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FORUMS > The Sin Bin > Boris Johnson - spinless leader ? |
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| Quote: sally cinnamon "This would help but in the absence of addressing the underlying supply problem (not enough houses) all that does is drive up prices. It means more people are enabled to buy so the prices that people can bid for the same scarce houses go up.
It's similar to the approach in the New Labour days - encourage banks to facilitate more people to be able to borrow.'"
If there were more potential buyer then building companies would be prepared to build more houses - simple supply and demand proposition?
This is a very densely populated island in global terms - if we want to encourage people to live and work here we need to increase the housing stock. Mass building of rental properties is storing up a huge problem later down the line. Building affordable properties that people can get affordable mortgages seems like a win win to me.
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| Quote: cadoo "I thought you implied it was directly caused by Labour when that isn't true. I think the Tories - by their own admission - took austerity too far. To offer balance, retrospectively Labour were going to implement austerity measures too.
Your poverty question is one I asked myself too. How the hell can 4 million kids be in poverty. We dont see it on our streets and as you allude to when you think of poverty you think of African kids/Live Aid/Bob Geldof type appeals.
A child is said to be living in poverty when they are living in a family with an income below 60% of the UK's average after adjusting for family size. Two thirds of children living in poverty have at least one parent in work, which strengthens the argument for a rise in the national living wage so parents can feed their kids. A rise in food banks *41,000 in 2009, 1.6million in 2018* highlights the issue. How long can these emergency services keep up with demand before we see kids on the street? Do we need to see that before we take action?
Should we not expect (demand?) more from our political leaders? I think you're absolutely correct in his strategy, but if we cannot - or more so our PM refuses/ducks being held to account - then do we really live in a democracy?'"
Some really good points - but the low of averages suggests the 80/20 rule fits so 80% of the population will earn below the median. So if you take the poverty measure to be what you have alluded to then you will have loads of kids in "poverty" - they are not really in poverty though are they?
The rise in food banks is directly correlated to the universal credit issue - a good idea very badly executed. Once/if this settles down then the reliance on food banks will diminish - although why buy food when you can get it for free?
I agree our politicians are very poor and nearly all have very little experience outside of political life. We need less of them, they should have had experience in proper jobs - I don't mean working for think tank/union/quango - a proper job and their should be limits on how long they can be an MP say 10-15 years. We need to pay them more to attract better candidates.
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| Quote: wrencat1873 "It's great that you and your partner have managed to get on the property ladder.
However, a joint income of £50k is pretty good and or a "young" couple, I'd suggest that you are doing pretty well.
We could also go into stuff about the length of mortgage, which always used to be a standard 25 year term (quite often people are now being "sold" 35 year mortgages) and the other major issue currently, is the historical low on interest rates, something which the slightest uplift would cause huge problems for anyone with a significant loan.
No dout that you have done well to get where you are, especially without parental help but, I would be interested to hear how your peers are getting on ? - Thankfully, I've been there and done that and much of my time paying off a mortgage was when interest rates were in double figures, peaking at 15% under the Thatcher government- try not to think about that when you are having your cornflakes, it was the stuff of nightmares.'"
Completely agree - even a modest move in interest rates to say 5% which is historically very low would see huge property defaults. If the banks were pragmatic they would extend mortgage periods to cushion the blow but that is not how banks work sadly.
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| Quote: wrencat1873 "It's great that you and your partner have managed to get on the property ladder.
However, a joint income of £50k is pretty good and or a "young" couple, I'd suggest that you are doing pretty well.
We could also go into stuff about the length of mortgage, which always used to be a standard 25 year term (quite often people are now being "sold" 35 year mortgages) and the other major issue currently, is the historical low on interest rates, something which the slightest uplift would cause huge problems for anyone with a significant loan.
No dout that you have done well to get where you are, especially without parental help but, I would be interested to hear how your peers are getting on ? - Thankfully, I've been there and done that and much of my time paying off a mortgage was when interest rates were in double figures, peaking at 15% under the Thatcher government- try not to think about that when you are having your cornflakes, it was the stuff of nightmares.'"
Oh you're spot on. We were sold a 40 year mortgage. Fixed for 3 years so the interest rate was high. It was a terrible deal, but it was a deal. We had no chance of 25 years & we were turned down on other applications (we had no bad credit history between us and had a 5% deposit).
You're correct RE peers. They are struggling by comparison. If they aren't in a relationship there is no chance. If anyone falls pregnant and are living at home they inevitably rent.
Perhaps someone on this forum will explain otherwise but I really believe if you have started off renting, I truly fail to see how you get a property of your own. I rented once for a job for 3 months in Manchester and I would have had no chance of saving.
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| Quote: cadoo "Oh you're spot on. We were sold a 40 year mortgage. Fixed for 3 years so the interest rate was high. It was a terrible deal, but it was a deal. We had no chance of 25 years & we were turned down on other applications (we had no bad credit history between us and had a 5% deposit).
You're correct RE peers. They are struggling by comparison. If they aren't in a relationship there is no chance. If anyone falls pregnant and are living at home they inevitably rent.
Perhaps someone on this forum will explain otherwise but I really believe if you have started off renting, I truly fail to see how you get a property of your own. I rented once for a job for 3 months in Manchester and I would have had no chance of saving.'"
40 years ? that's one hell of a commitment
As you say, it's a real catch 22 - if you try and rent, there is little left towards saving for a deposit. Therefore, it's either live with the oldies, get some financial help from them or rent for a lifetime - unless you win the Euromillions
It's probably too late for you to change but, I would definitely recommend an offset mortgage if you can, as it will allow you to shave a few years of your loan.
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| Quote: wrencat1873 "40 years ? that's one hell of a commitment'"
My mortgage was a 40 year mortgage when I took it out. It was the only way I could get one at the time, and that was with help from parents and one of them acting as a guarantor. I imagine a lot of first time buyers buying in the last 10-15 years will be on 40 year mortgages to start off with.
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| Quote: King Street Cat "My mortgage was a 40 year mortgage when I took it out. It was the only way I could get one at the time, and that was with help from parents and one of them acting as a guarantor. I imagine a lot of first time buyers buying in the last 10-15 years will be on 40 year mortgages to start off with.'"
In the old days parents used to guarantee bank loans to their kids - happy days
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| Quote: Sal Paradise "If there were more potential buyer then building companies would be prepared to build more houses - simple supply and demand proposition?
This is a very densely populated island in global terms - if we want to encourage people to live and work here we need to increase the housing stock. Mass building of rental properties is storing up a huge problem later down the line. Building affordable properties that people can get affordable mortgages seems like a win win to me.'"
On your first paragraph - yes, if the market functioned efficiently and there weren't barriers to supply. The problem is there are barriers to supply eg through the planning permission process, NIMBYism.
I know the Conservative party is having a revival now on the back of Brexit but the housing situation is the biggest existential problem to the Conservative party's future. When the voting analysis comes out from this election and you see all the breakdowns of age, gender etc, the one to really look for is housing tenure. What is often seen as an 'age' story dividing Conservatives v Lab/Lib/Green is actually a correlation on housing tenure. In the old days it was social tenants vote Labour and home owners vote Conservative. Now you have a growing body of renters in the private sector and they hate the Conservatives.
A couple of years ago I went to a Resolution Foundation event looking at the policy future of the Conservative party. David Willetts and Nick Timothy (after his No.10 days) were making this point forcefully. Timothy had a bad media image as an aloof bully but he came across as an intelligent guy who understood the problem, as did Willetts. Their big concern was the Conservative party had built its election success in the 1980s on being the party that enabled a property dream for people who previously didn't think they could get one. Now its turning in to a party of pulling up the ladder and preserving established divides between those who have property and those who don't. They were saying, if a Conservative government doesn't do something to turn this around for the younger generation and enable them to get onto the ladder, how can we credibly appeal to them. There were a lot of people in the audience coming out with the old tropes 'nobody has a God given right to a house', 'the problem is with the young people today, they don't want to start at the bottom and work their way up like we did, they're lazy'. Sure...but don't expect that attitude to be one that wins young people over to the Conservatives. I got the feeling that Willetts and Timothy were fighting a losing battle. I expect both have been totally sidelined by the current leadership.
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| Quote: cadoo "Not true. I didn't get a penny from either mine or my partners parents and we were on average UK salaries (£25K each approx). What we did was save £250 each a month (our outgoings were low with living at home) and within 16 months (ish) we had a nice deposit saved up. We took advantage of the brilliant help to buy ISA scheme that paid for solicitors fees and we are on the ladder with a 3 bedroom semi detached house bought at £147K. However in that year and half saving we were disciplined. No holidays/no wild night outs and the discipline to pay yourself first every month (I.e save). I think in schools we should educate - or certainly as parents should educate - our children about money and how to make it work for you. A great book I read in my early 20s was "the richest man in babylon". Some really easy, digestible and instantly actionable measures you can take to be better off.
I think what definitely has changed is both my dad and my father in law were able to buy a property in their early 20s on their own. That is unheard of now. I think you absolutely need 2 people in full time employment as the cost of living has gone up since then. It was relatively easy (certainly easier than now) to get on the housing ladder. Even if you by some chance have the money on your own, getting a bank to grant you a mortgage on 1 full time wage is rare.'"
You may not have had a cash injection from your parents but you certainly benefited from living with them if I read your post correctly. That's not a criticism btw. You achieved what many simply don't have the willpower for - £250 a month saved is a decent deposit within a couple of years.
You also touch on a good point often mocked by many liberals: "no holidays/no wild night outs and the discipline to pay yourself first every month". It's packaged as 'avocado on toast' and sneered at, but there's a degree of truth there. You simply cannot afford to save for a deposit if you're paying £50 a month for the latest phone, have subscriptions to Netflix, Amazon Prime and whatever else, you want a couple of holidays a year, big nights out 3-4 times a month and get takeaways in most nights of the week.
However, it's simply not true a single person can't buy a house. There are plenty of properties for less than £100k available in loads of areas commutable to Manchester for example, and many other major cities. Some might not be in the most salubrious of areas, but that's kind of how it works, start on the bottom rung and work your way up. Right now within a 5 mile radius of Manchester city centre there are almost 3,000 properties for sale under £150k.
After uni I rented a very rough little 1-bed flat above a hairdressers for several years (£30 a week, no heating, icicles on the ceiling in winter). I then lived overseas for several years so I was well behind the curve when I came back. I eventually bought a little 2-bed in a dodgy area for £79k in the early 2000s, and being on the 'ladder', saving and career progression enabled me to buy a 4-bed detached in a cracking area a couple of years ago. All that with a family and basically on a single wage.
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| Quote: wrencat1873 "They still can on pay day loans, the Tory alternative to food banks:
That isn't what he said at all though, is it.
He's saying (clumsily to be fair) that some people struggle to manage their money (often true), and one of the things they sometimes do when struggling is look for a payday loan. He then says one of the things he wants to do if he's in Parliament is to "stop payday loan advertising because that just makes the whole problem worse." It's very clear - if you bother to take a moment to pay attention - he's against payday loans.
Your blinkers skew your hearing it seems.
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| Quote: Cronus "You may not have had a cash injection from your parents but you certainly benefited from living with them if I read your post correctly. That's not a criticism btw. You achieved what many simply don't have the willpower for - £250 a month saved is a decent deposit within a couple of years.
You also touch on a good point often mocked by many liberals
That’s not massively dissimilar to my own experience. However, I think we both ‘beat’ the banking crisis and our experiences are of limited relevance to those that did not. I came out of university owing only about £6k, and the deposit for our first house was just £7k. Speaking to a younger colleague, who’d followed a similar path, a couple of years or so after the crash and that deposit wouldn’t have got me and my wife anywhere by that point. And we (me, my wife and you) went to University - plenty of people don’t, so while they don’t have the huge debt associated with a degree nowadays, they typically don’t earn as much as graduates either.
I went into academic research for some years, and occasionally we’d receive advice from senior tenured staff about how we could advance our careers as they had done. Work hard, publish in high impact journals etc. They had the experience, but it was of something that had by that point largely disappeared - well-funded and rapidly expanding higher education and basic science. It was still possible to advance, but much less likely. The advice was still basically sound, but was undermined sometimes by a lack of recognition of the extent of the change - whether from missing that point, or wanting to be positive, or not wanting their own achievements to seem diminished. I think telling the next generation that ‘well, we managed it’ on housing probably elicits similar feelings to those I felt back then.
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| Quote: Cronus "That isn't what he said at all though, is it.
He's saying (clumsily to be fair) that some people struggle to manage their money (often true), and one of the things they sometimes do when struggling is look for a payday loan. He then says one of the things he wants to do if he's in Parliament is to "stop payday loan advertising because that just makes the whole problem worse." It's very clear - if you bother to take a moment to pay attention - he's against payday loans.
Your blinkers skew your hearing it seems.
Sorry Cronus, it wasn't supposed to be a serious reply.
My attempt at humour seems to have flown straight past. Never mind.
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| Quote: Cronus "
You also touch on a good point often mocked by many liberals
Yes but this is a stereotype that is just made up to support a point. All the younger generation today are wanting is a 'fair chance.'
It is a total myth that the earlier generation lived a life of thrift and sacrifice and younger people today are hedonists. Certainly when I was at uni and a young professional just after, people went out a lot - more than I see the graduate generation that work with us do. We were probably the boom years (2000s) of taking advantage of cheap holidays, in fact back then, it wasn't uncommon for people to do two 'gap years', one before university, then after uni. Even early-career after a couple of years working you would get people asking for a 'career break' to go travelling for a few months. This kind of stuff was going on, and people were still able to get on the ladder.
I'm not sure if the experience is totally different up north (where it's still more affordable to get on the housing ladder) but in London these avocado on toast generation just don't do the boozy nights out that we used to. They are a Netflix generation but they are probably spending less spending £8.99 a month and staying in watching endless box sets than my generation did going out regularly. Also one thing which amuses me at work is the older generation (who have houses) all seem to go to Pret A Manger and buy £7 worth of lunches a day, then tut at the price and say 'no wonder young people can't buy a house' and the graduates are all in a queue for the microwave having brought their own lunch from home to heat up.
The real thing that is stopping them being able to save for a deposit is the rents. Their salaries are being creamed off by landlords who see them as easy money. This should be recognised as the unfairness it is. When you get debates about Corbyn raising taxes on people over £80k etc, you immediately get a lot of people on or around that salary saying things like, I work damn hard for my money, what right does government have to take more of it away from me? But for 'generation rent', they are working hard and trying to chase their dream of escaping the drudgery of renting, moving every year when the landlord hikes their rent, getting fleeced with agent fees, and more and more of their wages are being taken away by landlords who see them as a cash cow. Even those who have managed to buy a house and are in those 'new builds', they might have the security of tenure but they have a similar situation with management companies fleecing them with service charges. These are their wages, which they are working hard for, and they are seeing increasing chunks creamed off by those who are in a privileged position in the property ladder. They see landlords and management companies in the same way that you see Corbyn wanting to raise taxes.
Lots of property owners have a story of thrift and sacrifice that led to them getting on the property ladder 'in their day', but the reality is the circumstances in which they bought a house - even up to my generation who graduated in the mid 2000s, was easier than it is today. The ratios of rent to take-home pay, and house prices to take-home pay were not as steep as they are now.
[OK...my generation faced those steep house prices to take-home pay ratios, but we benefited from access to generous mortgages which allowed you to get on the property ladder, and as long as you didn't lose your job during the crash, you benefited from long term super-low interest rates]
I do understand that being in London I am talking about a situation which is worse to that which people see in the north.
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| Quote: sally cinnamon "Yes but this is a stereotype that is just made up to support a point. All the younger generation today are wanting is a 'fair chance.'
It is a total myth that the earlier generation lived a life of thrift and sacrifice and younger people today are hedonists. Certainly when I was at uni and a young professional just after, people went out a lot - more than I see the graduate generation that work with us do. We were probably the boom years (2000s) of taking advantage of cheap holidays, in fact back then, it wasn't uncommon for people to do two 'gap years', one before university, then after uni. Even early-career after a couple of years working you would get people asking for a 'career break' to go travelling for a few months. This kind of stuff was going on, and people were still able to get on the ladder.
I'm not sure if the experience is totally different up north (where it's still more affordable to get on the housing ladder) but in London these avocado on toast generation just don't do the boozy nights out that we used to. They are a Netflix generation but they are probably spending less spending £8.99 a month and staying in watching endless box sets than my generation did going out regularly. Also one thing which amuses me at work is the older generation (who have houses) all seem to go to Pret A Manger and buy £7 worth of lunches a day, then tut at the price and say 'no wonder young people can't buy a house' and the graduates are all in a queue for the microwave having brought their own lunch from home to heat up.
The real thing that is stopping them being able to save for a deposit is the rents. Their salaries are being creamed off by landlords who see them as easy money. This should be recognised as the unfairness it is. When you get debates about Corbyn raising taxes on people over £80k etc, you immediately get a lot of people on or around that salary saying things like, I work damn hard for my money, what right does government have to take more of it away from me? But for 'generation rent', they are working hard and trying to chase their dream of escaping the drudgery of renting, moving every year when the landlord hikes their rent, getting fleeced with agent fees, and more and more of their wages are being taken away by landlords who see them as a cash cow. Even those who have managed to buy a house and are in those 'new builds', they might have the security of tenure but they have a similar situation with management companies fleecing them with service charges. These are their wages, which they are working hard for, and they are seeing increasing chunks creamed off by those who are in a privileged position in the property ladder. They see landlords and management companies in the same way that you see Corbyn wanting to raise taxes.
Lots of property owners have a story of thrift and sacrifice that led to them getting on the property ladder 'in their day', but the reality is the circumstances in which they bought a house - even up to my generation who graduated in the mid 2000s, was easier than it is today. The ratios of rent to take-home pay, and house prices to take-home pay were not as steep as they are now.
[OK...my generation faced those steep house prices to take-home pay ratios, but we benefited from access to generous mortgages which allowed you to get on the property ladder, and as long as you didn't lose your job during the crash, you benefited from long term super-low interest rates]
I do understand that being in London I am talking about a situation which is worse to that which people see in the north.'"
you have a seriously deluded view on life
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