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| When I saw the exit poll (316), I thought that number of seats would be a good result for Cameron. The fact he has ended up with 331 is, firstly, amazing. Secondly, it is huge testament to just how much people did not want to see Milliband backed by the SNP.
That aside, the constituency boundaries need re-drawing for the purpose of fairness.
Regardless of which party you support, I am sure we can all agree that it is perverse UKIP can get roughly twice as many votes as the SNP, yet only 1 MP compared to their 55 (or so).
It is widely thought that 'fair' constituency boundaries will favour the Tories to the tune of 20 seats. So expect it to be one of the first things on Cameron's agenda. And I don't think anyone can realistically make a good argument against it.
This, combined with the Bo-Jo bounce (he will be Tory leader going into the next election,) will make it incredibly difficult for Labour. Assuming they do not make a complete and hash of the economy between now and then, I expect the Tories to be in Government for at least the next 10 years.
As others have said, for all the noise they will make, the SNP are largely irrelevant when faced with a well-disciplined majority government.
And finally, I am particularly interested in the fact that Cameron has pledged to raise the 40% tax bracket to £50,000. Which means someone earning £50,000 a year is probably going to be £180 a month better off, give or take a few quid. Real help for the 'squeezed middle', particularly in London, where £50,000 is about the minimum you need to achieve any reasonable quality of life.
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| I am very excited about the Human Rights Act being repealed! No more pandering to terrorists who cannot be deported because of tenuous links to the country.
So many other policies to be excited about - finally a say on the EU!
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| Quote Mugwump="Mugwump"I think most of the smart Labour politicians saw the writing on the wall the minute UKIP appeared on the scene, their coat-pockets stuffed with wads of cash from corporate benefactors.
As stated, I don't consider UKIP a political party. It's a brazen tool for election-rigging. You tell people the "Fuzzy Wuzzies are breaking down the doors and about to steal what's rightfully THEIRS" and they'll be queuing down main street to vote for them.
The decision that this was to be a Tory double-term was taken ages back. And UKIP was the safeguard to ensure no one reneged on the deal.
This explains why the Labour effort over the last few years has been so obviously half-hearted. I mean, no one with a shred of intelligence would ever make Milliband the face of a major political party. Ed Balls knew the score. He realised it's better to not be around for the next few years whilst Labour go at each other with knives. By spending some time out he freshly launders his image just in time for the next election when Labour is destined to "Save Britain" from heartless Toryism.
To be honest, I don't even know why I'm framing this within the context of political dichotomy. There truth is there is really only one political party in Britain containing multiple factions. They'll happily fight each other. But should "The Party" itself be threatened they'll happily link arms and defend what they see as an attack upon their class.
Until people wake up and recognise this scam for exactly what it is we will forever be under their boot heels.'"
Ukip may only have one seat at Westminster but like it or not they are now the third largest party in the popular vote, so dismiss them at your peril.
Don't kid yourself that Labour saw this coming or that Ed Balls is happy about being thrown out. They have presided over a steady decline in influence north of the border for many years now and were complacent and failed to spot the dangers. Unless they swing back to the middle ground they will fall further behind the Tories in England too as Cameron & Osborne continue with their strong economic plans.
The SNP were comprehensively defeated in the independence referendum and I do not believe that their success in this election is due to a a change of heart regarding independence. IMO what has happened is that Labour has lost the plot with regard to policy and the swing to the SNP is due to so many people believing the SNP will better represent Scotland than Labour or the other "Westminster" parties on this occasion. Nicola Sturgeon fought a good campaign and in fairness made Milliband look an amateur in the debates and she offered a greater appeal than the bully boy Salmond. Now that the Tories have an overall majority the SNP influence has been neutralised and they will be made irrelevant at Westminster if the new government pass their promised bill making only English MPs able to vote on English matters.
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| Quote The Video Ref="The Video Ref"
Regardless of which party you support, I am sure we can all agree that it is perverse UKIP can get roughly twice as many votes as the SNP, yet only 1 MP compared to their 55 (or so). '"
Agree totally. I hate UKIP and I think anyone who votes for them are simplistic idiots who can't be bothered to actually think for longer than 10 seconds.
But they deserve representation in the same way as everyone else. However changing constituency boundaries won't do anything to alter that. The only thing that will is doing away with First Past The Post and introducing another system. The fairest being PR. In which case everybody's vote will count.
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| Neither of the two parties have got to grips with the changing demographics and nature of the country, although the Conservatives have done rather better. They have completely reinvented themselves over the years. Labour on the other hand has not coped with the loss of a mass blue collar working class. It tries to chase the middle of the road voter but cannot reconcile that in policy terms with its traditional voters (who are insufficient in number under the first past the post system to permit them a majority). Blair did succeed in his early days but drifted away from the traditional voters and the Iraq war buried him.
So, will they be able to reinvent themselves in an appealing way where they represent anyone? I think their best hope is PR. Their second best hope is if the Tories make the mistakes of their relatively recent past and become too arrogant and corrupt. I think with Osborne pulling the strings they will not fall into that trap for some time.
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| PR was rejected early in the last parliament.
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| Quote Lord Elpers="Lord Elpers"PR was rejected early in the last parliament.'"
I appreciate that but if we have a protracted period of no serious opposition to the Tories (entirely possible) the "establishment" may go that way in the interests of "democracy".
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| After running from any scrutiny during the election campaign, inluding dodging a hustings in his own constituency, it hasn't taken IDS to carry on where he left off.
My disappointment with the result has been somewhat tempered by the £420 I picked up after predicting that UKIP would only return Carswell to parliament and also the fact that Richard Desmond managed to spunk £1.3m against the wall and the total result was a halving of UKIP's parliamentary representation
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| Quote Him="Him"Agree totally. I hate UKIP and I think anyone who votes for them are simplistic idiots who can't be bothered to actually think for longer than 10 seconds.
'"
Views like this won't help Labour recover from their shambolic performance.
UKIP have picked up working class support and it would be wise to actually discover the real reasons for this rather than just dismiss them all as 'simplistic idiots' whose votes can be written off.
A long time in opposition for Labour with views like this.
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| Quote Lord Elpers="Lord Elpers"PR was rejected early in the last parliament.'"
You mean the referendum? That was AV not PR.
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| Quote Lord Elpers="Lord Elpers"PR was rejected early in the last parliament.'"
It wasn't. The vote was on AV, which I think Nick Clegg himself (the main force behind the referendum) described as a 'ty little compromise'.
I fear the referendum on AV has killed off the prospect of electoral reform, bar a bit of tinkering with the boundaries, for a generation. And neither of the 2 main parties who have a majority government will ever agree to a referendum on PR, since if implemented they would never again form a majority.
The big thing to watch out for at the moment is the likes of Balls making a comeback via the Lords. Which is cronyism at its worst.
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