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FORUMS > The Sin Bin > Brexit Anyone ? (part 3)
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May will lose the commons vote, she won’t call an election but will go to a second referendum.

1. Her negotiated deal.
2. Leave with no deal.
3. Remain.

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Well, I'd never heard Tony Benn's views on the EU until today.

Always admired him. icon_biggrin.gif

Seriously though, he puts it far better than anyone in the Leave campaign ever did. If his speeches had formed part of the campaign we'd have won 80/20. icon_cool.gif

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Quote: wrencat1873 "I take it by your comment thatb you are happy with the proposed deal ?

As a Leave voter, is it what you wanted/expected ?


Also just getting back to the democratic vote.
In a general election, if/when a party doesnt stay fairly close to their manifesto or, is found to have badly misled the electorate, there can be a vote of no confidence or, another general election.
With this situation, there is no going back, certainly not for a couple of generations (at least) and you could argue that throught the democratic process (ie Parliament), the lies and deliberate misleading of the public (remember the #350 million a week), political scrutiny has actually found holes in the srguement.
Therefore, should we trust the elected members to "do the right thing" and vote the deal down or, expect them to "carry out the will of the people" ?'"



As a leave voted I expected no deal - I could see no way we could have our cake and eat it. Whilst I expected short term pain I did think there were far more long-term benefits.

Are you seriously suggesting that if we left and we went back to Europe in 10 years time they wouldn't have us back?

There were lies and deliberate misleading statements on both sides - you seem to have memory loss on Osborne's the economy will tank immediately and taxes will need to rise significantly immediately.

Your view of trusting the elected members would work if the elected members represented the balance of the vote but as we both know it doesn't so it would work for remainers but doesn't represent the vote. Its like saying the country voted for a Tory government but the elected members decide Labour should form the government.

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Quote: Sal Paradise "As a leave voted I expected no deal - I could see no way we could have our cake and eat it. Whilst I expected short term pain I did think there were far more long-term benefits.

Are you seriously suggesting that if we left and we went back to Europe in 10 years time they wouldn't have us back?
'"



Interesting stuff.

IF we wanted to go back, like you, I'm sure that a way could be found for the UK to re-join the EU but, the terms of our re-entry would be without doubt far worse than we have now.

I'm still surprised that, despite the size and historical strength of our ecconomy, people still want to have us withdraw to our small island(s) and
"take the world on" by ourselves d040.gif

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Quote: wrencat1873 "Interesting stuff.

IF we wanted to go back, like you, I'm sure that a way could be found for the UK to re-join the EU but, the terms of our re-entry would be without doubt far worse than we have now.

I'm still surprised that, despite the size and historical strength of our ecconomy, people still want to have us withdraw to our small island(s) and
"take the world on" by ourselves

If we stay in our deal will only get worse especially if the EU continues to add countries who extract rather than input funds into the EU.

There are plenty of countries that prosper economically that are outside of the EU. I don't understand why with our current platform - yes we are in the EU - we cannot prosper also outside of the EU. Let's be honest the EU has to sell its product somewhere and we buy quite a lot. Not sure BMW/Mercedes are going to be easily able to replace our volumes elsewhere.

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Quote: Sal Paradise "If we stay in our deal will only get worse especially if the EU continues to add countries who extract rather than input funds into the EU.

There are plenty of countries that prosper economically that are outside of the EU. I don't understand why with our current platform - yes we are in the EU - we cannot prosper also outside of the EU. Let's be honest the EU has to sell its product somewhere and we buy quite a lot. Not sure BMW/Mercedes are going to be easily able to replace our volumes elsewhere.'"


Not sure which countries are about to be invited into the EU? Turkey certainly isn't while Erdogan is imprisoning journalists/anyone he doesn't like. Even before he came along it was unlikely.

We do more trade with the EU than anywhere else and by being part of is manage to share costs for heaps of things that we wouldn't otherwise be able to afford on our own. The argument about buying cars from Germany has already fallen flat since those companies have already gone on record saying they don't want to jeopardise the single market. We'll just have to pay more for them.

Our current deal where we have a veto and rebate is pretty good. Better in fact than anyone else in it.

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Quote: Bullseye "Not sure which countries are about to be invited into the EU? Turkey certainly isn't while Erdogan is imprisoning journalists/anyone he doesn't like. Even before he came along it was unlikely.

We do more trade with the EU than anywhere else and by being part of is manage to share costs for heaps of things that we wouldn't otherwise be able to afford on our own. The argument about buying cars from Germany has already fallen flat since those companies have already gone on record saying they don't want to jeopardise the single market. We'll just have to pay more for them.

Our current deal where we have a veto and rebate is pretty good. Better in fact than anyone else in it.'"



Agreed

It's also astonishing that the 27 EU nations managed to ratify the proposal in 40 minutes and yet "our" government is still in utter dissaray.

Assuming thet this doen't make it through parliament, do we then crash out with "no deal" and if so, what happens to the Irish border.

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I think that Sheldon probably has it about right - since there is no way that the Maybot will call a GE anytime soon; she'd consign the Tories to opposition for years.

I don't necessarily support a People's Vote, but given that the Tories will cling to power like rats on a sinking ship, I think it's the only option we'll get once the HoC rejects the deal.

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Quote: wrencat1873 "Agreed

It's also astonishing that the 27 EU nations managed to ratify the proposal in 40 minutes and yet "our" government is still in utter dissaray.

Assuming thet this doen't make it through parliament, do we then crash out with "no deal" and if so, what happens to the Irish border.'"


Its obvious - this is a great deal for one side and not the other.

The idea that we are tied in to the back stop unless we let the all of Europe into our waters to take our fish and we let the Spanish have Gibraltor - that is the reality.

We would be better off with no deal than the restrictions the EU will put on us to get out of the back stop

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Quote: Bullseye "Not sure which countries are about to be invited into the EU? Turkey certainly isn't while Erdogan is imprisoning journalists/anyone he doesn't like. Even before he came along it was unlikely.

We do more trade with the EU than anywhere else and by being part of is manage to share costs for heaps of things that we wouldn't otherwise be able to afford on our own. The argument about buying cars from Germany has already fallen flat since those companies have already gone on record saying they don't want to jeopardise the single market. We'll just have to pay more for them.

Our current deal where we have a veto and rebate is pretty good. Better in fact than anyone else in it.'"


Well done Margaret Thatcher.

What are these cost savings we couldn't achieve?

You argument is flawed as there are heaps of countries outside of the EU that mange to trade very happily with the EU why couldn't we?

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Quote: Sal Paradise "Well done Margaret Thatcher.

What are these cost savings we couldn't achieve?

You argument is flawed as there are heaps of countries outside of the EU that mange to trade very happily with the EU why couldn't we?'"



It's quite clear that the EU will put its own interests first.
Of course they will still trade with the UK and the UK with them.
However, we will now become "competitors" and assuming that the current bill makes it through Parliament, how do you fancy our chances negotiating the actual "trade deal", are you starting to feel out numbered or small yet ?

We've already allowed the EU to lead us by the nose through the withdrawal agreement and to suddenly expect that we will get the better of them in the main event is just fantasy.

The reality will start to bite at some point when we finally see that Farage is indeed a self serving **** and his promises of a brighter future were just political rhetoric or FAKE NEWS.

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The EU may well need our armed forces sooner or later. The Russian bear is flexing his muscles. Hence the flash point the other day with Russian ships blocking access to Ukraine shipping. We have forces stationed in various European countries which were part of the soviet block.Russia makes no secret that they still regard them as part of the former Soviet Union Funny the snake oil salesmen macron or merkel never mentions our contribution to peace in that part of the world. Germany pays virtually nothing into nato, no doubt it will require nato to perform if the political situation deteriorates. Perhaps we should send a bill to Germany for all the money we paid to defend Germany during the Cold War.

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Quote: Bullseye "Not sure which countries are about to be invited into the EU? Turkey certainly isn't while Erdogan is imprisoning journalists/anyone he doesn't like. Even before he came along it was unlikely.

We do more trade with the EU than anywhere else and by being part of is manage to share costs for heaps of things that we wouldn't otherwise be able to afford on our own. The argument about buying cars from Germany has already fallen flat since those companies have already gone on record saying they don't want to jeopardise the single market. We'll just have to pay more for them.

Our current deal where we have a veto and rebate is pretty good. Better in fact than anyone else in it.'"

Approximately seven countries are negotiating to join the EU. Albania is one of them, seeing what goes on in that country should be enough reason alone for us to leave the EU. This is why people voted to leave the EU it was a free trade block of countries. Absolutely fine and dandy ,but the clowns in Brussels decided to make the thing political. Also expanding at an unsustainable level.

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Quote: Backwardsman " Germany pays virtually nothing into nato, '"


Any evidence for that cobblers?

Germany & UK have recently announced a 'deepening relationship' on defence, irrespective of Brexit. Germany & Holland are currently developing advanced defence systems suitable for deployment to the Baltic.

Your ongoing anti-German diatribe is pathetic. Fortunately I don't know you, but I would put my mortgage on you being a typical gammon man.

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Quote: tigertot "Any evidence for that cobblers?

Germany & UK have recently announced a 'deepening relationship' on defence, irrespective of Brexit. Germany & Holland are currently developing advanced defence systems suitable for deployment to the Baltic.

Your ongoing anti-German diatribe is pathetic. Fortunately I don't know you, but I would put my mortgage on you being a typical gammon man.'"

Good grief I have certainly touched a raw nerve with you. I will debate with anyone on here in a respectful manner.so I won’t be trading insults with you. I am not In any way anti German, I used to work for a major German company overseas . Have many German friends also have traveled Germany extensively. The fact remains that due to the euro German exports have soared whilst countries such as Italy have struggled because they are locked into the euro which doesn’t suit the Italian economy.

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