| FORUMS > The Sin Bin > OBAMA v ROMNEY |
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| Quote: thaiad24 "OBAMA - ROMNEY, doesnt really matter
the only Candidate worth voting for was Ron Paul - its a shame that Americans as thick as bleep'"
LOL |
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So today is the day.
Nate Silver's model gives Obama a 91.6% chance of winning which seems absurd to think of but (although there is some manipulation of the data), this is essentially just reflective of the swing state polls. Silver has commented on Twitter that this %age doesn't mean it's going to be a landslide, it just means it's a probable end result based on the available data.
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
As an Obama partisan, I think they are overly optimistic odds (I think Florida, certainly S Carolina and probably Virginia are likely to be red so it does bring us down to Ohio and there a small Obama lead in the polls could be overwhelmed by outsized Republican enthusiasm to get rid of him and "reclaim their country" (the dog whistles in that aren't hard to miss)). A win for the President in any of those first three named though and that will be the end of things for Romney.
I think it's going to be a long and nerve-wracking night  |
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So today is the day.
Nate Silver's model gives Obama a 91.6% chance of winning which seems absurd to think of but (although there is some manipulation of the data), this is essentially just reflective of the swing state polls. Silver has commented on Twitter that this %age doesn't mean it's going to be a landslide, it just means it's a probable end result based on the available data.
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
As an Obama partisan, I think they are overly optimistic odds (I think Florida, certainly S Carolina and probably Virginia are likely to be red so it does bring us down to Ohio and there a small Obama lead in the polls could be overwhelmed by outsized Republican enthusiasm to get rid of him and "reclaim their country" (the dog whistles in that aren't hard to miss)). A win for the President in any of those first three named though and that will be the end of things for Romney.
I think it's going to be a long and nerve-wracking night | |
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| Quote: thaiad24 "OBAMA - ROMNEY, doesnt really matter
the only Candidate worth voting for was Ron Paul - its a shame that Americans as thick as bleep'"
Ron Jeremy would have been an entertaining 4 years |
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| Quote: thaiad24 "OBAMA - ROMNEY, doesnt really matter
the only Candidate worth voting for was Ron Paul - its a shame that Americans as thick as bleep'"
Yes. Another one who wants to have control over women's bodies.
It is quite extraordinary how many on the US right talk about wanting a 'small state' – until it comes to women's wombs. |
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| Congratulations President Obama. America believes in you. He didn't need my vote afterall  |
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If it hadn't been for the blacks, latinos, hispanics, communists, gays, 47%, Sandy and Mitt Romney, then Mitt Romney might have won.
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| Quote: WIZEB "If it hadn't been for the blacks, latinos, hispanics, communists, gays, 47%, Sandy and Mitt Romney, then Mitt Romney might have won.'"
Yeah, but the GOP had Kid Rock and Lindsay Lohan.
BTW, Donald Trump is angry:
"Well, back to the drawing board! He lost the popular vote by a lot and won the election. We should have a revolution in this country... This election is a total sham and a travesty. We are not a democracy! Our country is now in serious and unprecedented trouble...like never before. Our nation is a once great nation divided! The electoral college is a disaster for a democracy." |
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| Quote: gulfcoast_highwayman "BTW, Donald Trump is angryCuriously I doubt he was complaining when Gore won the popular vote by half a million in 2000.
Moreover, you would have thought someone of his, ahem, intelligence would understand that it might have been better holding his hissy fit in until the blue states in the west filtered into the results - Obama now has a 1m+ lead in the popular vote which just makes Trump look even more absurd.
It's going to be fun watching rl ), in the end his model called every single state right at the Presidential level.
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| A nice £1,666 for me after putting £5,000 on Obama to win at 1/3 on 
When it comes to the USA elections, ignore EVERYTHING you hear in the mainstream media. It wasnt as close as the likes of BBC, SKY, CNN and FOX would have you believe at the time. The Princeton Election Consortium are NEVER wrong and they had Obama's chances of winning, last week, at 99.5%. Obama was already ahead in the college electoral college votes on monday by a massive margin but thats not really newsworthy is it. |
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| Quote: gulfcoast_highwayman "Yeah, but the GOP had Kid Rock and Lindsay Lohan.
'"
And this one. ![]() |
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| Quote: MjM "
Moreover, you would have thought someone of his, ahem, intelligence would understand that it might have been better holding his hissy fit in until the blue states in the west filtered into the results - Obama now has a 1m+ lead in the popular vote which just makes Trump look even more absurd.
'"
Also, as someone on another board pointed out, Donald seems blissfully unaware of how badly ridiculously coiffed easily recognisable rich folk fare during revolutions. |
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| Quote: Saint77777 "A nice £1,666 for me after putting £5,000 on Obama to win at 1/3 on ![]()
Notice how when people have a big betting win they tell everyone, but nobody ever publicises their losses?
Its like after the Grand National. The bookies and the winners often make a big deal of the fact that someone has won say £100,000 on a horse winning at 20-1. They never tell you how much that bloke has lost in the previous year.
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| Quote: Cibaman "Notice how when people have a big betting win they tell everyone, but nobody ever publicises their losses?
Its like after the Grand National. The bookies and the winners often make a big deal of the fact that someone has won say £100,000 on a horse winning at 20-1. They never tell you how much that bloke has lost in the previous year.'"
Why would I tell you that I lost a £10 accy 2 months ago in a thread about THE US ELECTIONS?? 
Anyway, im off to spend my winnings  . Have a nice day |
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| Quote: Saint77777 "Why would I tell you that I lost a £10 accy 2 months ago in a thread about THE US ELECTIONS?? ![]()
No, it was 1/3.
Or 3/1 on.
Not 1/3 on, which would be the same as 3/1, as well as nonsensical.
Yours,
A. Pedant
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