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FORUMS > The Sin Bin > No More Arguments: Austerity is Working!
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Quote: BobbyD "The economicshelp.org graph you've displayed is a little out of date/incorrect. Here's the latest one.



Plus, here's a link to the ONS. If you scroll down to Table 2a to 2e, they show historical revisions of GDP data since 1998.


These will be those 'adjusted' figures, will they?

And Ajw71 jumping up and down getting excited about a revised figure of 0% non-growth is desperation – and does not change his inability to read the charts I initially posted.

Incidentally, austerity is popular in countries other than the UK, albeit not always to the same degree.

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Quote: BobbyD "Then there's the GDP of the Euro area, our largest trading partner.
From

It's almost like our economy started to slow down again when the economy of the area we do the most trade with slowed down.'"


When lefties speak about the recession in 2008 under Labour they are quick to trot out 'oh it was a global crisis' and 'it was nothing to do with labour policies'. In other words they cite external factors.

When lefties speak about growth from 2010 onwards they are quick to trot out 'it was all to do with the nasty government policies' and completely ignore the fact that there was and still is a 'Eurozone crisis' In other words they completely ignore external factors.

It's totally see through. Thankfully most people realise this.

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Quote: Mintball "These will be those 'adjusted' figures, will they?

And Ajw71 jumping up and down getting excited about a revised figure of 0% non-growth is desperation – and does not change his inability to read the charts I initially posted.

Incidentally, austerity is popular in countries other than the UK, albeit not always to the same degree.'"


So you are finally admitting the fact that there has not been a recession since 2008/2009 then.....

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Big Labour v Tory argument going on here, like most thing I suspect the truth lies beneath the 2.

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Quote: Mintball "These will be those 'adjusted' figures, will they?

And Ajw71 jumping up and down getting excited about a revised figure of 0% non-growth is desperation – and does not change his inability to read the charts I initially posted.

Incidentally, austerity is popular in countries other than the UK, albeit not always to the same degree.'"


0% growth is not desperation it is a fact - just admit you were wrong, I will not hold my breath.

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Lets all be honest, there has been one long continuous depression since the worlds banks went arrse over tit in 2008 and as everyone who pays a mortgage, rent, utilities and food bills knows (I accept that AJW may not be in this category) very few people have improved their lot since that time and most have slipped backwards, its not a good track record to date and the first two quarters of 2014 will be VERY interesting because we all have to start "feeling good" in 2014 ready for the next General Election, it will probably have to come from bribes though.

And for the record, there was a recession in 2010, then there wasn't, it was all sleight of hand or just a bad dream.

I believe.

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Quote: Ajw71 "So you are finally admitting the fact that there has not been a recession since 2008/2009 then.....'"

Do you still stand by your statement that the economy has grown by 1.9% since January?
Or will you admit you're wrong?

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And to make sure that austerity works even more, rlthe government has rejected the chance to get EU funding help for foodbanksrl.

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Oh, has he gone again? Or just logged in as someone else?

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Quote: Him "Oh, has he gone again? Or just logged in as someone else?'"


TBF, I don't think he does that.

It would take a degree of mental discipline.

Although he is sitting around, watching the forums, even as I post this. icon_twisted.gif

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Quote: Mintball "TBF, I don't think he does that.

It would take a degree of mental discipline.'"

icon_smile.gif Done his disappearing act again though hasn't he. Same as Lord Elpers after the Mitchell thing went south for him.

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Quote: sally cinnamon "Lets be fair here UK GDP grew at 2.4% in the first year following the recession (Q3 2009 till Q3 2010) which was the year in the run up to the Coalition taking office. ....'"


Yes it did grow based on some last minute spending by Brown and Ballsup (remember they boasted about leaving the cupboard bare?)

Had Brown not been thrown out by the voters and Darling had remained Chancellor then his plan to cut the deficit was similar to the Osborne one and so would have had the same result on growth given the same outside influences.

But it was almost certain Ballsup would have become Chancellor then he would have pursued his borrow policy and spend with the obvious result of an increased deficit, a fiscal crisis and a second major run on sterling in 2010.


Quote: sally cinnamon "It does amuse me how you get Tories now desperate to talk up these figures accusing Labour and left wing commentators of being unhappy that the economy has returned to growth and talking down the economy etc....can you remember the rhetoric we had from the Tories in the run up to the election when the economy was growing at what is more or less a normal long term trend rate. ....'"


It amuses me how all the lefties are in denial over the recovery and in denial over the mess they left behind them.


Quote: sally cinnamon "The only reason this slow return to growth looks good is because the economy stagnated for the first 2.5 years under the Coalition so it is a recovery compared to that but not compared to the last year under Labour. ....

The reason Gordon Brown's line in the election campaign was "don't let the Tories threaten the recovery" was exactly because the UK economy was recovering. It went in to stagnation after the Coalition took over they just made sure they blamed Labour for it....'"


You conveniently are ignoring the three major outside factors that hit growth since 2010.

1. While Britain continued the grow modestly after 2010 the eurozone - which did have a serious fiscal crisis - sank back into recession. The eurozones woes, rather than Osborne's austerity, were one reason why Britain's recovery failed to take off. Its problems hit exports, oushed up bank funding costs and sapped the confidence of business in investing.

The growth figures were also dragged down by peculiarly British factors:
2. A plunge in North sea oil output
3. A sharp drop in financial services - a bigger pain for Britain than elsewhere.

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Quote: cod'ead "Economist David Blanchflower

Even our right-wing muppets should be able to follow this'"


David "Danny" Blanchflower (DDB), a British economist appointed by Labour to the BoE monetary policy committee (he left in 2009) and advisor to the discredited Labour economic record.

Whenever Blanchflower makes a prediction its a safe bet to expect the exact opposite to come true. This is the man that predicted the Tory economic policy would rise to 5 million perhaps 6 million. 100% WRONG - quite a margin for error!
AS someone once said "this notorious prediction has hung around Blanchflower's neck like a necklace of cat poo"

He then predicted unemployment would surge past 3 to 3.4 million in 2010. It peaked at 2.5 million.

He predicted 600-700,000 private sector jobs would be lost by the end of the parliament - WRONG

He predicted a long depression with zero growth and high umemployment - WRONG

He predicted a double-dip recession which he said was "100% certain" - WRONG

He predicted a triple-dip recession in March 2013 - WRONG

He predicted "Slasher Osborne is going to decimate public spending and it will do terible and irreversable damage to the British economy" - WRONG

He said "recovery what recovery?" in September 2013 - WRONG

He said "clearly we are not turning the corner and the misguided austerity policy of a reckless Chancellor with no training in economics unnecessarly inflicted that nasty wound on the Britsih people" Sept 2013 - WRONG

So I now understand why you have such strange views if you and your other left wing "muppets "believe the deranged predictions of this doom monger. Blanchflower and his lefty Keynesians have totally lost the intellectual debate on the British economy.

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Quote: Him "

Nice intelligent contribution to this debate as usual. Nothing I have said on the Mitchell thread has gone South. As I have talready old you I will report on that thread.

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Quote: Lord Elpers "Nice intelligent contribution to this debate as usual. Nothing I have said on the Mitchell thread has gone South. As I have talready old you I will report on that thread.'"

Of course you will icon_lol.gif
I'm trying to contribute to the debate but dear old Ajw won't answer for some reason. Do you know why that is?
Or of course I could always revert to the right-wingers tactic of simply making things up? Maybe if I do that and then put the word "FACT" next to it? Or some other word? If I do that often enough I could even convince myself it might be true.

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