the Indians are insistent that we stop classing Indian citizens as high risk in terms of immigration, and relax the rules on visas from India.

The government wants to secure trade deals so will have to accept some compromises like this, and will have to sell that to an electorate who thought we were leaving Europe to regain freedom to make our own laws rather than see our own government sign them away in an external trade agreement.

Where have you seen a copy pf the deal, considering Trump may be impeached or voted out before we leave the EU at the end of 2020?

The problem is the new agreement to leave removed the clause that allowed parliament to scrutinise any trade deals. This means it will be down to the inner circle including Dominic Cummings to arrange and sign before Parliament can even consider.
I have said before that suddenly IDS and Fox are pushing the US food standards. I note that Johnson had his food delivered by Harrods to the back door of course, no chlorinated chicken for him.
Brexit has split this country and I am afraid it has given a boost to racism and racists who relate it to the empire. I would hope Johnson would look to try to reduce this but I fear history would suggest he will not.

Just to note that changing the system of NICE assessments and pricing negotiations, would impact on all medicines, not just those produced by US companies. All the big Pharma companies have global reach, so i’m not sure how sensible it is to think about them in terms of their nations of origin.

I’d be interested to see or hear what the US might want in this regard, because we have a mature and effective process tailored to our healthcare system. I just can’t see what fundamental changes would be feasible without dismantling the whole framework.

It will be interesting to see our actual influence with the USA with regards the extradition of the motorist charged with death by dangerous driving. I expect that sadly USA will take no notice and I doubt our actual commitment due to the trade deal Johnson needs.

No he hasn't he has said there will be a financial boost from not having to give the EU £9bn every year and I suppose that can be seen as a good thing if it is invested in a tangible manner.

Not a chance the US will extradite this lady, its not in their DNA - we need to ensure we are equally as resolute when the situation is reversed